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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
2nd Oct 12, 9:22am
7
Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
1st Oct 12, 7:25pm
7
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:49pm
8
It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:41pm
1
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 3:20pm
14
Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 2:32pm
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 2:09pm
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 12:31pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
4th Sep 12, 8:45am
1
Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
28th Aug 12, 9:53am
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
28th Aug 12, 9:05am
7
Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 10:05am
10
Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 8:39am
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 4:35pm
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 3:35pm
1
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:56pm
1
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:17pm
1
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?
Challenge the banks if they claim their cost of funds has risen recently, says Roger J Kerr. Your view?
30th Jul 12, 2:35pm
1
Challenge the banks if they claim their cost of funds has risen recently, says Roger J Kerr. Your view?
Don't count on QEIII says Roger J Kerr. But if it occurs, there will be unintended consequences he says. Your view?
30th Jul 12, 1:31pm
7
Don't count on QEIII says Roger J Kerr. But if it occurs, there will be unintended consequences he says. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and RBA words are key for near term NZ dollar direction. You agree?
30th Jul 12, 11:59am
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and RBA words are key for near term NZ dollar direction. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees 'low inflation' forecasts relying on a falling non-tradable rate plus a stable or rising TWI, both of which he sees as unlikely . Your view?
23rd Jul 12, 2:35pm
3
Roger J Kerr sees 'low inflation' forecasts relying on a falling non-tradable rate plus a stable or rising TWI, both of which he sees as unlikely . Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rapid appreciation in the AUD vs USD appears to be based more on hot air than improvement in Australian economic fundamentals. You agree?
23rd Jul 12, 11:59am
1
Roger J Kerr says the rapid appreciation in the AUD vs USD appears to be based more on hot air than improvement in Australian economic fundamentals. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees all the risks to inflation being on the upside and advises the RBNZ not to look in the rear-vision mirror. Your view?
16th Jul 12, 6:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr sees all the risks to inflation being on the upside and advises the RBNZ not to look in the rear-vision mirror. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says foreign investment inflows into NZ bonds underpins the Kiwi dollar. You agree?
16th Jul 12, 5:20pm
4
Roger J Kerr says foreign investment inflows into NZ bonds underpins the Kiwi dollar. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees the Mighty River Power float barely touching the sides of massive investor demand. Your view?
9th Jul 12, 2:05pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees the Mighty River Power float barely touching the sides of massive investor demand. Your view?