About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr says the appreciation of the NZD into headwinds tells you a lot about the increasing growth momentum in the New Zealand economy
19th Aug 13, 11:03am
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Roger J Kerr says the appreciation of the NZD into headwinds tells you a lot about the increasing growth momentum in the New Zealand economy
Roger J Kerr says recent events are a real reminder of just how narrow the base of our economy is
12th Aug 13, 3:15pm
Roger J Kerr says recent events are a real reminder of just how narrow the base of our economy is
Roger J Kerr says the overall trajectory of the US economy is good & US$ weakness is only temporary
12th Aug 13, 3:09pm
Roger J Kerr says the overall trajectory of the US economy is good & US$ weakness is only temporary
Roger J Kerr says it is a mistake to assume NZ will 'always' follow Australia; divergence risk is unusually high at present
5th Aug 13, 12:39pm
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Roger J Kerr says it is a mistake to assume NZ will 'always' follow Australia; divergence risk is unusually high at present
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD/AUD moves all priced in; suggests exporters lock in the EUR cross rate now
5th Aug 13, 12:14pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD/AUD moves all priced in; suggests exporters lock in the EUR cross rate now
Roger J Kerr wonders why Chinese buying houses causes a political reaction, unlike Swedes buying dairy land
29th Jul 13, 12:30pm
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Roger J Kerr wonders why Chinese buying houses causes a political reaction, unlike Swedes buying dairy land
Roger J Kerr takes a detailed look at the factors that affect companies when they make hedging decisions
29th Jul 13, 12:09pm
Roger J Kerr takes a detailed look at the factors that affect companies when they make hedging decisions
Roger J Kerr says the longer Wheeler leaves raising the OCR, the more difficult the adjustment becomes
22nd Jul 13, 10:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the longer Wheeler leaves raising the OCR, the more difficult the adjustment becomes
Roger J Kerr has some convincing evidence as to why the Kiwi dollar will outperform other currencies
22nd Jul 13, 9:34am
Roger J Kerr has some convincing evidence as to why the Kiwi dollar will outperform other currencies
Roger J Kerr sees the 'storm clouds' of inflation building as capacity utilisation rises, and despite the expected tame Q2 CPI result due today
16th Jul 13, 9:25am
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Roger J Kerr sees the 'storm clouds' of inflation building as capacity utilisation rises, and despite the expected tame Q2 CPI result due today
Roger J Kerr points out the relatively strong correlation between the TWI and house prices
16th Jul 13, 9:04am
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Roger J Kerr points out the relatively strong correlation between the TWI and house prices
Value destruction in the US bond market has hit unhedged local borrowers says Roger J Kerr
8th Jul 13, 2:28pm
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Value destruction in the US bond market has hit unhedged local borrowers says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr thinks the Kiwi dollar is set to outperform other major currencies against a strengthening USD
8th Jul 13, 1:39pm
Roger J Kerr thinks the Kiwi dollar is set to outperform other major currencies against a strengthening USD
Roger J Kerr says the higher currency value is effectively disguising other domestic price increases and the RBNZ will react too late
1st Jul 13, 4:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says the higher currency value is effectively disguising other domestic price increases and the RBNZ will react too late
Roger J Kerr sees a lot of data and policy changes that will affect the Aussie dollar with flow on effects for the Kiwi
1st Jul 13, 3:01pm
Roger J Kerr sees a lot of data and policy changes that will affect the Aussie dollar with flow on effects for the Kiwi
Roger J Kerr says the US 10-year Treasury bond yields still have a very long way to go in the new trend upwards
25th Jun 13, 9:07am
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Roger J Kerr says the US 10-year Treasury bond yields still have a very long way to go in the new trend upwards
Roger J Kerr reads the lead indicators and sees a range of 0.7500 to 0.8000 for the Kiwi dollar
24th Jun 13, 5:28pm
Roger J Kerr reads the lead indicators and sees a range of 0.7500 to 0.8000 for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the inevitable increases in the OCR in early 2014 are likely to be larger and more rapid than what most expect
18th Jun 13, 8:54am
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Roger J Kerr says the inevitable increases in the OCR in early 2014 are likely to be larger and more rapid than what most expect
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD trading range between 0.75 and 0.83 over the next year
18th Jun 13, 8:08am
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD trading range between 0.75 and 0.83 over the next year
Roger J Kerr sees an economy humming and expects higher growth to be reflected in the GDP results and the RBNZ forecasts
11th Jun 13, 8:00am
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Roger J Kerr sees an economy humming and expects higher growth to be reflected in the GDP results and the RBNZ forecasts
Roger J Kerr thinks the future of both the AUD and NZD will depend on the US Fed's tapering policy actions
10th Jun 13, 4:23pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the future of both the AUD and NZD will depend on the US Fed's tapering policy actions
Roger J Kerr says reversing US bond yields will push our long-term interest rates up
6th May 13, 9:31am
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Roger J Kerr says reversing US bond yields will push our long-term interest rates up
Roger J Kerr shows why the NZD has been outperforming the AUD and may continue to do that
6th May 13, 7:47am
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Roger J Kerr shows why the NZD has been outperforming the AUD and may continue to do that
Roger J Kerr says it's not the retailer-generators causing power price inflation, it's the Govt-owned grid and highly regulated lines companies
29th Apr 13, 11:07am
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Roger J Kerr says it's not the retailer-generators causing power price inflation, it's the Govt-owned grid and highly regulated lines companies
Roger J Kerr explains why he still thinks the NZD has got 'too far ahead of itself' and is due a correction. Your view?
29th Apr 13, 10:05am
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Roger J Kerr explains why he still thinks the NZD has got 'too far ahead of itself' and is due a correction. Your view?