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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will be criticised no matter what he decides, but the high currency is doing more damage than inflation
23rd Apr 13, 9:30am
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will be criticised no matter what he decides, but the high currency is doing more damage than inflation
Roger J Kerr explains what is holding the NZ$ up and why it will fall when the A$ goes
23rd Apr 13, 8:40am
1
Roger J Kerr explains what is holding the NZ$ up and why it will fall when the A$ goes
Roger J Kerr says both the housing and currency bubbles need to be deflated - but he wonders if the RBNZ knows how to do this
15th Apr 13, 9:45am
1
Roger J Kerr says both the housing and currency bubbles need to be deflated - but he wonders if the RBNZ knows how to do this
Roger J Kerr says the economy cannot sustain a major drought and persistent currency over-valuation and calls on the RBNZ to intervene
15th Apr 13, 8:41am
16
Roger J Kerr says the economy cannot sustain a major drought and persistent currency over-valuation and calls on the RBNZ to intervene
Roger J Kerr sees the decrease in US bond yields as short-lived and upcoming US data to be better than expected, raising long-term interest rates
9th Apr 13, 9:35am
1
Roger J Kerr sees the decrease in US bond yields as short-lived and upcoming US data to be better than expected, raising long-term interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the divergence of our TWI from the USD is not sustainable and he is expecting a correction
9th Apr 13, 8:53am
1
Roger J Kerr says the divergence of our TWI from the USD is not sustainable and he is expecting a correction
Roger J Kerr was frustrated the recent currency forum discussion ignored dealing with biggest forces setting our exchange rates
2nd Apr 13, 9:30am
Roger J Kerr was frustrated the recent currency forum discussion ignored dealing with biggest forces setting our exchange rates
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will face many variables and conditions, and he will be watching Canada first. You agree?
25th Mar 13, 4:28pm
4
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler will face many variables and conditions, and he will be watching Canada first. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says watch the February overseas trade data tomorrow for a pullback on the Kiwi. Your view?
25th Mar 13, 3:52pm
20
Roger J Kerr says watch the February overseas trade data tomorrow for a pullback on the Kiwi. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our long-term interest rates are likely to be pulled up by US property, retail and jobs markets no matter what we do
19th Mar 13, 10:09am
1
Roger J Kerr says our long-term interest rates are likely to be pulled up by US property, retail and jobs markets no matter what we do
Roger J Kerr expects short term currency volatility as the BOP and GDP data is released. But then he sees a general pullback for the Kiwi. Your view?
19th Mar 13, 9:14am
Roger J Kerr expects short term currency volatility as the BOP and GDP data is released. But then he sees a general pullback for the Kiwi. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says a steepening yield curve shows interest rates will rise as borrowers re-centre their 'paying fixed' demand to the shorter end of the curve and investors hold cash waiting for the rise. You agree?
11th Mar 13, 2:02pm
Roger J Kerr says a steepening yield curve shows interest rates will rise as borrowers re-centre their 'paying fixed' demand to the shorter end of the curve and investors hold cash waiting for the rise. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says our export sector badly needs a stronger USD to send the NZD/USD rate back below 0.8000. Your view?
11th Mar 13, 11:37am
3
Roger J Kerr says our export sector badly needs a stronger USD to send the NZD/USD rate back below 0.8000. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says borrowers who missed the bottom in swap rates just before Christmas have another opportunity to fix on this pull-back in market rates. You agree?
5th Mar 13, 9:16am
Roger J Kerr says borrowers who missed the bottom in swap rates just before Christmas have another opportunity to fix on this pull-back in market rates. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says currency markets are recognising that it is not going to be plain sailing for the NZ economy this year. Your view?
5th Mar 13, 8:28am
1
Roger J Kerr says currency markets are recognising that it is not going to be plain sailing for the NZ economy this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the exchange rate as the main determinant of future inflation and growth, and therefore our interest rates. You agree?
26th Feb 13, 9:45am
1
Roger J Kerr sees the exchange rate as the main determinant of future inflation and growth, and therefore our interest rates. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says watch the Canadian dollar and you may see the future for the NZD is a lower track. Your view?
26th Feb 13, 7:59am
Roger J Kerr says watch the Canadian dollar and you may see the future for the NZD is a lower track. Your view?
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
19th Feb 13, 9:08am
2
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
18th Feb 13, 3:49pm
2
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
11th Feb 13, 2:26pm
7
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
11th Feb 13, 1:43pm
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
4th Feb 13, 10:30am
12
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
4th Feb 13, 9:18am
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:40pm
19
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:15pm
15
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?