Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.
TODAY'S MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
There were no rate changes announced today.
TODAY'S DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
UDC, ANZ, F+P Finance, RaboDirect and CU South all cut term deposit rates and selected savings account rates.
'EXTRAORDINARY ORDINARY'
The ANZ business confidence survey lost more momentum in June. Non-agriculture sectors lost their positivity. But there were no signs of weakening inflation. Market reaction to this downgrade was surprisingly muted. Eyes are now on Tuesday’s QSBO for a cross-check to confirm these weaker confidence readings.
OK, EXCEPT IN AUCKLAND
Building consents approved in May were average, except in Auckland. The Queen City's housing crisis has intensified (excuse the pun) as new dwelling consents dropped sharply.
BIG PROJECTS IN PIPELINE
Building consents for other-than-housing was up strongly, year on year. That growth was +31% growth, primarily driven by a rise in hospital consents, while factory consents also recorded a large increase. Hotel consents were at their highest monthly level for three years.
MORE TO COME
The Government today said it would spend $13.9 bln over the next three years on transportation projects, a +15% increase compared with the previous three years. A third will be spent in Auckland, and $2 bln will go into public transport projects (that will all require ongoing subsidies, mainly by local authorities). Cycleways will get $251 mln. Fortunately fewer than half the Northland pork-barrel budges promised in the recent by-election will get funded.
DEBT STILL POPULAR
Debt growth is now growing as fast as at any time since the GFC. Momentum in housing credit growth is picking up, according to the RBNZ data for May. At +5.4% year-on-year, that is the highest growth rate in more than a year. Growth in business and rural credit is slowing but both sectors are still positing year-on-year growth faster than housing. Fixed mortgage loans now account for 74.3% of all loans. But loans that will reset with one year are unchanged at 53% of all loans.
FATTER HOUSEHOLD BANK A/Cs
Household bank accounts are rising at +10.6% pa according to the May data. That may seem remarkable - it does to me - and it has been like this all year. The M3 money supply is rising faster than +8% pa.
SOCIAL BENEFITS
Tomorrow a raft of policy changes come into effect. They include:
- all children under 13 will get free GP visits and prescriptions,
- the average ACC motor vehicle levy will fall from around $330 to $195 per year,
- paid parental leave payments will increase to $516.85 gross per week.
WHOLESALE RATES RISE
Swap rates rose today after being quite weak overnight. And this is in spite of the Greek crisis risks. The rises were +2 to +4 bps - not huge, but remarkable in the circumstance of the background news.. The 90 day bank bill rate gave up -2 bps which is means it is back to Friday's level again.
NZ DOLLAR HOLDS
The NZ dollar basically held its levels today, avoiding Greek and China fallout. Against the greenback it is at 68.1 USc, at 88.8 AUc, but is stronger against the euro at 60.8 euro cents. The TWI is 71.9. Check our real-time charts here.
You can now see an animation of this chart. Click on it, or click here.

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