Retail

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

ANZ economists still believe greater stimulus will be needed for the economy from the Reserve Bank and say the Official Cash Rate will be lowered to 2.5%

ANZ economists still believe greater stimulus will be needed for the economy from the Reserve Bank and say the Official Cash Rate will be lowered to 2.5%

The economy grew for the second successive quarter following the sharp contraction seen during last year

The economy grew for the second successive quarter following the sharp contraction seen during last year

The economy looked like it was picking up, now it looks like maybe it isn't, but inflation definitely is picking up. What do we do? And where is our timely economic data?

The economy looked like it was picking up, now it looks like maybe it isn't, but inflation definitely is picking up. What do we do? And where is our timely economic data?

The economy's showing increasing signs of responding to the lower interest rates, with GDP expected to have grown again in the March quarter

The economy's showing increasing signs of responding to the lower interest rates, with GDP expected to have grown again in the March quarter

Electronic cards data for May shows that even after excluding the impact of falling petrol prices, core retail sales fell again; 'spending has effectively been tracking sideways despite falls in petrol prices'

Electronic cards data for May shows that even after excluding the impact of falling petrol prices, core retail sales fell again; 'spending has effectively been tracking sideways despite falls in petrol prices'

Electronic cards data for April shows that hospitality, durables and consumables spending rose in the month, but the apparel industry is still doing it tough

Electronic cards data for April shows that hospitality, durables and consumables spending rose in the month, but the apparel industry is still doing it tough

Stats NZ says retail card spending fell 0.8% last month, while separate data showed the services sector remained in contractionary mode

Stats NZ says retail card spending fell 0.8% last month, while separate data showed the services sector remained in contractionary mode

Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next

Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next

After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP grew a better-than expected 0.7% in the December quarter; figures 'a genuine upside surprise'

After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP grew a better-than expected 0.7% in the December quarter; figures 'a genuine upside surprise'

NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year

NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year

After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP likely returned to positive growth for the December quarter, but the growth's looking pretty subdued so far

After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP likely returned to positive growth for the December quarter, but the growth's looking pretty subdued so far

Stats NZ says retail card spending rose 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis in February after taking a dip in January

Stats NZ says retail card spending rose 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis in February after taking a dip in January

Stats NZ figures show that manufacturing and wholesale sale figures flipped into positive territory in the December quarter after both going backwards in the September quarter; meat and dairy were strong contributors

Stats NZ figures show that manufacturing and wholesale sale figures flipped into positive territory in the December quarter after both going backwards in the September quarter; meat and dairy were strong contributors

Stats NZ says retail activity as measured by sales volumes saw the first quarterly gain in December since the March 2024 quarter

Stats NZ says retail activity as measured by sales volumes saw the first quarterly gain in December since the March 2024 quarter