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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
4th Sep 12, 8:45am
1
Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
28th Aug 12, 9:53am
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
28th Aug 12, 9:05am
7
Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 10:05am
10
Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 8:39am
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 4:35pm
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 3:35pm
1
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:56pm
1
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:17pm
1
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?
Challenge the banks if they claim their cost of funds has risen recently, says Roger J Kerr. Your view?
30th Jul 12, 2:35pm
1
Challenge the banks if they claim their cost of funds has risen recently, says Roger J Kerr. Your view?
Don't count on QEIII says Roger J Kerr. But if it occurs, there will be unintended consequences he says. Your view?
30th Jul 12, 1:31pm
7
Don't count on QEIII says Roger J Kerr. But if it occurs, there will be unintended consequences he says. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and RBA words are key for near term NZ dollar direction. You agree?
30th Jul 12, 11:59am
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and RBA words are key for near term NZ dollar direction. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees 'low inflation' forecasts relying on a falling non-tradable rate plus a stable or rising TWI, both of which he sees as unlikely . Your view?
23rd Jul 12, 2:35pm
3
Roger J Kerr sees 'low inflation' forecasts relying on a falling non-tradable rate plus a stable or rising TWI, both of which he sees as unlikely . Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rapid appreciation in the AUD vs USD appears to be based more on hot air than improvement in Australian economic fundamentals. You agree?
23rd Jul 12, 11:59am
1
Roger J Kerr says the rapid appreciation in the AUD vs USD appears to be based more on hot air than improvement in Australian economic fundamentals. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees all the risks to inflation being on the upside and advises the RBNZ not to look in the rear-vision mirror. Your view?
16th Jul 12, 6:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr sees all the risks to inflation being on the upside and advises the RBNZ not to look in the rear-vision mirror. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says foreign investment inflows into NZ bonds underpins the Kiwi dollar. You agree?
16th Jul 12, 5:20pm
4
Roger J Kerr says foreign investment inflows into NZ bonds underpins the Kiwi dollar. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees the Mighty River Power float barely touching the sides of massive investor demand. Your view?
9th Jul 12, 2:05pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees the Mighty River Power float barely touching the sides of massive investor demand. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the NZD will be trading back to 0.8500 and possibly higher in 2013 when the RBNZ is forced to remove the emergency monetary stimulus. You agree?
9th Jul 12, 11:52am
Roger J Kerr says the NZD will be trading back to 0.8500 and possibly higher in 2013 when the RBNZ is forced to remove the emergency monetary stimulus. You agree?
Roger J Kerr lists five major areas where RBNZ forecasts are proving wrong, and markets are about to price in OCR rises, not falls. Your view?
2nd Jul 12, 4:11pm
5
Roger J Kerr lists five major areas where RBNZ forecasts are proving wrong, and markets are about to price in OCR rises, not falls. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says exporters in USD exporters must have the discipline to hedge on the way down, as it is always too hard to pick the bottom and then hedge. You agree?
2nd Jul 12, 3:57pm
Roger J Kerr says exporters in USD exporters must have the discipline to hedge on the way down, as it is always too hard to pick the bottom and then hedge. You agree?
Roger J Kerr sees interest rates rising on a resurgent NZ economy - and that will eventually mean the NZD will rise too. You agree?
26th Jun 12, 10:06am
1
Roger J Kerr sees interest rates rising on a resurgent NZ economy - and that will eventually mean the NZD will rise too. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says the markets misread three important signals, and now the risk is elevated inflation. Your view?
26th Jun 12, 9:35am
11
Roger J Kerr says the markets misread three important signals, and now the risk is elevated inflation. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects Q1 GDP to be higher than most everyone else expects, and a rising NZD. You agree?
18th Jun 12, 12:57pm
2
Roger J Kerr expects Q1 GDP to be higher than most everyone else expects, and a rising NZD. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is paranoid about Europe and schizophrenic about NZ. Your view?
18th Jun 12, 12:43pm
20
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is paranoid about Europe and schizophrenic about NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says upward price pressures will start to bite as the economy improves and the RBNZ can't be complacent now. Your view?
11th Jun 12, 9:35am
9
Roger J Kerr says upward price pressures will start to bite as the economy improves and the RBNZ can't be complacent now. Your view?