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Stephen Toplis

Bank economists split on October rate hike as RBNZ’s dovish shift signals a potential cash rate pause before the November 7 election
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Bank economists split on October rate hike as RBNZ’s dovish shift signals a potential cash rate pause before the November 7 election
Economists in agreement the Reserve Bank will increase the Official Cash Rate again on Wednesday
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Economists in agreement the Reserve Bank will increase the Official Cash Rate again on Wednesday
Wot about the workers? Wage increases well below inflation putting households 'further and further behind'
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Wot about the workers? Wage increases well below inflation putting households 'further and further behind'
Economists see some good signs in the latest labour market data as Luxon acknowledges 'difficult & challenging period' and Labour sees the 'cost of National's economic choices'
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Economists see some good signs in the latest labour market data as Luxon acknowledges 'difficult & challenging period' and Labour sees the 'cost of National's economic choices'
[updated]
Rising underutilisation and unemployment weigh heavily on young New Zealanders, June quarter labour market data shows
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Rising underutilisation and unemployment weigh heavily on young New Zealanders, June quarter labour market data shows
Reliance on housing being the sole source of wealth is changing and will continue to change, Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says
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Reliance on housing being the sole source of wealth is changing and will continue to change, Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says
'It's the perception and the fear': How Official Cash Rate decisions can influence the optics of an election
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'It's the perception and the fear': How Official Cash Rate decisions can influence the optics of an election
Reserve Bank’s first Official Cash Rate hike in three years divides bank economists, but all agree more increases are coming before the year is out
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Reserve Bank’s first Official Cash Rate hike in three years divides bank economists, but all agree more increases are coming before the year is out
Bank economists divided on whether the Reserve Bank will increase the Official Cash Rate on July 8 after May's close call
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Bank economists divided on whether the Reserve Bank will increase the Official Cash Rate on July 8 after May's close call
The BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index fell into the red in May, recording the lowest reading the index has reported in almost a year
The BNZ-BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index fell into the red in May, recording the lowest reading the index has reported in almost a year
Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting
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Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting
Bank economists expect the RBNZ to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold on Wednesday as inflation uncertainty clouds the timing of future hikes
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Bank economists expect the RBNZ to keep the Official Cash Rate on hold on Wednesday as inflation uncertainty clouds the timing of future hikes
After softer than expected April SPI figures, Westpac NZ economist says full impact of oil price rises yet to be felt through supply chain and a 'sharp rise' in inflation is still on the cards for the middle part of 2026
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After softer than expected April SPI figures, Westpac NZ economist says full impact of oil price rises yet to be felt through supply chain and a 'sharp rise' in inflation is still on the cards for the middle part of 2026
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward
The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year
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The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year