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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

16 years 7 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
2
Roger J Kerr says fx market intervention by the RBNZ is not going to happen, and a weaker AUD and EUR against the USD means the NZD will come back down. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
7
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
12
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
19
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
15
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
1
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ can sit on its hands for a lot longer yet following the low inflation levels in Q4; watches bank credit margins halve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
1
Roger J Kerr suspects a February correction in the Dow will be the trigger to get the NZD down to 81.5 USc. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
6
Roger J Kerr says central bank monetary policy settings are important for our interest rate prospects. He assesses what lies ahead in 5 key countries. Your view?
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
1
Roger J Kerr looks ahead to the forces and trends that will influence the NZD in 2013. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
5
Roger J Kerr sees a fairly positive outlook for 2013 and claims the doomster forecasts for 2012 that didn't materialise reinforce reasons to be upbeat. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
15
Roger J Kerr says all the NZD gains have now been had, and the usual January surge will not happen this year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says most exporters have adapted to the higher exchange rate and he has no time for the 'bring-back-subsidies' business groups. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
3
Roger J Kerr says the rising risks related to the US fiscal cliff negotiations means the Kiwi dollar will not maintain rates above 0.8300 for very long. Your view?
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
7
Roger J Kerr likes what he sees in an improving economy, but he worries about a 'nightmare scenario' of a dry summer and a high currency. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
Roger J Kerr expects a December cut by the RBA and their currency drop. Equity and currency market volatility is negative for the NZD. Your view?
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
3
Roger J Kerr warns corporate risk managers to act now to avoid getting caught a retail mortgage stampede to fix, says look futher ahead than just next 12 months. Your view?
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr won't be surprised by negative GDP in Q3, nor a December cut by the RBA. If our weather goes dry as well, he also sees a rating cut for NZ. Your view?
Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
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Roger J Kerr sees "massive changes" at the Bank of Japan, more action to get the economy going after years of slumber. Your view?
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
7
Roger J Kerr thinks one rogue number will not panic the RBNZ who are trying to avoid an inflation pincer move where tradable and non-tradable prices both spike next year. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
1
Roger J Kerr says weak jobs data has the Kiwi dollar testing the downside. Your view?
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
26
Roger J Kerr calls for the RBNZ governor to make a pre-emptive visit to the banks to tone down their mortgage lending aggression. Your view?
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
3
Roger J Kerr says the RBA decision tomorrow on interest rates determines near term Kiwi direction. You agree?
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?
1
Roger J Kerr finds nine reasons to like the new broom at the RBNZ and sees rates rising modestly in the future. Your view?