Here's my summary of the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am, including news that orders for American durable goods climbed 1.9% in January by the most in a year and exceeding forecasts, showing companies are planning to expand capacity as they look beyond the budget impasse in Washington.
Ben Bernanke has just finished testifying at a House finance subcommittee and he was upbeat about US economic prospects and he said that from here out inflation may rise slowly.
But he also said savers can't expect great returns though until the recovery is in full swing - that is interest rates will stay low and below inflation.
PIMCO’s Bill Gross has warned that asset-price irrationality is rising after years of record low benchmark interest rates by the US Fed. The level of asset prices signal investors should be cautious and the degree of irrationality is about six on a scale of one to 10 and rising, Gross wrote in his monthly investment outlook.
In China, almost half of all provinces are setting their growth sights lower in the wake of the central government’s emphasis on the quality of expansion over speed, a sign of an increased focus on tackling rising debt.
In Europe, the political deadlock in Italy deepened, but markets are seeing this in a broader perspective although Italy's borrowing costs rose sharply - still the government sold all the bonds on offer in the first test of its ability to borrow long-term after the election.
Spain announced a reduced budget deficit, close to EU targets.
In Australia, Cyclone Rusty closed ports handling 43% of world iron-exports delaying as many as 74 vessels, and the storm may interrupt mining. It's an event that could affect the Aussie economy.
The kiwi dollar ends the month at 82.3 USc and near its lows of the year, 80.7 AUc near its low for the month, and the TWI is at 75.3 also a monthly low.
Data released yesterday by the RBNZ shows that the central bank was absent from the currency markets in January.
The Dow closed in New York today at a five year high, and just a whisker below its all-time high; US investors shrugged off EU concerns after Bernanke's testimony was interpreted as market-positive. The S&P500 also rose 1.3%.
No chart with that title exists.
3 Comments
"Ben Bernanke has just finished testifying at a House finance subcommittee and he was upbeat about US economic prospects."
I think we all know how accurate Bernanke's economic predictions have been in the past. However he has been wrong so many times, I wonder if one of his predictions might be correct some time. No, I don't think so, he suffers from having the wrong economic paradigm in an energy depleting and debt delevering world.
"We haven’t done a new review of the exit strategy yet I think we will have to do that sometime soon,” Bernanke said in Washington today in response to questions from members of the House Financial Services Committee.
He said he thought the “basic outline” of the existing strategy would hold. “The one thing we could do differently is hold some of the securities a little longer,” he said. “We could just let them run off.”
Now when you look for confirmation of playing it by ear, you need go no further than the above.
So, wrong so many times AndyR..? or more a case of not being capable of foreseeing all unintended consequence.
If you give Bernanke any cudos, it has to be for staying with the strategy agreed upon....the ultimate bluff.
I'm interested in knowing how he uses these tools as part of the exit strategy:
"In terms of exiting from our balance sheet, we have put out -- a couple of years ago we put out a plan; we have a set of tools. I think we have belts, suspenders -- two pairs of suspenders. We have different ways that we can do it."
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.