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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr worries that inflation risks loom large if our exchange rate falls, exposing us to unpleasant consequences
3rd Feb 14, 8:17am
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Roger J Kerr worries that inflation risks loom large if our exchange rate falls, exposing us to unpleasant consequences
Roger J Kerr looks at how Canada's currency has fared recently, and finds senarios that could see the NZD 'suffer' similarly. Your view?
3rd Feb 14, 7:30am
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Roger J Kerr looks at how Canada's currency has fared recently, and finds senarios that could see the NZD 'suffer' similarly. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says because the exchange rate plays a massive role in our economy, the RBNZ has only tough choices as markets expect OCR rises this year
28th Jan 14, 6:20pm
Roger J Kerr says because the exchange rate plays a massive role in our economy, the RBNZ has only tough choices as markets expect OCR rises this year
Watch for the NZD to be sold down below 0.8200, probably before the OCR review on Thursday says Roger J Kerr
28th Jan 14, 12:38pm
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Watch for the NZD to be sold down below 0.8200, probably before the OCR review on Thursday says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr says history says the NZD/AUD forays into the 0.9000’s never last long and the two economies eventually re-align
20th Jan 14, 8:56am
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Roger J Kerr says history says the NZD/AUD forays into the 0.9000’s never last long and the two economies eventually re-align
Roger J Kerr gets specific and looks at what is in store for the NZD in the year ahead
13th Jan 14, 12:06pm
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Roger J Kerr gets specific and looks at what is in store for the NZD in the year ahead
Roger J Kerr says borrowers need to use longer dated swaps to get the positive values to immunise year to year interest costs against adverse market movements
13th Jan 14, 11:34am
Roger J Kerr says borrowers need to use longer dated swaps to get the positive values to immunise year to year interest costs against adverse market movements
Roger J Kerr says US bond yields could provide a surprise for the New Zealand swap market next year
17th Dec 13, 11:41am
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Roger J Kerr says US bond yields could provide a surprise for the New Zealand swap market next year
Roger J Kerr wonders if the usual NZ dollar holiday strengthening will happen this summer
17th Dec 13, 10:20am
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Roger J Kerr wonders if the usual NZ dollar holiday strengthening will happen this summer
Roger J Kerr says short-term interest rates will be increasing sooner and in larger jumps in 2014 if the NZ dollar depreciates
9th Dec 13, 12:45pm
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Roger J Kerr says short-term interest rates will be increasing sooner and in larger jumps in 2014 if the NZ dollar depreciates
Roger J Kerr says a frustrated RBNZ will delay OCR hikes while the NZD is this high
9th Dec 13, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr says a frustrated RBNZ will delay OCR hikes while the NZD is this high
Roger J Kerr says surging capacity utilisation portends an inflation burst. Get ready for OCR rate hikes
2nd Dec 13, 6:20pm
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Roger J Kerr says surging capacity utilisation portends an inflation burst. Get ready for OCR rate hikes
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below US$0.80 as it is dragged lower by our Tasman cousins
2nd Dec 13, 6:11pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below US$0.80 as it is dragged lower by our Tasman cousins
Roger J Kerr says borrowers have finally realised that short-term interest rates in New Zealand are now more likely to increase by 2% over the next 18 months
25th Nov 13, 11:27am
Roger J Kerr says borrowers have finally realised that short-term interest rates in New Zealand are now more likely to increase by 2% over the next 18 months
Roger J Kerr says the verbal intervention from the RBA last week shows they prefer a lower currency over lower interest rates
25th Nov 13, 11:02am
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Roger J Kerr says the verbal intervention from the RBA last week shows they prefer a lower currency over lower interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the US bond and currency markets are making life tough for the RBNZ Governor
18th Nov 13, 2:05pm
Roger J Kerr says the US bond and currency markets are making life tough for the RBNZ Governor
Roger J Kerr says NZ dollar gains to AU$0.89 over this past week appear over-cooked and prone to reversal
18th Nov 13, 2:00pm
Roger J Kerr says NZ dollar gains to AU$0.89 over this past week appear over-cooked and prone to reversal
Roger J Kerr says the future direction for our interest rates is now well signaled; expect them to 1% higher in one year's time
11th Nov 13, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says the future direction for our interest rates is now well signaled; expect them to 1% higher in one year's time
Roger J Kerr says the stronger US economic signals will see the NZD lower vs the USD despite our own strengthening domestic economy
11th Nov 13, 12:59pm
Roger J Kerr says the stronger US economic signals will see the NZD lower vs the USD despite our own strengthening domestic economy
Roger J Kerr says record low mortgage rates and high milk powder prices are behind our economic resurgence, aligning our stars
4th Nov 13, 11:37am
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Roger J Kerr says record low mortgage rates and high milk powder prices are behind our economic resurgence, aligning our stars
Roger J Kerr sees the recent NZD fall as no surprise in the context of the bigger market moves of the USD
4th Nov 13, 11:18am
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Roger J Kerr sees the recent NZD fall as no surprise in the context of the bigger market moves of the USD
Roger J Kerr sees no scenario where interest rates move lower or even stay stable; they are going up whatever way you look, he says
29th Oct 13, 1:21pm
Roger J Kerr sees no scenario where interest rates move lower or even stay stable; they are going up whatever way you look, he says
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD returning to trade in and around 0.8000 over the balance of the year
29th Oct 13, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD returning to trade in and around 0.8000 over the balance of the year
Roger J Kerr says the NZ$ is a not a currency that would attract global money when markets capitulate
21st Oct 13, 1:51pm
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ$ is a not a currency that would attract global money when markets capitulate
Roger J Kerr says if the NZ dollar stays high the RBNZ's first OCR increase could be later than March 2014
21st Oct 13, 1:42pm
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Roger J Kerr says if the NZ dollar stays high the RBNZ's first OCR increase could be later than March 2014