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Stephen Toplis

Reserve Bank policymakers will be weighing up various measures of inflation as they begin committee deliberations
18th Feb 24, 6:00am
53
Reserve Bank policymakers will be weighing up various measures of inflation as they begin committee deliberations
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
47
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
7th Feb 24, 2:04pm
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Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
BNZ's Stephen Toplis suggests rather than being 'fixated' on non-tradeable inflation, the RBNZ may need to be be 'less dogmatic' about getting inflation down to the 2% midpoint of its target band
30th Jan 24, 12:53pm
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BNZ's Stephen Toplis suggests rather than being 'fixated' on non-tradeable inflation, the RBNZ may need to be be 'less dogmatic' about getting inflation down to the 2% midpoint of its target band
[updated]
Inflation was cooler in the December quarter than any other in the past three years but still too hot for the Reserve Bank’s to consider cutting the Official Cash Rate
24th Jan 24, 2:46pm
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Inflation was cooler in the December quarter than any other in the past three years but still too hot for the Reserve Bank’s to consider cutting the Official Cash Rate
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
21st Jan 24, 6:00am
76
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
The BNZ/SEEK Employment Report shows that the number of applications per job advertisement has now hit unprecedented levels
16th Jan 24, 11:03am
18
The BNZ/SEEK Employment Report shows that the number of applications per job advertisement has now hit unprecedented levels
Finance Minister Nicola Willis wants Treasury to report fiscal risks more clearly
20th Dec 23, 6:15pm
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Finance Minister Nicola Willis wants Treasury to report fiscal risks more clearly
BNZ Head of Research Stephen Toplis on the NZ economy 'bouncing along the bottom' and what to expect in 2024
17th Dec 23, 7:00am
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BNZ Head of Research Stephen Toplis on the NZ economy 'bouncing along the bottom' and what to expect in 2024
The Reserve Bank says it is willing to raise rates to offset increased demand from population growth
30th Nov 23, 7:48am
21
The Reserve Bank says it is willing to raise rates to offset increased demand from population growth
Economists rule out November rate hike as inflation falls as RBNZ had forecast
17th Oct 23, 2:31pm
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Economists rule out November rate hike as inflation falls as RBNZ had forecast
A National-led government could push property prices higher and food prices lower, but clash with New Zealand’s climate goals and potentially exacerbate inequality
12th Oct 23, 4:11pm
104
A National-led government could push property prices higher and food prices lower, but clash with New Zealand’s climate goals and potentially exacerbate inequality
The Monetary Policy Committee agreed that higher oil prices will add to inflation risk but interest rates are high enough for now
4th Oct 23, 2:37pm
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The Monetary Policy Committee agreed that higher oil prices will add to inflation risk but interest rates are high enough for now
Economists are cheered by signs the Reserve Bank's monetary tightening is getting traction but caution that inflationary pressures are still strong
3rd Oct 23, 2:01pm
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Economists are cheered by signs the Reserve Bank's monetary tightening is getting traction but caution that inflationary pressures are still strong
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a mixed picture of a 'patchy' economy, with inflationary pressures gradually waning, but with cost and wage expectations remaining very elevated
28th Sep 23, 1:28pm
18
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a mixed picture of a 'patchy' economy, with inflationary pressures gradually waning, but with cost and wage expectations remaining very elevated
Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says the Official Cash Rate is working despite sticky core inflation and record high employment
21st Aug 23, 9:41am
20
Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says the Official Cash Rate is working despite sticky core inflation and record high employment
The Reserve Bank could lift the Official Cash Rate one more time early in 2024
17th Aug 23, 5:00am
21
The Reserve Bank could lift the Official Cash Rate one more time early in 2024
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
14th Aug 23, 11:37am
17
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
[updated]
RBNZ hits pause after two years of OCR hikes as economy shows signs of slowing. Says house prices at 'more sustainable levels'
12th Jul 23, 2:15pm
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RBNZ hits pause after two years of OCR hikes as economy shows signs of slowing. Says house prices at 'more sustainable levels'
BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says he continues to believe the next move in interest rates will be down 'and that this will possibly occur sooner than the RBNZ expects'
4th Jul 23, 2:18pm
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BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says he continues to believe the next move in interest rates will be down 'and that this will possibly occur sooner than the RBNZ expects'
BNZ economists say a solid bounce in economic activity is expected in the second half of next year, but in the meantime there is more pain to be felt as the economy bounces along the bottom - torn between rising immigration and higher interest rates
21st Jun 23, 2:04pm
13
BNZ economists say a solid bounce in economic activity is expected in the second half of next year, but in the meantime there is more pain to be felt as the economy bounces along the bottom - torn between rising immigration and higher interest rates
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
16th Jun 23, 6:39am
50
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
Grant Robertson's decision to reappoint Adrian Orr last year without bipartisan support has opened the bank up to more political criticism despite the role of the monetary policy committee
1st Jun 23, 10:24am
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Grant Robertson's decision to reappoint Adrian Orr last year without bipartisan support has opened the bank up to more political criticism despite the role of the monetary policy committee
The Reserve Bank says the OCR has gone high enough and recession may be avoided
24th May 23, 6:33pm
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The Reserve Bank says the OCR has gone high enough and recession may be avoided
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
22nd May 23, 2:23pm
23
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision