About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr takes the pulse of the likely Fed decisions, our Q2 data out this week, and the Aussie election fallout on our cross-rates
16th Sep 13, 11:36am
Roger J Kerr takes the pulse of the likely Fed decisions, our Q2 data out this week, and the Aussie election fallout on our cross-rates
Roger J Kerr points out his forecasts have been better than the gloomsters, and the RBNZ will now be 'forced' to upgrade
9th Sep 13, 4:31pm
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Roger J Kerr points out his forecasts have been better than the gloomsters, and the RBNZ will now be 'forced' to upgrade
Roger J Kerr sees Middle East tensions not causing as volatile reaction as previous crises; NZD may only suffer a mild sag
9th Sep 13, 4:03pm
Roger J Kerr sees Middle East tensions not causing as volatile reaction as previous crises; NZD may only suffer a mild sag
Roger J Kerr says strong economy means inflation pressures will lift; US tapering means the same
3rd Sep 13, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says strong economy means inflation pressures will lift; US tapering means the same
Roger J Kerr says a stronger US dollar in global markets over coming months may well hold the Kiwi closer to 76c
2nd Sep 13, 6:38pm
Roger J Kerr says a stronger US dollar in global markets over coming months may well hold the Kiwi closer to 76c
Roger J Kerr sees our economy humming with low mortgage rates and high export prices driving the higher activity
26th Aug 13, 1:53pm
Roger J Kerr sees our economy humming with low mortgage rates and high export prices driving the higher activity
Roger J Kerr sees the USD rising against the euro soon; but the NZD should rise later against the AUD on fundamentals
26th Aug 13, 12:45pm
Roger J Kerr sees the USD rising against the euro soon; but the NZD should rise later against the AUD on fundamentals
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to continue with its single accountable individual making interest rate decisions
19th Aug 13, 12:13pm
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Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to continue with its single accountable individual making interest rate decisions
Roger J Kerr says the appreciation of the NZD into headwinds tells you a lot about the increasing growth momentum in the New Zealand economy
19th Aug 13, 11:03am
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Roger J Kerr says the appreciation of the NZD into headwinds tells you a lot about the increasing growth momentum in the New Zealand economy
Roger J Kerr says recent events are a real reminder of just how narrow the base of our economy is
12th Aug 13, 3:15pm
Roger J Kerr says recent events are a real reminder of just how narrow the base of our economy is
Roger J Kerr says the overall trajectory of the US economy is good & US$ weakness is only temporary
12th Aug 13, 3:09pm
Roger J Kerr says the overall trajectory of the US economy is good & US$ weakness is only temporary
Roger J Kerr says it is a mistake to assume NZ will 'always' follow Australia; divergence risk is unusually high at present
5th Aug 13, 12:39pm
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Roger J Kerr says it is a mistake to assume NZ will 'always' follow Australia; divergence risk is unusually high at present
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD/AUD moves all priced in; suggests exporters lock in the EUR cross rate now
5th Aug 13, 12:14pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD/AUD moves all priced in; suggests exporters lock in the EUR cross rate now
Roger J Kerr wonders why Chinese buying houses causes a political reaction, unlike Swedes buying dairy land
29th Jul 13, 12:30pm
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Roger J Kerr wonders why Chinese buying houses causes a political reaction, unlike Swedes buying dairy land
Roger J Kerr takes a detailed look at the factors that affect companies when they make hedging decisions
29th Jul 13, 12:09pm
Roger J Kerr takes a detailed look at the factors that affect companies when they make hedging decisions
Roger J Kerr says the longer Wheeler leaves raising the OCR, the more difficult the adjustment becomes
22nd Jul 13, 10:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the longer Wheeler leaves raising the OCR, the more difficult the adjustment becomes
Roger J Kerr has some convincing evidence as to why the Kiwi dollar will outperform other currencies
22nd Jul 13, 9:34am
Roger J Kerr has some convincing evidence as to why the Kiwi dollar will outperform other currencies
Roger J Kerr sees the 'storm clouds' of inflation building as capacity utilisation rises, and despite the expected tame Q2 CPI result due today
16th Jul 13, 9:25am
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Roger J Kerr sees the 'storm clouds' of inflation building as capacity utilisation rises, and despite the expected tame Q2 CPI result due today
Roger J Kerr points out the relatively strong correlation between the TWI and house prices
16th Jul 13, 9:04am
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Roger J Kerr points out the relatively strong correlation between the TWI and house prices
Value destruction in the US bond market has hit unhedged local borrowers says Roger J Kerr
8th Jul 13, 2:28pm
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Value destruction in the US bond market has hit unhedged local borrowers says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr thinks the Kiwi dollar is set to outperform other major currencies against a strengthening USD
8th Jul 13, 1:39pm
Roger J Kerr thinks the Kiwi dollar is set to outperform other major currencies against a strengthening USD
Roger J Kerr says the higher currency value is effectively disguising other domestic price increases and the RBNZ will react too late
1st Jul 13, 4:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says the higher currency value is effectively disguising other domestic price increases and the RBNZ will react too late
Roger J Kerr sees a lot of data and policy changes that will affect the Aussie dollar with flow on effects for the Kiwi
1st Jul 13, 3:01pm
Roger J Kerr sees a lot of data and policy changes that will affect the Aussie dollar with flow on effects for the Kiwi
Roger J Kerr says the US 10-year Treasury bond yields still have a very long way to go in the new trend upwards
25th Jun 13, 9:07am
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Roger J Kerr says the US 10-year Treasury bond yields still have a very long way to go in the new trend upwards
Roger J Kerr reads the lead indicators and sees a range of 0.7500 to 0.8000 for the Kiwi dollar
24th Jun 13, 5:28pm
Roger J Kerr reads the lead indicators and sees a range of 0.7500 to 0.8000 for the Kiwi dollar