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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 1:31pm
1
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 11:55am
1
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 2:57pm
6
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 1:58pm
1
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 9:47am
5
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 8:47am
15
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 4:31pm
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 3:42pm
3
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 10:25am
7
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 9:13am
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 10:18am
3
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 9:20am
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
19th Nov 12, 1:50pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:39pm
7
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:18pm
1
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
5th Nov 12, 2:21pm
26
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
5th Nov 12, 2:02pm
3
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
29th Oct 12, 5:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
29th Oct 12, 4:03pm
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
24th Oct 12, 8:41am
1
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
23rd Oct 12, 3:42pm
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:42pm
9
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:19pm
4
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
10th Oct 12, 6:34am
6
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?
8th Oct 12, 6:08pm
21
Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?