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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 10:25am
7
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 9:13am
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 10:18am
3
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 9:20am
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
19th Nov 12, 1:50pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:39pm
7
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:18pm
1
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
5th Nov 12, 2:21pm
26
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
5th Nov 12, 2:02pm
3
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
29th Oct 12, 5:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
29th Oct 12, 4:03pm
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
24th Oct 12, 8:41am
1
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
23rd Oct 12, 3:42pm
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:42pm
9
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:19pm
4
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
10th Oct 12, 6:34am
6
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?
8th Oct 12, 6:08pm
21
Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?
Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
2nd Oct 12, 9:22am
7
Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
1st Oct 12, 7:25pm
7
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:49pm
8
It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:41pm
1
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 3:20pm
14
Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 2:32pm
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 2:09pm
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 12:31pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?