About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
29th Oct 12, 5:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
29th Oct 12, 4:03pm
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees of the new RBNZ governor, appreciates him being independent of market clamours. You agree?
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
24th Oct 12, 8:41am
1
Roger J Kerr thinks those expecting an OCR cut will be disappointed because the preconditions don't exist. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
23rd Oct 12, 3:42pm
Roger J Kerr thinks the AUD and EUR are set to give up recent gains. You agree?
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:42pm
9
Roger J Kerr still expects no OCR cut because the forward view shows non-tradeable inflation still too high. Your view?
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
15th Oct 12, 3:19pm
4
Roger J Kerr reveals the four outside forces that will see the NZD fall below 80 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
10th Oct 12, 6:34am
6
Roger J Kerr expects no OCR cut from the new RBNZ governor despite what the markets or commentators think. Your view?
Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?
8th Oct 12, 6:08pm
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Roger J Kerr explains why politicians should not be trusted with setting the NZ dollar currency value. Your view?
Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
2nd Oct 12, 9:22am
7
Roger J Kerr does not subscribe to the magic-wand theory that politicians can somehow negate the high NZ dollar. He reviews what actually works. Your view?
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
1st Oct 12, 7:25pm
7
Roger J Kerr has five reasons why US bond yields are likely to rise from here, and our interest rates too. Your view?
It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:49pm
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It still surprises Roger J Kerr that 'the economists completely ignore what the markets are telling them'. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
24th Sep 12, 4:41pm
1
Roger J Kerr is looking to overseas policy decisions for clues as to where the NZD is heading. Your view?
Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 3:20pm
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Roger J Kerr watches bond investors take a different view to currency traders over QE3 and thinks the currency traders are getting it wrong. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
17th Sep 12, 2:32pm
Roger J Kerr sees the the QE1 and QE2 patterns repeating after QE3 and the NZ$ will weaken now, but not as fast as the AU$. Your view?
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 2:09pm
Roger J Kerr is not expecting much from the upcoming RBNZ MPS while we wait for the RBA to change its stance. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?
10th Sep 12, 12:31pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling back towards 80 USc or lower quite quickly. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
4th Sep 12, 8:45am
1
Roger J Kerr sees a high probability the Kiwi will out-perform and the cross-rates move back up again. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
28th Aug 12, 9:53am
Roger J Kerr says Asian central banks and sovereign wealth funds will be less aggressive buyers of NZ Government bonds over coming months. You agree?
Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
28th Aug 12, 9:05am
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Roger J Kerr expects the markets to re-set the AUD:USD when the RBA acknowledges the resource sector decline. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 10:05am
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Roger J Kerr expects the AUD to fall below parity with the USD and the NZD will fall with it. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
21st Aug 12, 8:39am
Roger J Kerr says squeezed profit margins pose a significant future inflation threat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 4:35pm
Roger J Kerr says the AUD divergence from commodity prices is unsustainable. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
13th Aug 12, 3:35pm
1
Roger J Kerr says US bonds are more likely to drive interest rate increases here than the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:56pm
1
Roger J Kerr suggests three important questions the new governor should ask when he arrives at the RBNZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?
6th Aug 12, 2:17pm
1
Roger J Kerr thinks our currency is vulnerable to a realignment of the AUD because commodity prices are falling. Your view?