Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today:
MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
TSB has cut its 12 and 18 month 'specials' and raised its 2 year special. But all these changes leave it at a market leading position compared to every bank except HSBC Premier.
TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
TSB Bank has also cut -10 bps off its cheque and savings account interest rates.
LOCAL RESISTANCE
After opening sharply lower today following the rough trading session in New York, both the ASX and NZX indices are now back in positive territory with small gains over the pre-Wall Street dump levels we had on Thursday. But Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Tokyo are all lower, taking their cue's from Wall Street.
STRONGER DEMAND FOR UNITS THAN DETACHED HOMES
Home prices across Australia's major cities slipped for a sixth straight month in March, with Sydney leading the falls, but the worst may be over for the city's property owners, according to CoreLogic. Interestingly, they also note that their March home value indices show that the unit sector is now consistently outperforming the detached housing market - a trend which has been evident since mid-2017.
FAST ADOPTION
In Australia they now have almost 3 mln fibre broadband connections. (New Zealand has about 500,000.) This is bringing a strong rise in the use of the internet for a variety of purposes. But with the roll-out of mobile 5G imminent, the concern is that the fixed line infrastructure may be ramping up just as the technology moves on to wireless capability.
EYES ON DAIRY PRICES
Tomorrow is another dairy auction and the futures market is signaling a -2.7% drop in WMP prices. That would follow the +0.1% rise two weeks ago.
FLOWING SMOOTHLY
It is very noticeable in Auckland today that the roading network is coping without any issues. The one key difference is that schools aren't operating. Auckland's infrastructure is just fine; it is parent taxis and student cars that cause it to break down ;) It is probably the same in most other major centres.
NOT AS POSITIVE
An American trend to watch: for the first time ever, young Americans are less optimistic than their parents. It is an unusual, unique trend.
OLD STYLE, NEW RISK
For people of a certain age who remember cheques (like me), here is an interesting Canadian case of a consequence of technology. Old banking ways are 'colliding with our smartphones' as the popularity of banking apps increases. In North America is is still common to be paid by cheque. And some people have worked out you can deposit them multiple times (with different banks) because popular banking apps allow cheques to be deposited with a photo. Then the onus is on the employer to prove they have been defrauded. Cheque fraud has always been common, but this new risk will hasten they demise.
BENCHMARK INTEREST RATES HOLD
Local wholesale swap rates have changed very little today, with a couple of items -1 bp and +1 bp. The UST 10yr yield is now at 2.74%. The Aussie Govt 10 yr is holding at its low 2.59%. The China 10 yr is also unchanged at 3.75% and the NZ Govt 10 yr is down -3 bps at 2.73%. The 90 day bank bill rate is up +1 bps to 1.97%.
BITCOIN HOLDS ON
The bitcoin price is now just over US$7,000 having eked out a small gain today. It is now at US$7,062 after spending the past four days just below US$7,000. And the IRD has issued a statement reminding cryptocurrency speculators (and that's everyone buying or selling them) of their NZ tax obligations.
NZ DOLLAR SLIPS
The NZD is down to just on 72 USc. On the cross rates we are lower too at 93.9 AUc and at 58.5 euro cents. That puts the TWI-5 at 73.3.
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