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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 2 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
19th Feb 13, 9:08am
2
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
18th Feb 13, 3:49pm
2
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
11th Feb 13, 2:26pm
7
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
11th Feb 13, 1:43pm
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
4th Feb 13, 10:30am
12
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
4th Feb 13, 9:18am
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:40pm
19
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:15pm
15
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 1:31pm
1
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 11:55am
1
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 2:57pm
6
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 1:58pm
1
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 9:47am
5
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 8:47am
15
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 4:31pm
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 3:42pm
3
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 10:25am
7
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
3rd Dec 12, 9:13am
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 10:18am
3
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
26th Nov 12, 9:20am
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
19th Nov 12, 1:50pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:39pm
7
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
12th Nov 12, 4:18pm
1
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
5th Nov 12, 2:21pm
26
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
5th Nov 12, 2:02pm
3
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?