Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.
MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
TSB, ICBC, Nelson Building Society and Kookmin Bank all raised fixed rates. Heartland Bank also hiked its reverse mortgage interest rate by +25 bps to 6.45%.
TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
Kookmin Bank and ICBC also raised most term deposit rates.
GRIM
Kiwi households aren't in a good mood. The latest survey of consumer confidence is just awful. The ANZ NZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence survey dropped in February to its lowest level since this survey began in 2004. Interest rates, inflation and high consumer prices are all conspiring to dampen the economic outlook. Despite this, the news had no impact on the NZD.
MUCH GRIMMER
Unconfirmed reports out of Ukraine from their Foreign Ministry say that Russian forces are targeting a nuclear plant there, firing artillery at it, and preventing firefighting efforts. This is very serious as it is Europe's largest nuclear power facility. This news is moving markets.
A LITTLE LESS MISMATCH
By regulation, NZ banks are required to hold a sufficient stock of liquid assets to be able to fill the projected ‘mismatch’ between cash inflows and outflows over the next week and the next month. These mismatchs reduced slightly in January from December. But they are still relatively high compared with 2019 levels, and now at about 2020 levels (and above 2021 averages).
ALUMINIUM JUMPS AGAIN
The price of aluminium has leapt again, breaking new records daily.
P2P RATES RISE
Lending Crowd raised most of its lending and investor rates on their P2P platform today.
GOLD HIGHER
In early Asian trading, gold is now at US$1935/oz and up +US$4 from this time yesterday. A week ago it was at US$1918, so a net +US$17/oz rise since then, or just +1.2%.
EQUITIES ENDING WORRIED
Wall Street ended its Thursday session down -0.5% with the prospect of a positive US non-farm payrolls report overshadowed by ugly news out of Ukraine. That news has Tokyo down -2.8%. Hong Kong is down -2.5% at their open. Shanghai is down -0.6% at its open today. The ASX200 is down -1.3% in early afternoon trade there but heading for a +0.8% weekly gain. The NZX50 is down -1.0% near its close, but heading for a +1.4% weekly gain.
SWAPS VOLATILE
We don't have today's closing swap rates yet. They are likely to be up but by the end of trading maybe not by much. But before the Ukraine news they were up sharply, now that is being pegged back quickly. The 90 day bank bill rate is unchanged at 1.34%. The Australian Govt ten year benchmark bond rate is up +1 bp from this time yesterday to 2.16%. (A week ago it was at 2.24%.) The China Govt 10yr is up +1 bp at 2.86% and up +4 bps in a week. The New Zealand Govt 10 year bond rate is now at 2.76% (down -2 bps) and now still well below the earlier RBNZ fix for that 10yr rate at 2.81% (up +1 bp). The US Govt ten year is now at 1.81%, a -4 bps fall from this time yesterday.
NZ DOLLAR FIRM
The Kiwi dollar is little-changed than this time yesterday, now at 67.8 USc. Against the Aussie we are down -¼c at 92.7 AUc. Against the euro we are up +½c at 61.5 euro cents. That means the TWI-5 is firmer at 72.7. A week ago it was at 71.8, so a +90 bps.
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BITCOIN LOWER
Bitcoin is down -5.9% today, now at US$41,259. From a week ago however it is up +7.7%. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been high at just on +/- 3.6%.
This soil moisture chart is animated here.
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