economic forecasts
The Treasury has released its budget economic forecasts. Economist Brian Easton asks: What do the forecasts say about the economy over the next four months?
29th May 23, 11:57am
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The Treasury has released its budget economic forecasts. Economist Brian Easton asks: What do the forecasts say about the economy over the next four months?
Budget 2022: Economist Brian Easton asks, what does Treasury think is happening to the economy whose evolution underpins the budget policies?
30th May 22, 8:48am
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Budget 2022: Economist Brian Easton asks, what does Treasury think is happening to the economy whose evolution underpins the budget policies?
Reserve Bank concedes its annual house price growth forecasts have been off by an average of 5.2 percentage points over the past decade
4th Aug 21, 5:23pm
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Reserve Bank concedes its annual house price growth forecasts have been off by an average of 5.2 percentage points over the past decade
Economist Brian Easton asks: Will the Covid Crisis lead to a dramatic redirection for New Zealand and the World?
29th Jun 20, 11:18am
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Economist Brian Easton asks: Will the Covid Crisis lead to a dramatic redirection for New Zealand and the World?
Economist Brian Easton says we have to design a system which provides income support for the unemployed while encouraging employment transition
8th Jun 20, 10:00am
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Economist Brian Easton says we have to design a system which provides income support for the unemployed while encouraging employment transition
Economist Brian Easton says the media treat budgets as bit of a circus: lots of theatre and soon forgotten. For a serious economist they show how the official team of economists is thinking about the wider economy
25th May 20, 12:20pm
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Economist Brian Easton says the media treat budgets as bit of a circus: lots of theatre and soon forgotten. For a serious economist they show how the official team of economists is thinking about the wider economy
Kirdan Lees says the idea of lower local government rates for everyone doesn’t stack up and cutting rates would ultimately be counterproductive, leading to deferral of capital investments
22nd Apr 20, 3:01pm
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Kirdan Lees says the idea of lower local government rates for everyone doesn’t stack up and cutting rates would ultimately be counterproductive, leading to deferral of capital investments
Kirdan Lees says $20 billion is the starting point of additional fiscal support that will be required from the Government for New Zealand's small and medium sized businesses
16th Apr 20, 8:03am
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Kirdan Lees says $20 billion is the starting point of additional fiscal support that will be required from the Government for New Zealand's small and medium sized businesses
Treasury says it's too early to put a figure on the possible impact of the coronavirus on the NZ economy; Expects the tourism and education sectors to be worst affected short-term
9th Feb 20, 6:02am
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Treasury says it's too early to put a figure on the possible impact of the coronavirus on the NZ economy; Expects the tourism and education sectors to be worst affected short-term
Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesby says there remain 'a number of short-to-medium-term risks' on both the upside and downside for the NZ economy
29th Jan 20, 11:28am
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Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesby says there remain 'a number of short-to-medium-term risks' on both the upside and downside for the NZ economy
Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
16th Dec 19, 1:02pm
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Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
Kiwibank economists say monetary policy is proving ineffective without fiscal support and we need 'strong, wise and expansive fiscal policy'
19th Sep 19, 11:02am
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Kiwibank economists say monetary policy is proving ineffective without fiscal support and we need 'strong, wise and expansive fiscal policy'
New Gross Domestic Product figures out this week expected to show quarterly growth of around 0.5% and annual growth of a little over 2%; such figures would be in line with RBNZ expectations
16th Sep 19, 12:54pm
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New Gross Domestic Product figures out this week expected to show quarterly growth of around 0.5% and annual growth of a little over 2%; such figures would be in line with RBNZ expectations
GDP growth steady at 0.6% in March quarter off the back of higher construction activity; Figures over-shoot Reserve Bank forecasts
20th Jun 19, 10:52am
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GDP growth steady at 0.6% in March quarter off the back of higher construction activity; Figures over-shoot Reserve Bank forecasts
Finance Minister Grant Robertson admits lack of faith in Treasury's immigration projections; Treasury Secretary Gabriel Makhlouf a no-show at Budget briefing
19th Jun 19, 12:15pm
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Finance Minister Grant Robertson admits lack of faith in Treasury's immigration projections; Treasury Secretary Gabriel Makhlouf a no-show at Budget briefing
Economic growth expected to have slowed in March quarter; RBNZ's forecasts slightly weaker than most bank economists'; Growth expected to be largely driven by construction
17th Jun 19, 2:53pm
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Economic growth expected to have slowed in March quarter; RBNZ's forecasts slightly weaker than most bank economists'; Growth expected to be largely driven by construction
Infometrics says we've forgotten the lessons of the GFC and homeowners will struggle with mortgage debt as interest rates rise and house prices fall
13th Apr 17, 10:02am
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Infometrics says we've forgotten the lessons of the GFC and homeowners will struggle with mortgage debt as interest rates rise and house prices fall
BNZ's Tony Alexander says the world has changed and central banks are struggling to figure out exactly how & why
10th Sep 15, 12:40pm
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BNZ's Tony Alexander says the world has changed and central banks are struggling to figure out exactly how & why
ASB economists see GDP growing by 3% both this year and next; reiterate view that official interest rates won't rise for next two years
10th Feb 15, 5:06am
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ASB economists see GDP growing by 3% both this year and next; reiterate view that official interest rates won't rise for next two years
Alex's politico-economic blogroll: Why SOE sales are a good idea; Why we need to mine more; Nolan defends forecasters; The left welcomes Bernard; RBNZ ready to intervene?
26th Aug 11, 3:54pm
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Alex's politico-economic blogroll: Why SOE sales are a good idea; Why we need to mine more; Nolan defends forecasters; The left welcomes Bernard; RBNZ ready to intervene?
Opinion: Moneymarkets will overshoot - it is a question of how far
8th Dec 08, 9:06am
Opinion: Moneymarkets will overshoot - it is a question of how far