Here's my summary of the key events overnight that affect New Zealand, with news of a rise in the oil price, and talk of output restraint.
But first, in the US, in December, the level of new orders, shipments and stocks for durable goods all fell from November, although the data was mixed year-on-year.
And the American home ownership rate also fell, ending the year at 63.8%. That is down from 65% twenty years ago, although in the intervening period it did get up to 69%. One eye-catching piece of data in this release is the sudden jump in rents to US$850/month. Still, that is only about NZ$300/week. (In New Zealand, the home ownership rate is 63.5% as at December 2015, and house rents average NZ$385/week.)
Overnight, South Africa’s central bank ramped up its policy tightening by raising their benchmark rate by +0.5% to 6.75% on increasing concerns of imported inflation as their currency weakens sharply. Inflation is now over +5% pa following a -15% fall in their currency.
Europe's biggest lender HSBC said will no longer provide mortgages to some Chinese nationals who buy real estate in the United States, a policy change that comes as Beijing is battling to stem a swelling crowd of citizens trying to get money out of China. No word of any similar policy applying here.
China's central bank has made a second big injection of funds into the financial system this week to ease a short-term liquidity strain before the Chinese New Year holiday. Today it is another NZ$80 bln on top of the earlier NZ$100 bln earlier in the week and far more than what they did prior to last years holiday.
The rapid rise in Chinese visitors and migrants will have a direct impact on our retail industry - from supermarkets all the way to roadside farm-gate stalls. An organised system of local shoppers - the daigou - have a very profitable business buying here and shipping back to 'family and friends'. Infant formula is just the tip of this iceberg. Amazingly, they are buying retail.
Thirty one countries of the OECD have agreed new standards and protocols to help stamp out tax avoidance by multi-nationals. Australia was one of them as were most of Europe. They were not joined by either the US, Canada or New Zealand. Not sure why yet.
In New York, the benchmark UST 10yr yield has risen marginally today and is now at 2.02%.
The oil price is higher as well and in now straddling US$34/barrel on both benchmarks. A Russian official said that Saudi Arabia has proposed that oil-producing countries cut output by up to -5% each in response to low prices. At the sovereign level, there is increasing worry over oil-led defaults due to the very low prices.
The gold price is down marginally, now at US$1,115/oz.
The Kiwi dollar starts today at 64.8 US¢, at 91.3 AU¢, and at 59.1 euro cents. The TWI-5 starts today at 70.1 which puts it back to levels it was before yesterday's RBNZ review. The dip on the Wheeler comments was temporary.
If you want to catch up with all the local changes yesterday, we have an update here.
The easiest place to stay up with event risk today is by following our Economic Calendar here ».