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Kymberly Martin
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Markets surprised the RBNZ believes current settings will deliver inflation to the target band in the medium term. Aussie data also affects NZ short rates
11th Dec 15, 7:58am
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Markets surprised the RBNZ believes current settings will deliver inflation to the target band in the medium term. Aussie data also affects NZ short rates
NZD volatile ahead of big events either side of Tasman, but a NZ rate cut is not yet fully priced in currency markets
10th Dec 15, 7:41am
NZD volatile ahead of big events either side of Tasman, but a NZ rate cut is not yet fully priced in currency markets
Markets have priced in the US Fed rate hike. After RBNZ decision, eyes will turn to AU jobless rate
10th Dec 15, 7:31am
Markets have priced in the US Fed rate hike. After RBNZ decision, eyes will turn to AU jobless rate
NZD ignores strong Q3 factory data that raises Q3 GDP expectations. OCR expectations dominate, with China trade data
9th Dec 15, 8:30am
NZD ignores strong Q3 factory data that raises Q3 GDP expectations. OCR expectations dominate, with China trade data
Swap-bond spreads widen with swap rates declining less than bond rates. All down to RBNZ tomorrow now
9th Dec 15, 8:17am
Swap-bond spreads widen with swap rates declining less than bond rates. All down to RBNZ tomorrow now
Expectations of RBNZ rate cut evenly split; US 10-year treasury yields follow oil price lower; expectation for NZ yield curve to flatten on overnight movements
8th Dec 15, 8:21am
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Expectations of RBNZ rate cut evenly split; US 10-year treasury yields follow oil price lower; expectation for NZ yield curve to flatten on overnight movements
Oil price plunges on OPEC's decision not to curb production; German economic growth peaked, EUR weakens
8th Dec 15, 8:08am
Oil price plunges on OPEC's decision not to curb production; German economic growth peaked, EUR weakens
Strong US non-farm payrolls provides Fed with last piece in rate hike puzzle; ECB believes recalibration of QE the right move; positive flow into NZD helps Kiwi outperform
7th Dec 15, 8:18am
Strong US non-farm payrolls provides Fed with last piece in rate hike puzzle; ECB believes recalibration of QE the right move; positive flow into NZD helps Kiwi outperform
US payrolls report cements rate rise case. But oil's price fall to keep inflation low. Eyes turn to RBNZ MPS
7th Dec 15, 8:10am
US payrolls report cements rate rise case. But oil's price fall to keep inflation low. Eyes turn to RBNZ MPS
ECB (in)action jolts yields higher. Markets need downward pressure to keep rates low. Eyes now on US non-farm payrolls report
4th Dec 15, 8:20am
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ECB (in)action jolts yields higher. Markets need downward pressure to keep rates low. Eyes now on US non-farm payrolls report
Yellen worried delaying hikes could inadvertently push US into recession; US bond yields jump on data; higher NZ & US bond yields on the cards but spreads should narrow
3rd Dec 15, 8:24am
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Yellen worried delaying hikes could inadvertently push US into recession; US bond yields jump on data; higher NZ & US bond yields on the cards but spreads should narrow
NZ yields drift higher, US yields fall sharply on surprise ISM report. But market still sees Fed hiking in December
2nd Dec 15, 8:36am
NZ yields drift higher, US yields fall sharply on surprise ISM report. But market still sees Fed hiking in December
Yields and spreads higher, following offshore trends, and Spark Finance could reinforce the trend when priced. Eyes on RBA views
1st Dec 15, 8:16am
Yields and spreads higher, following offshore trends, and Spark Finance could reinforce the trend when priced. Eyes on RBA views
Sleepiness is over; action packed up-coming week will drive local and offshore rate expectations
30th Nov 15, 8:17am
Sleepiness is over; action packed up-coming week will drive local and offshore rate expectations
Local rates shifted by poor AUD capex data. But RBA unlikley to cut next week despite investment lethagy
27th Nov 15, 7:56am
Local rates shifted by poor AUD capex data. But RBA unlikley to cut next week despite investment lethagy
Weak Aussie data cues NZ falls, but markets unsure of RBNZ moves on December 10. Big demand for latest NZGB tender
27th Nov 15, 7:48am
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Weak Aussie data cues NZ falls, but markets unsure of RBNZ moves on December 10. Big demand for latest NZGB tender
Markets got the good US data they were expecting. NZD vulnerable to changes in risk appetites
26th Nov 15, 8:08am
Markets got the good US data they were expecting. NZD vulnerable to changes in risk appetites
Transpower and Spark add to local bond activity. Offshore markets refuse to get drawn into inflammatory geopolitical headlines
26th Nov 15, 7:56am
Transpower and Spark add to local bond activity. Offshore markets refuse to get drawn into inflammatory geopolitical headlines
Putin warns of "serious consequences after another plane shot down; oil price jumps 3% and commodity linked currencies rise
25th Nov 15, 8:33am
Putin warns of "serious consequences after another plane shot down; oil price jumps 3% and commodity linked currencies rise
RBA's Stevens loses confidence in rate cutting. NZ-AU 2-year swap spreads narrow
25th Nov 15, 8:09am
RBA's Stevens loses confidence in rate cutting. NZ-AU 2-year swap spreads narrow
Forecasts of a lower NZD pushed out to later in 2016. Kiwi still expected to fade against the USD and AUD
24th Nov 15, 8:21am
Forecasts of a lower NZD pushed out to later in 2016. Kiwi still expected to fade against the USD and AUD
Strong migration adds to upside risk to NZ GDP growth, may also add to imbalances. Markets see 50/50 chance of December OCR cut but analysts less certain
24th Nov 15, 8:02am
Strong migration adds to upside risk to NZ GDP growth, may also add to imbalances. Markets see 50/50 chance of December OCR cut but analysts less certain
ECB focused on problem of low inflation. But Bundesbank thinks low oil prices 'more of an economic stimulus than harbinger of deflation'
23rd Nov 15, 8:08am
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ECB focused on problem of low inflation. But Bundesbank thinks low oil prices 'more of an economic stimulus than harbinger of deflation'
Fed's Bullard warns markets to brace for volatility as Fed will decide pace of rate hikes on meeting-by-meeting basis
23rd Nov 15, 7:56am
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Fed's Bullard warns markets to brace for volatility as Fed will decide pace of rate hikes on meeting-by-meeting basis
NZ swap curve steepens and more is expected. Fears of disinterest in NZGB market allayed. UST yields fall
20th Nov 15, 8:24am
NZ swap curve steepens and more is expected. Fears of disinterest in NZGB market allayed. UST yields fall