Jarrod Kerr
There weren't too many surprises in the new inflation figures out of Statistics NZ, but there’s enough in the data to keep the RBNZ nervous
17th Apr 24, 4:01pm
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There weren't too many surprises in the new inflation figures out of Statistics NZ, but there’s enough in the data to keep the RBNZ nervous
[updated]
RBNZ holds OCR at 5.50%, says restrictive OCR for sustained time will return CPI inflation to 1% to 3% target in 2024
10th Apr 24, 2:36pm
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RBNZ holds OCR at 5.50%, says restrictive OCR for sustained time will return CPI inflation to 1% to 3% target in 2024
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
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Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
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Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
[updated]
There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
12th Feb 24, 12:22pm
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There are clear signs that the RBNZ’s 'heavy handed hikes' are inhibiting household demand, and hurting business, Kiwibank economists say
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
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With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
26th Jan 24, 10:01am
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Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
22nd Jan 24, 3:05pm
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With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
New Zealand's economy has been slowing faster than forecasters expected
Kiwibank's chief economist Jarrod Kerr fires up the summer BBQ chat by saying everything wrong with the kiwi property market can be put down to supply and a lack of it - but most policy makers focus on demand because it's what they can influence
11th Dec 23, 2:07pm
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Kiwibank's chief economist Jarrod Kerr fires up the summer BBQ chat by saying everything wrong with the kiwi property market can be put down to supply and a lack of it - but most policy makers focus on demand because it's what they can influence
Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect
4th Dec 23, 12:15pm
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Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect
Wholesale interest rates have fallen since Wednesday when the RBNZ warned of another rate hike
1st Dec 23, 2:52pm
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Wholesale interest rates have fallen since Wednesday when the RBNZ warned of another rate hike
Kiwibank economists say households are showing few signs of financial stress in the face of higher interest rates, but 'a lot hinges on the labour market'
16th Nov 23, 1:03pm
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Kiwibank economists say households are showing few signs of financial stress in the face of higher interest rates, but 'a lot hinges on the labour market'
Hawkish forecasters think rates need to go higher-for-longer, while dovish economists think the RBNZ may have already overcooked the chook
12th Nov 23, 6:00am
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Hawkish forecasters think rates need to go higher-for-longer, while dovish economists think the RBNZ may have already overcooked the chook
Latest REINZ housing market data suggest 'momentum is building and that is likely to continue throughout the spring', economists say
14th Sep 23, 11:58am
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Latest REINZ housing market data suggest 'momentum is building and that is likely to continue throughout the spring', economists say
'We see quarterly economic activity flitting between small positives and negatives over the remainder of 2023. In per capita terms the economic downturn will be much more pronounced' - ASB economists
29th Aug 23, 11:37am
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'We see quarterly economic activity flitting between small positives and negatives over the remainder of 2023. In per capita terms the economic downturn will be much more pronounced' - ASB economists
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
22nd Aug 23, 11:34am
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If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
14th Aug 23, 11:37am
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While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
Kiwibank economists think there should be a fall in New Zealand's wholesale interest rates after this week's Official Cash Rate announcement
10th Jul 23, 3:51pm
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Kiwibank economists think there should be a fall in New Zealand's wholesale interest rates after this week's Official Cash Rate announcement
Household net worth falls to $2.2 trillion in a fifth consecutive decline as the pandemic bubble deflates
6th Jul 23, 12:45pm
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Household net worth falls to $2.2 trillion in a fifth consecutive decline as the pandemic bubble deflates
Kiwibank economists say all three key drivers of the housing market point to a stronger market and house price gains; Westpac economists say housing market one of the key things they will be watching
19th Jun 23, 1:53pm
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Kiwibank economists say all three key drivers of the housing market point to a stronger market and house price gains; Westpac economists say housing market one of the key things they will be watching
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
16th Jun 23, 6:39am
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A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
12th Jun 23, 3:22pm
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Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
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ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision
22nd May 23, 2:23pm
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The Reserve Bank is almost being 'out-hawked' by economists as they bid up the odds of higher interest rates ahead of this week's latest Official Cash Rate decision