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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says watch the February overseas trade data tomorrow for a pullback on the Kiwi. Your view?
25th Mar 13, 3:52pm
20
Roger J Kerr says watch the February overseas trade data tomorrow for a pullback on the Kiwi. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our long-term interest rates are likely to be pulled up by US property, retail and jobs markets no matter what we do
19th Mar 13, 10:09am
1
Roger J Kerr says our long-term interest rates are likely to be pulled up by US property, retail and jobs markets no matter what we do
Roger J Kerr expects short term currency volatility as the BOP and GDP data is released. But then he sees a general pullback for the Kiwi. Your view?
19th Mar 13, 9:14am
Roger J Kerr expects short term currency volatility as the BOP and GDP data is released. But then he sees a general pullback for the Kiwi. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says a steepening yield curve shows interest rates will rise as borrowers re-centre their 'paying fixed' demand to the shorter end of the curve and investors hold cash waiting for the rise. You agree?
11th Mar 13, 2:02pm
Roger J Kerr says a steepening yield curve shows interest rates will rise as borrowers re-centre their 'paying fixed' demand to the shorter end of the curve and investors hold cash waiting for the rise. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says our export sector badly needs a stronger USD to send the NZD/USD rate back below 0.8000. Your view?
11th Mar 13, 11:37am
3
Roger J Kerr says our export sector badly needs a stronger USD to send the NZD/USD rate back below 0.8000. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says borrowers who missed the bottom in swap rates just before Christmas have another opportunity to fix on this pull-back in market rates. You agree?
5th Mar 13, 9:16am
Roger J Kerr says borrowers who missed the bottom in swap rates just before Christmas have another opportunity to fix on this pull-back in market rates. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says currency markets are recognising that it is not going to be plain sailing for the NZ economy this year. Your view?
5th Mar 13, 8:28am
1
Roger J Kerr says currency markets are recognising that it is not going to be plain sailing for the NZ economy this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees the exchange rate as the main determinant of future inflation and growth, and therefore our interest rates. You agree?
26th Feb 13, 9:45am
1
Roger J Kerr sees the exchange rate as the main determinant of future inflation and growth, and therefore our interest rates. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says watch the Canadian dollar and you may see the future for the NZD is a lower track. Your view?
26th Feb 13, 7:59am
Roger J Kerr says watch the Canadian dollar and you may see the future for the NZD is a lower track. Your view?
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
19th Feb 13, 9:08am
2
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to state clearly it will not raise interest rates and it will introduce macro-prudential measures. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
18th Feb 13, 3:49pm
2
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
11th Feb 13, 2:26pm
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Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
11th Feb 13, 1:43pm
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
4th Feb 13, 10:30am
12
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
4th Feb 13, 9:18am
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:40pm
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Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:15pm
15
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 1:31pm
1
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
21st Jan 13, 11:55am
1
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 2:57pm
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Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
14th Jan 13, 1:58pm
1
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 9:47am
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Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
18th Dec 12, 8:47am
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Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 4:31pm
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
10th Dec 12, 3:42pm
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Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?