About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr says the future direction for our interest rates is now well signaled; expect them to 1% higher in one year's time
11th Nov 13, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says the future direction for our interest rates is now well signaled; expect them to 1% higher in one year's time
Roger J Kerr says the stronger US economic signals will see the NZD lower vs the USD despite our own strengthening domestic economy
11th Nov 13, 12:59pm
Roger J Kerr says the stronger US economic signals will see the NZD lower vs the USD despite our own strengthening domestic economy
Roger J Kerr says record low mortgage rates and high milk powder prices are behind our economic resurgence, aligning our stars
4th Nov 13, 11:37am
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Roger J Kerr says record low mortgage rates and high milk powder prices are behind our economic resurgence, aligning our stars
Roger J Kerr sees the recent NZD fall as no surprise in the context of the bigger market moves of the USD
4th Nov 13, 11:18am
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Roger J Kerr sees the recent NZD fall as no surprise in the context of the bigger market moves of the USD
Roger J Kerr sees no scenario where interest rates move lower or even stay stable; they are going up whatever way you look, he says
29th Oct 13, 1:21pm
Roger J Kerr sees no scenario where interest rates move lower or even stay stable; they are going up whatever way you look, he says
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD returning to trade in and around 0.8000 over the balance of the year
29th Oct 13, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD returning to trade in and around 0.8000 over the balance of the year
Roger J Kerr says the NZ$ is a not a currency that would attract global money when markets capitulate
21st Oct 13, 1:51pm
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ$ is a not a currency that would attract global money when markets capitulate
Roger J Kerr says if the NZ dollar stays high the RBNZ's first OCR increase could be later than March 2014
21st Oct 13, 1:42pm
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Roger J Kerr says if the NZ dollar stays high the RBNZ's first OCR increase could be later than March 2014
Roger J Kerr says the time has come for more local corporate debt issues, which offer much better returns than bank term deposits
14th Oct 13, 9:38am
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Roger J Kerr says the time has come for more local corporate debt issues, which offer much better returns than bank term deposits
Roger J Kerr sees markets reacting to the threat of Labour/Green policy U-turns well ahead of our elections
14th Oct 13, 9:09am
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Roger J Kerr sees markets reacting to the threat of Labour/Green policy U-turns well ahead of our elections
Roger J Kerr says the NZD faces two big risks; what the USD does, and market reaction to a Labour/Green poll surge
7th Oct 13, 1:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says the NZD faces two big risks; what the USD does, and market reaction to a Labour/Green poll surge
Roger J Kerr says the risks to the USD will 'soon blow over' and will resume its 'broad strengthening pathway'. He looks at the implications for the NZD
7th Oct 13, 11:00am
Roger J Kerr says the risks to the USD will 'soon blow over' and will resume its 'broad strengthening pathway'. He looks at the implications for the NZD
Roger J Kerr applauds the introduction of new tools such as the core funding ratio and LVR limits, chides critics
30th Sep 13, 11:49am
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Roger J Kerr applauds the introduction of new tools such as the core funding ratio and LVR limits, chides critics
Roger J Kerr sees the USD recovering ground lost during the debt ceiling debate, sees the NZD catching the AUD decline
30th Sep 13, 9:13am
Roger J Kerr sees the USD recovering ground lost during the debt ceiling debate, sees the NZD catching the AUD decline
Roger J Kerr says the US bond market does not buy into Fed policy U-turn; he doesn't buy the RBNZ inflation forecast either
23rd Sep 13, 4:16pm
Roger J Kerr says the US bond market does not buy into Fed policy U-turn; he doesn't buy the RBNZ inflation forecast either
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD's relationship to the USD returning to 'normal' when positive US economic data matches positive NZ economic data
23rd Sep 13, 3:05pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD's relationship to the USD returning to 'normal' when positive US economic data matches positive NZ economic data
Roger J Kerr says the increase in long-term interest rates is far from over; borrowers are about to be stressed
16th Sep 13, 12:08pm
Roger J Kerr says the increase in long-term interest rates is far from over; borrowers are about to be stressed
Roger J Kerr takes the pulse of the likely Fed decisions, our Q2 data out this week, and the Aussie election fallout on our cross-rates
16th Sep 13, 11:36am
Roger J Kerr takes the pulse of the likely Fed decisions, our Q2 data out this week, and the Aussie election fallout on our cross-rates
Roger J Kerr points out his forecasts have been better than the gloomsters, and the RBNZ will now be 'forced' to upgrade
9th Sep 13, 4:31pm
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Roger J Kerr points out his forecasts have been better than the gloomsters, and the RBNZ will now be 'forced' to upgrade
Roger J Kerr sees Middle East tensions not causing as volatile reaction as previous crises; NZD may only suffer a mild sag
9th Sep 13, 4:03pm
Roger J Kerr sees Middle East tensions not causing as volatile reaction as previous crises; NZD may only suffer a mild sag
Roger J Kerr says strong economy means inflation pressures will lift; US tapering means the same
3rd Sep 13, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says strong economy means inflation pressures will lift; US tapering means the same
Roger J Kerr says a stronger US dollar in global markets over coming months may well hold the Kiwi closer to 76c
2nd Sep 13, 6:38pm
Roger J Kerr says a stronger US dollar in global markets over coming months may well hold the Kiwi closer to 76c
Roger J Kerr sees our economy humming with low mortgage rates and high export prices driving the higher activity
26th Aug 13, 1:53pm
Roger J Kerr sees our economy humming with low mortgage rates and high export prices driving the higher activity
Roger J Kerr sees the USD rising against the euro soon; but the NZD should rise later against the AUD on fundamentals
26th Aug 13, 12:45pm
Roger J Kerr sees the USD rising against the euro soon; but the NZD should rise later against the AUD on fundamentals
Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to continue with its single accountable individual making interest rate decisions
19th Aug 13, 12:13pm
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Roger J Kerr wants the RBNZ to continue with its single accountable individual making interest rate decisions