Here's my summary of the key events overnight that affect New Zealand, with news US Treasury yields have hit an historic low in trading today.
Trading resumed after the American public holiday, and Wall Street is posting losses in early afternoon. It is down almost -1%. Commodities, including oil prices slipped further and uninspiring US data added to global growth worries.
The latest dairy auction saw prices fall marginally; they were down -0.4% in USD terms and down -1.6% in NZD terms. The lower overall price was driven by a -2.4% drop in WMP prices, while SMP prices rose slightly. The volumes sold at this event were the highest of the year.
New orders for American factory goods fell in May on weak demand for transportation and defense capital goods, but growing order backlogs and lean inventories suggested the worst of the manufacturing downturn was probably over. Certainly the June data that has been coming through reinforces that view.
Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England has warned there is evidence that risks it identified related to Brexit are emerging. Their July Financial Stability Report out overnight states: "There is evidence that some risks have begun to crystallise. The current outlook for UK financial stability is challenging," they said. The same report highlights the UK's risks to property and especially "commercial real estate prices". Things are about to get very bumpy there. In fact, a third property trust fund there has closed for withdrawals overnight.
It is not dire everywhere. In India, it is becoming clear that they are about to replace China as the hot market for raw commodities. The Government there is embarking of an infrastructure development push and demand for iron ore, coal, and other steel-making commodities will surge as they renew infrastructure, especially for housing and their railways.
In Australia, the RBA left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75% but analysts sensed that they 'left the door open' for a cut later in the year.
UST 10yr yields have dived today, down -10 bps and are now at 1.36% and well below the previous low of 1.43% in July 2012.
The US benchmark oil price is is also much lower, down about US$3/barrel, now just under US$46/barrel and the Brent benchmark is just over US$48/barrel.
The gold price is up but only a few dollars, now at US$1,355/oz.
The NZ dollar starts today almost 1c lower against the greenback at 71.4 US¢, at 95.8 AU¢, and at 64.5 euro cents. The TWI-5 index is at 75.1.
If you want to catch up with all the local changes on Friday, we have an update here.
The easiest place to stay up with event risk today is by following our Economic Calendar here ».
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