Stuart Ritson
Risk sentiment recovered, with equities reversing the post-FOMC selloff. US yields fell and the curve flattened, helped by an initial dip in oil prices and stronger gilts
Risk sentiment recovered, with equities reversing the post-FOMC selloff. US yields fell and the curve flattened, helped by an initial dip in oil prices and stronger gilts
Monthly core US CPI was firmer than forecast, strengthening the case for tighter policy. Markets imply around a 90% chance of a 25bp hike at this week’s FOMC meeting. The US Treasury curve flattened as 2-year yields make a new cycle high
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Monthly core US CPI was firmer than forecast, strengthening the case for tighter policy. Markets imply around a 90% chance of a 25bp hike at this week’s FOMC meeting. The US Treasury curve flattened as 2-year yields make a new cycle high
Brent crude pushed above $107, lifting yields and the USD while weighing on equities. Bond yields reached fresh multi-year highs. The ECB hiked rates and delivered hawkish commentary
Brent crude pushed above $107, lifting yields and the USD while weighing on equities. Bond yields reached fresh multi-year highs. The ECB hiked rates and delivered hawkish commentary
US payrolls surprised strongly, lifting US Treasury yields and nudging up pricing for a September Fed hike. Equities softened while the US dollar’s initial gains faded. Record US diesel prices highlight their ongoing energy-market pressures
US payrolls surprised strongly, lifting US Treasury yields and nudging up pricing for a September Fed hike. Equities softened while the US dollar’s initial gains faded. Record US diesel prices highlight their ongoing energy-market pressures
Fed Governor Waller tempered expectations for a September hike. US equities rallied. The US dollar weakened broadly, while the yen led gains on firmer expectations of BoJ tightening
Fed Governor Waller tempered expectations for a September hike. US equities rallied. The US dollar weakened broadly, while the yen led gains on firmer expectations of BoJ tightening
Front-end US Treasury yields rose sharply after Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks. Market pricing for a September Fed hike increased to around 60%. The US dollar strengthened broadly
Front-end US Treasury yields rose sharply after Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks. Market pricing for a September Fed hike increased to around 60%. The US dollar strengthened broadly
US equities rose, led by Nvidia’s strong outlook. Rates and FX markets were subdued, with US Treasuries broadly stable. Markets now turn to Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
US equities rose, led by Nvidia’s strong outlook. Rates and FX markets were subdued, with US Treasuries broadly stable. Markets now turn to Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
PMIs pointed to resilient activity, with stronger US services and an improved Eurozone manufacturing signal supporting risk sentiment. Precious metals extended recent gains, while Brent crude reached a one-month high
PMIs pointed to resilient activity, with stronger US services and an improved Eurozone manufacturing signal supporting risk sentiment. Precious metals extended recent gains, while Brent crude reached a one-month high
US Treasury yields rebounded, led by the long end, as investors looked through Treasury buyback plans. Oil rose to its highest level in almost a month
US Treasury yields rebounded, led by the long end, as investors looked through Treasury buyback plans. Oil rose to its highest level in almost a month
Reports that the US Treasury plans to increase longer-dated buybacks contributed to a sharp fall in 30-year yields. The US dollar fell to its lowest level since May
Reports that the US Treasury plans to increase longer-dated buybacks contributed to a sharp fall in 30-year yields. The US dollar fell to its lowest level since May
US retail sales and consumer sentiment were weaker than expected. The post-data US Treasury rally reversed, with 10-year yields ending near 4.70%. Long ends of European curves come under pressure
US retail sales and consumer sentiment were weaker than expected. The post-data US Treasury rally reversed, with 10-year yields ending near 4.70%. Long ends of European curves come under pressure
A large downside surprise in US payrolls reduced expectations for a September Fed rate hike. An initial rally in US Treasuries faded. The data brought a broad-based fall in the US dollar, with the NZD pushing up. Gold prices extended recent gains
A large downside surprise in US payrolls reduced expectations for a September Fed rate hike. An initial rally in US Treasuries faded. The data brought a broad-based fall in the US dollar, with the NZD pushing up. Gold prices extended recent gains
US equities consolidate near record highs. Oil prices were stable on signs of deal to reopen Hormuz. Gold prices surge more than 4%
US equities consolidate near record highs. Oil prices were stable on signs of deal to reopen Hormuz. Gold prices surge more than 4%
US equities ended July on a firmer note, with the S&P 500 up 0.7%. The yen gained after rate checks by the NY Fed, & coordination between US and Japanese authorities. US Treasury yields extended their recent rise, led by the long end of the curve
US equities ended July on a firmer note, with the S&P 500 up 0.7%. The yen gained after rate checks by the NY Fed, & coordination between US and Japanese authorities. US Treasury yields extended their recent rise, led by the long end of the curve
US Federal Reserve leaves rates on hold, although three Committee members dissented in favour of an increase. Oil prices rebounded sharply amid further tensions in the Middle East
US Federal Reserve leaves rates on hold, although three Committee members dissented in favour of an increase. Oil prices rebounded sharply amid further tensions in the Middle East