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Stuart Ritson

Risk-sensitive assets underpinned on hopes for a ceasefire extension and further US-Iran talks. S&P reaches fresh record high. Brent crude prices stable near US$95 per barrel. US Treasury yields higher
16th Apr 26, 7:32am
Risk-sensitive assets underpinned on hopes for a ceasefire extension and further US-Iran talks. S&P reaches fresh record high. Brent crude prices stable near US$95 per barrel. US Treasury yields higher
Investors look past naval blockade with solid performance for risk-sensitive assets as further US-Iran talks anticipated. US producer prices softer than expected in March. US dollar index fully unwinds conflict gain
15th Apr 26, 7:52am
Investors look past naval blockade with solid performance for risk-sensitive assets as further US-Iran talks anticipated. US producer prices softer than expected in March. US dollar index fully unwinds conflict gain
Asset markets recover from initial weakness after Trump threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude prices remain higher but well-below the recent peak. USD and yields fall
14th Apr 26, 7:44am
Asset markets recover from initial weakness after Trump threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude prices remain higher but well-below the recent peak. USD and yields fall
Risk-sensitive assets stable ahead of US–Iran talks. But the lack of a peace deal will likely see higher oil prices and weigh on market sentiment. US consumer sentiment fell to a record low pointing to downside risk for consumption
13th Apr 26, 7:40am
Risk-sensitive assets stable ahead of US–Iran talks. But the lack of a peace deal will likely see higher oil prices and weigh on market sentiment. US consumer sentiment fell to a record low pointing to downside risk for consumption
Markets steady as investors remain cautious into Trump’s Iran deadline, with little sign a deal is close. Oil prices remained supported with the US striking Kharg Island though energy infrastructure was not targeted. FX markets stable overall
8th Apr 26, 7:55am
Markets steady as investors remain cautious into Trump’s Iran deadline, with little sign a deal is close. Oil prices remained supported with the US striking Kharg Island though energy infrastructure was not targeted. FX markets stable overall
Markets largely range-bound as US-Iran ceasefire negotiations still uncertain. Oil prices see larger swings. Brent crude dipped below US$107 before rebounding. Services ISM cools in March but remains in expansion territory
7th Apr 26, 7:37am
Markets largely range-bound as US-Iran ceasefire negotiations still uncertain. Oil prices see larger swings. Brent crude dipped below US$107 before rebounding. Services ISM cools in March but remains in expansion territory
Risk assets extended gains on hopes the Middle East conflict may be nearing an end. President Trump has flagged a potential US exit from the Iran conflict in 2–3 weeks. Treasury yields rebounded after firm ISM and retail-sales data
2nd Apr 26, 8:05am
Risk assets extended gains on hopes the Middle East conflict may be nearing an end. President Trump has flagged a potential US exit from the Iran conflict in 2–3 weeks. Treasury yields rebounded after firm ISM and retail-sales data
Risk sentiment stayed fragile, with equities under pressure alongside geopolitical and energy uncertainty. Markets pare Fed hike expectations, shifting the focus from inflation risk to growth downside. Material steepening for the treasury curve
30th Mar 26, 7:25am
Risk sentiment stayed fragile, with equities under pressure alongside geopolitical and energy uncertainty. Markets pare Fed hike expectations, shifting the focus from inflation risk to growth downside. Material steepening for the treasury curve
Risk sentiment improved modestly as markets priced some chance of Middle East de‑escalation. Equities are higher and global bond markets retraced part of the recent sell‑off. Brent crude prices oscillated near US$100/bbl. FX moves were subdued
26th Mar 26, 7:54am
Risk sentiment improved modestly as markets priced some chance of Middle East de‑escalation. Equities are higher and global bond markets retraced part of the recent sell‑off. Brent crude prices oscillated near US$100/bbl. FX moves were subdued
Risk sentiment soured Friday night, as investors factored in a more prolonged conflict in the Middle East. US 10-year rate up 13bps; market now factoring in chance of Fed hiking this year. Domestic rates surge, with more upward pressure today
23rd Mar 26, 7:45am
Risk sentiment soured Friday night, as investors factored in a more prolonged conflict in the Middle East. US 10-year rate up 13bps; market now factoring in chance of Fed hiking this year. Domestic rates surge, with more upward pressure today
Large moves higher in global bond yields led by shorter maturities. Investor risk appetite remains subdued - global equities under pressure. ECB leaves rates unchanged as markets reflect expectations of hikes ahead. Ditto Bank of England
20th Mar 26, 7:51am
Large moves higher in global bond yields led by shorter maturities. Investor risk appetite remains subdued - global equities under pressure. ECB leaves rates unchanged as markets reflect expectations of hikes ahead. Ditto Bank of England
US Federal Reserve keeps rates steady and notes uncertainty from Iran. FOMC continues to signal one rate cut this year. Oil prices gained after an Iranian gas field was hit weighing on risk-sensitive assets
19th Mar 26, 7:57am
US Federal Reserve keeps rates steady and notes uncertainty from Iran. FOMC continues to signal one rate cut this year. Oil prices gained after an Iranian gas field was hit weighing on risk-sensitive assets
Conflict in the Middle East continues to weigh on investor risk appetite. Brent crude closes the week above US$100 per barrel. US dollar makes broad based gains
16th Mar 26, 7:21am
Conflict in the Middle East continues to weigh on investor risk appetite. Brent crude closes the week above US$100 per barrel. US dollar makes broad based gains
Oil prices surge higher - Brent crude approaches US$93 per barrel. US labour market weaker than expected. Risk sensitive assets under pressure. Whipsaw price action for US treasuries
9th Mar 26, 7:28am
Oil prices surge higher - Brent crude approaches US$93 per barrel. US labour market weaker than expected. Risk sensitive assets under pressure. Whipsaw price action for US treasuries
Risk sentiment stabilises with US and European equities rebounding. Oil prices pulled back from recent highs as the US signalled possible measures to ease Middle East supply risks. US services ISM surprised to the upside
5th Mar 26, 7:58am
Risk sentiment stabilises with US and European equities rebounding. Oil prices pulled back from recent highs as the US signalled possible measures to ease Middle East supply risks. US services ISM surprised to the upside