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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ may consider cancelling OCR increases in June/July if the exchange rate stays high
5th May 14, 8:06am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ may consider cancelling OCR increases in June/July if the exchange rate stays high
Roger J Kerr sees the golden run ending as the 'upcoming winter months may be somewhat tougher for the economy than most expect'
28th Apr 14, 10:35am
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Roger J Kerr sees the golden run ending as the 'upcoming winter months may be somewhat tougher for the economy than most expect'
Roger J Kerr says both the upcoming US jobs report and the Aussie budget are likely to be negative for the NZD, reinforcing the drop in milk powder prices
28th Apr 14, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says both the upcoming US jobs report and the Aussie budget are likely to be negative for the NZD, reinforcing the drop in milk powder prices
Roger J Kerr advises the RBNZ to select their words much more carefully this time than they did in March as the currency needs to follow dairy prices down
22nd Apr 14, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr advises the RBNZ to select their words much more carefully this time than they did in March as the currency needs to follow dairy prices down
Roger J Kerr reminds us that the demand to invest into NZ’s higher yields dissipates quickly if the currency ceases to appreciate and starts to depreciate
22nd Apr 14, 10:55am
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Roger J Kerr reminds us that the demand to invest into NZ’s higher yields dissipates quickly if the currency ceases to appreciate and starts to depreciate
Roger J Kerr warns that interest rate increases could be a lot sooner and more severe if the NZ dollar falls sharply
14th Apr 14, 3:30pm
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Roger J Kerr warns that interest rate increases could be a lot sooner and more severe if the NZ dollar falls sharply
Roger J Kerr says a surprise 'no change' OCR decision would be much more effective to pull the NZ dollar down than jawboning
14th Apr 14, 12:18pm
Roger J Kerr says a surprise 'no change' OCR decision would be much more effective to pull the NZ dollar down than jawboning
Roger J Kerr wonders who will buy US bonds now that the Fed is cutting back; selling pressure will force yields higher
7th Apr 14, 12:53pm
Roger J Kerr wonders who will buy US bonds now that the Fed is cutting back; selling pressure will force yields higher
Roger J Kerr says the Trade Weighted Index is looking down the barrel of a significant drop
7th Apr 14, 11:57am
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Roger J Kerr says the Trade Weighted Index is looking down the barrel of a significant drop
Roger J Kerr says because mortgage holders aren't fixing long, OCR increases this year and next will bite the retail and housing sectors earlier and harder
1st Apr 14, 5:00am
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Roger J Kerr says because mortgage holders aren't fixing long, OCR increases this year and next will bite the retail and housing sectors earlier and harder
Roger J Kerr says it would be more effective for the RBNZ to not increase the OCR in April, surprise the markets causing NZD selling and depreciation
31st Mar 14, 5:10pm
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Roger J Kerr says it would be more effective for the RBNZ to not increase the OCR in April, surprise the markets causing NZD selling and depreciation
Roger J Kerr looks at the official interest rate 'forecasts' by the RBNZ and sees them more as working assumptions, changeable as circumstances alter
24th Mar 14, 5:36pm
Roger J Kerr looks at the official interest rate 'forecasts' by the RBNZ and sees them more as working assumptions, changeable as circumstances alter
Roger J Kerr says that Yellen's timing and the wholemilk powder prices drops are not positive for the Kiwi dollar
24th Mar 14, 4:07pm
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Roger J Kerr says that Yellen's timing and the wholemilk powder prices drops are not positive for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says there's a major inflation problem in the NZ economy that the RBNZ seems unable or unwilling to address
17th Mar 14, 11:55am
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Roger J Kerr says there's a major inflation problem in the NZ economy that the RBNZ seems unable or unwilling to address
Roger J Kerr sees the lack of flow-through since the OCR decision as confirming offshore investors are wary of the high NZD
17th Mar 14, 11:31am
Roger J Kerr sees the lack of flow-through since the OCR decision as confirming offshore investors are wary of the high NZD
Roger J Kerr looks at the risks or developments that could force the RBNZ to re-assess and adjust the expected pace of OCR increases
10th Mar 14, 10:46am
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Roger J Kerr looks at the risks or developments that could force the RBNZ to re-assess and adjust the expected pace of OCR increases
Roger J Kerr expects the long-term resistance for the NZ dollar around US85c to prevail again
10th Mar 14, 10:36am
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Roger J Kerr expects the long-term resistance for the NZ dollar around US85c to prevail again
Roger J Kerr sees US growth, capacity utilisation and inflation as the main drivers of global interest rate directions and he sees big rises over the next year
3rd Mar 14, 4:22pm
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Roger J Kerr sees US growth, capacity utilisation and inflation as the main drivers of global interest rate directions and he sees big rises over the next year
Roger J Kerr says despite the diverging economic paths, the NZD and the AUD will both find their own separate lower levels against the USD
3rd Mar 14, 2:53pm
Roger J Kerr says despite the diverging economic paths, the NZD and the AUD will both find their own separate lower levels against the USD
Roger J Kerr sees a lot of interest rate risk being taken with mortgages, which may foreshadow subdued consumer spending over the next two years
24th Feb 14, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr sees a lot of interest rate risk being taken with mortgages, which may foreshadow subdued consumer spending over the next two years
Roger J Kerr finds that smaller exporters with NZD/AUD risks manage their financial affairs in a superior manner to the big boys
24th Feb 14, 10:36am
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Roger J Kerr finds that smaller exporters with NZD/AUD risks manage their financial affairs in a superior manner to the big boys
Roger J Kerr tells Graeme Wheeler to take the slow boat to the normalisation of our short-term interest rates
18th Feb 14, 7:00am
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Roger J Kerr tells Graeme Wheeler to take the slow boat to the normalisation of our short-term interest rates
Roger J Kerr reminds us that our structural current account deficit requires NZ to be liked by foreign investors; he warns of consequences from arbitary political change
17th Feb 14, 4:36pm
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Roger J Kerr reminds us that our structural current account deficit requires NZ to be liked by foreign investors; he warns of consequences from arbitary political change
Roger J Kerr looks at why the NZD has not fallen to US$0.80 yet and what is ahead
10th Feb 14, 4:10pm
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Roger J Kerr looks at why the NZD has not fallen to US$0.80 yet and what is ahead
Roger J Kerr looks at the underlying reasons long term base rates and related spreads are set to increase
10th Feb 14, 3:33pm
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Roger J Kerr looks at the underlying reasons long term base rates and related spreads are set to increase