Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says the Trade Weighted Index is looking down the barrel of a significant drop

Roger J Kerr says the Trade Weighted Index is looking down the barrel of a significant drop

Roger J Kerr says because mortgage holders aren't fixing long, OCR increases this year and next will bite the retail and housing sectors earlier and harder

Roger J Kerr says because mortgage holders aren't fixing long, OCR increases this year and next will bite the retail and housing sectors earlier and harder

Roger J Kerr says it would be more effective for the RBNZ to not increase the OCR in April, surprise the markets causing NZD selling and depreciation

Roger J Kerr says it would be more effective for the RBNZ to not increase the OCR in April, surprise the markets causing NZD selling and depreciation

Roger J Kerr looks at the official interest rate 'forecasts' by the RBNZ and sees them more as working assumptions, changeable as circumstances alter

Roger J Kerr looks at the official interest rate 'forecasts' by the RBNZ and sees them more as working assumptions, changeable as circumstances alter

Roger J Kerr says that Yellen's timing and the wholemilk powder prices drops are not positive for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says that Yellen's timing and the wholemilk powder prices drops are not positive for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says there's a major inflation problem in the NZ economy that the RBNZ seems unable or unwilling to address

Roger J Kerr says there's a major inflation problem in the NZ economy that the RBNZ seems unable or unwilling to address

Roger J Kerr sees the lack of flow-through since the OCR decision as confirming offshore investors are wary of the high NZD

Roger J Kerr sees the lack of flow-through since the OCR decision as confirming offshore investors are wary of the high NZD

Roger J Kerr looks at the risks or developments that could force the RBNZ to re-assess and adjust the expected pace of OCR increases

Roger J Kerr looks at the risks or developments that could force the RBNZ to re-assess and adjust the expected pace of OCR increases

Roger J Kerr expects the long-term resistance for the NZ dollar around US85c to prevail again

Roger J Kerr expects the long-term resistance for the NZ dollar around US85c to prevail again

Roger J Kerr sees US growth, capacity utilisation and inflation as the main drivers of global interest rate directions and he sees big rises over the next year

Roger J Kerr sees US growth, capacity utilisation and inflation as the main drivers of global interest rate directions and he sees big rises over the next year

Roger J Kerr says despite the diverging economic paths, the NZD and the AUD will both find their own separate lower levels against the USD

Roger J Kerr says despite the diverging economic paths, the NZD and the AUD will both find their own separate lower levels against the USD

Roger J Kerr sees a lot of interest rate risk being taken with mortgages, which may foreshadow subdued consumer spending over the next two years

Roger J Kerr sees a lot of interest rate risk being taken with mortgages, which may foreshadow subdued consumer spending over the next two years

Roger J Kerr finds that smaller exporters with NZD/AUD risks manage their financial affairs in a superior manner to the big boys

Roger J Kerr finds that smaller exporters with NZD/AUD risks manage their financial affairs in a superior manner to the big boys

Roger J Kerr tells Graeme Wheeler to take the slow boat to the normalisation of our short-term interest rates

Roger J Kerr tells Graeme Wheeler to take the slow boat to the normalisation of our short-term interest rates

Roger J Kerr reminds us that our structural current account deficit requires NZ to be liked by foreign investors; he warns of consequences from arbitary political change

Roger J Kerr reminds us that our structural current account deficit requires NZ to be liked by foreign investors; he warns of consequences from arbitary political change

Roger J Kerr looks at why the NZD has not fallen to US$0.80 yet and what is ahead

Roger J Kerr looks at why the NZD has not fallen to US$0.80 yet and what is ahead

Roger J Kerr looks at the underlying reasons long term base rates and related spreads are set to increase

Roger J Kerr looks at the underlying reasons long term base rates and related spreads are set to increase

Roger J Kerr worries that inflation risks loom large if our exchange rate falls, exposing us to unpleasant consequences

Roger J Kerr worries that inflation risks loom large if our exchange rate falls, exposing us to unpleasant consequences

Roger J Kerr looks at how Canada's currency has fared recently, and finds senarios that could see the NZD 'suffer' similarly. Your view?

Roger J Kerr looks at how Canada's currency has fared recently, and finds senarios that could see the NZD 'suffer' similarly. Your view?

Roger J Kerr says because the exchange rate plays a massive role in our economy, the RBNZ has only tough choices as markets expect OCR rises this year

Roger J Kerr says because the exchange rate plays a massive role in our economy, the RBNZ has only tough choices as markets expect OCR rises this year

Watch for the NZD to be sold down below 0.8200, probably before the OCR review on Thursday says Roger J Kerr

Watch for the NZD to be sold down below 0.8200, probably before the OCR review on Thursday says Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says history says the NZD/AUD forays into the 0.9000’s never last long and the two economies eventually re-align

Roger J Kerr says history says the NZD/AUD forays into the 0.9000’s never last long and the two economies eventually re-align

Roger J Kerr gets specific and looks at what is in store for the NZD in the year ahead

Roger J Kerr gets specific and looks at what is in store for the NZD in the year ahead

Roger J Kerr says borrowers need to use longer dated swaps to get the positive values to immunise year to year interest costs against adverse market movements

Roger J Kerr says borrowers need to use longer dated swaps to get the positive values to immunise year to year interest costs against adverse market movements

Roger J Kerr says US bond yields could provide a surprise for the New Zealand swap market next year

Roger J Kerr says US bond yields could provide a surprise for the New Zealand swap market next year