Here's my summary of the key issues from over the weekend that affect New Zealand, with news our Business School is turning out top property strategists.
But first, American job growth accelerated impressively in May and wage growth picked up to +2.3%pa, both signs of improving momentum in their economy, and boosting prospects for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike sometime in the next few months.
At the same time, consumer borrowing in the US rose by US$20 bln in April from March, up +7.3% year on year. At almost US$3.4 tln owed, that represents a bit over 20% of US GDP.
In Taiwan they have just imposed a property gains tax of up to 45% which will take effect in 2016. Any gains over NZ$185,000 will be taxed. This new measure comes after they suffered tripling of house prices in the past 12 years.
In Europe, the Greeks turned down a proposed aid offer from lenders, calling it 'absurd'. The Greeks acknowledge they are following an economic 'game theory' strategy in these talks but it is not clear the creditors are playing the same game.
Surely someone will blink soon, but it is looking unlikely it will be the creditors.
However, a previous basket-case, Ireland, seems on the mend. S&P have upgraded their sovereign credit rating again and it is now at an investment grade A+. Growth has returned to Ireland and it is expected to top +3.6% this year.
And staying in Europe, the co-CEOs of Deutsche Bank quit overnight, an abrupt and unexpected move that throws into question the future direction of one of the world's largest banks. Rising legal woes and declining profits did them in.
In Australia, all eyes will be on their May unemployment rate which is due out on Thursday.
In New York, the UST 10yr benchmark yield was higher again on Friday, up by another +8 bps to 2.41%, its highest level in eight months. That should push our local long-end swap rates even higher.
The US oil markets will start marginally higher with the US benchmark price at US$59/barrel, and Brent crude is at US$63/barrel. Over the weekend OPEC decided to keep pumping oil at current rates, maintaining higher supply into international markets.
The gold price is down another $6 to US$1,170/oz.
The New Zealand dollar is also lower this morning, currently at 70.4 US¢, at 92.5 AU¢, and at 63.5 euro cents. The TWI-5 is just under 75.
And finally today, a story that goes to the heart of modern day kiwi business 'excellence', something that reveals our DNA. In Hong Kong over the weekend, the University of Auckland scooped the top prize at the annual HSBC/HKU Asia Pacific Business Case Competition, after an intense three-day contest aimed at finding future business leaders. Cut off from internet access, the contestants from 18 countries had to design and draft marketing and growth strategies for a Hong Kong property developer.
The winners - Alex Churchill, Kandarp Dalal, Brittany Rea and Nathan George - have brought home a cash prize of US$10,000 for their strategy named "fix and capture". We are apparently leaders in the property business.
If you want to catch up with all the local changes yesterday, we have an update here.
The easiest place to stay up with event risk today is by following our Economic Calendar here »
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.