US Federal Reserve

11 Feb 19, 8:27am
Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter
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4 Feb 19, 8:01am
Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months
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16 Jan 19, 8:52am
David Lublin argues that rising interest rates are reducing China's self-confidence and constraining its global ambitions. A fragile capital account is hardly a strong foundation for aggressive Chinese foreign policy
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14 Jan 19, 8:12am
Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift
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7 Jan 19, 7:54am
Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility
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27 Dec 18, 9:02am
Stephen Roach congratulates the US Fed for the courage to commit to normalising interest rate. He says there is simply no other way to break the US economy's 20yr dependence on asset bubbles
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21 Dec 18, 10:10am
Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves
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17 Dec 18, 8:25am
Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower
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10 Dec 18, 8:08am
Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar
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3 Dec 18, 8:26am
Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range
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26 Nov 18, 8:37am
Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices
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19 Nov 18, 8:16am
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi
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12 Nov 18, 8:03am
Roger J Kerr says the sharp recent revival of the New Zealand currency is due to a combination of factors
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5 Nov 18, 8:09am
Roger J Kerr sees more positives for the Kiwi dollar from global developments but believes the currency may give back some of its recent gains if the Reserve Bank 'inexplicably' maintains its 'overtly dovish economic outlook'
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29 Oct 18, 9:37am
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ will be forced by the data to revise their inflation forecasts higher, and it will be impossible for them to maintain their overtly dovish tone of recent statements.
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23 Oct 18, 9:50am
Stephen Roach points to global and domestic factors aligning to push up US prices faster than the Fed may expect, vexing everyone in an interconnected world
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23 Oct 18, 8:00am
Roger J Kerr says the strong performance of the Kiwi dollar recently underlines how oversold it had become. Its rise against the AUD deserves special mention
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15 Oct 18, 8:13am
Roger J Kerr says the big sell-off that has been seen in the Kiwi dollar is really due to the falling Australian dollar - which itself is a reflection of the weaker Chinese economy
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8 Oct 18, 9:29am
Roger J Kerr says the next significant event for the Kiwi dollar on its own account will be the CPI data for the September quarter released on Tuesday 16 October
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1 Oct 18, 8:29am
Roger J Kerr says the rising global oil prices we are seeing have direct implications for currency values
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