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US$

Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
23rd May 22, 8:34am
Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
S&P500 briefly breaks through into bear market territory. No signs of central bankers wavering from their hawkish stances - Lagarde alludes to likely July ECB rate hike. Global rates lower as recession fears mount
23rd May 22, 7:51am
1
S&P500 briefly breaks through into bear market territory. No signs of central bankers wavering from their hawkish stances - Lagarde alludes to likely July ECB rate hike. Global rates lower as recession fears mount
USD significantly weaker as US economic growth concerns supersede safe-haven status. Risk appetite remains weak. NZ Budget doesn't perturb financial markets
20th May 22, 7:51am
1
USD significantly weaker as US economic growth concerns supersede safe-haven status. Risk appetite remains weak. NZ Budget doesn't perturb financial markets
US equities plunge on weak retailer earning reports; S&P500 down 4%. Market waking up to the damage that high inflation can inflict. NZ Budget today; expecting looser fiscal policy and increased bond tender program
19th May 22, 7:57am
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US equities plunge on weak retailer earning reports; S&P500 down 4%. Market waking up to the damage that high inflation can inflict. NZ Budget today; expecting looser fiscal policy and increased bond tender program
Risk sentiment recovers on positive US economic data and easing of Shanghai restrictions. Global rates up across the board, with come chunky gains across Europe
18th May 22, 7:46am
2
Risk sentiment recovers on positive US economic data and easing of Shanghai restrictions. Global rates up across the board, with come chunky gains across Europe
Risk appetite weaker on poor China economic data but a recovery has ensued. US equities now modestly higher after earlier weakness in futures markets. Global food price inflation rising
17th May 22, 7:52am
3
Risk appetite weaker on poor China economic data but a recovery has ensued. US equities now modestly higher after earlier weakness in futures markets. Global food price inflation rising
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
16th May 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
Risk appetite recovers helped by news that Shanghai is planning to ease lockdown restriction. Fed's Powell supports 50bps hikes at the next two meetings while acknowledging it will be "quite challenging" to achieve a soft landing
16th May 22, 7:50am
2
Risk appetite recovers helped by news that Shanghai is planning to ease lockdown restriction. Fed's Powell supports 50bps hikes at the next two meetings while acknowledging it will be "quite challenging" to achieve a soft landing
Risk assets continue to tumble as global recession fears grow. Russia cutting off some gas supplies to Germany, rumours of Beijing lockdown, expectations of aggressive central bank rate hikes all add to the gloomy outlook
13th May 22, 8:03am
2
Risk assets continue to tumble as global recession fears grow. Russia cutting off some gas supplies to Germany, rumours of Beijing lockdown, expectations of aggressive central bank rate hikes all add to the gloomy outlook
US CPI inflation stronger than expected, generating some market volatility resulting in lower US equity markets, flatter US yield curve. Brexit risks re-emerge
12th May 22, 7:56am
2
US CPI inflation stronger than expected, generating some market volatility resulting in lower US equity markets, flatter US yield curve. Brexit risks re-emerge
Risk sentiment rebounds overnight, with equities bouncing back. Global rates lower amid falling market-based inflation expectations. Several Fed officials endorse +50bps hikes at the next two meetings
11th May 22, 7:52am
2
Risk sentiment rebounds overnight, with equities bouncing back. Global rates lower amid falling market-based inflation expectations. Several Fed officials endorse +50bps hikes at the next two meetings
Asset markets signal growing concern around the global growth outlook. Equities tumble. Market pares back Fed rate hike expectations. CNY weakness continues
10th May 22, 7:57am
1
Asset markets signal growing concern around the global growth outlook. Equities tumble. Market pares back Fed rate hike expectations. CNY weakness continues
Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
9th May 22, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
Global long-term rates hit fresh highs. US nonfarm payrolls close to expectations, but some tentative signs that wage pressures are easing. Industrial metals and commodity currencies also lower as global growth concerns weigh
9th May 22, 7:56am
1
Global long-term rates hit fresh highs. US nonfarm payrolls close to expectations, but some tentative signs that wage pressures are easing. Industrial metals and commodity currencies also lower as global growth concerns weigh
Roger J Kerr assesses the issues causing the Kiwi dollar to be under pressure
2nd May 22, 7:02am
2
Roger J Kerr assesses the issues causing the Kiwi dollar to be under pressure
Bank of Japan now stands alone in not fighting inflation. Yen weakness spills over to the yuan. German inflation surprises to the upside, again. European rates increase sharply
29th Apr 22, 8:02am
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Bank of Japan now stands alone in not fighting inflation. Yen weakness spills over to the yuan. German inflation surprises to the upside, again. European rates increase sharply
Australian CPI blows past expectations and markets expect an RBA hike next week. NZD and AUD hold up relatively well. NZ 2-year swap rate continues to push relentlessly higher
28th Apr 22, 7:56am
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Australian CPI blows past expectations and markets expect an RBA hike next week. NZD and AUD hold up relatively well. NZ 2-year swap rate continues to push relentlessly higher
Equity markets plummet again on concerns around the global growth outlook. US bond rates fall for the second day running on safe haven demand
27th Apr 22, 7:58am
2
Equity markets plummet again on concerns around the global growth outlook. US bond rates fall for the second day running on safe haven demand
Fears of front-loaded US tightening cycle and China lockdowns drive risk appetite lower. Much lower US rates since Friday's NZ close
26th Apr 22, 7:57am
1
Fears of front-loaded US tightening cycle and China lockdowns drive risk appetite lower. Much lower US rates since Friday's NZ close
Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
25th Apr 22, 10:13am
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Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
Global bond yields rise significantly again, following hawkish ECB commentary. US 5-year rate cracks 3%. NZ CPI inflation "only" 6.9%, but core measures show further upward momentum in Q1
22nd Apr 22, 7:59am
1
Global bond yields rise significantly again, following hawkish ECB commentary. US 5-year rate cracks 3%. NZ CPI inflation "only" 6.9%, but core measures show further upward momentum in Q1
Global rates sharply lower and the USD broadly weaker in partial reversal. Canada CPI blows past expectations; market pricing a small chance of 75bps BoC hike in June
21st Apr 22, 7:56am
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Global rates sharply lower and the USD broadly weaker in partial reversal. Canada CPI blows past expectations; market pricing a small chance of 75bps BoC hike in June
Global bond yields continue to march higher with the US 10-year up to 2.91%. No real catalyst for the increase in rates although Fed rhetoric remains hawkish
20th Apr 22, 7:59am
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Global bond yields continue to march higher with the US 10-year up to 2.91%. No real catalyst for the increase in rates although Fed rhetoric remains hawkish
Global bond sell-off resumes - US 10-year makes new cycle high of 2.88%. Higher oil prices add upward pressure. China GDP much stronger than expected in Q1. Lots of US economic data released, mostly stronger than expected
19th Apr 22, 7:42am
3
Global bond sell-off resumes - US 10-year makes new cycle high of 2.88%. Higher oil prices add upward pressure. China GDP much stronger than expected in Q1. Lots of US economic data released, mostly stronger than expected
Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says
18th Apr 22, 8:04am
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Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says