Economic growth
Reserve Bank wary of households' sensitivity to interest rate changes in a tightening environment
25th Nov 21, 7:37am
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Reserve Bank wary of households' sensitivity to interest rate changes in a tightening environment
Alison Brook wonders if public policy makers have the patience to deleverage through a mix of cutting spending, reducing debt, transferring wealth and printing money to avoid a disastrous end to the debt supercycle
25th Oct 21, 10:00am
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Alison Brook wonders if public policy makers have the patience to deleverage through a mix of cutting spending, reducing debt, transferring wealth and printing money to avoid a disastrous end to the debt supercycle
Yu Yongding considers the likely impact of the energy crisis and the Evergrande debacle on China's growth prospects
23rd Oct 21, 10:45am
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Yu Yongding considers the likely impact of the energy crisis and the Evergrande debacle on China's growth prospects
Alison Brook wonders if persistently low interest rates may be doing more harm than good. They lead to debt accumulation, increasing asset prices, and ultimately limit the economy's ability to grow
2nd Oct 21, 9:55am
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Alison Brook wonders if persistently low interest rates may be doing more harm than good. They lead to debt accumulation, increasing asset prices, and ultimately limit the economy's ability to grow
The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
16th Sep 21, 11:01am
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The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
Another big lockdown has once again changed the economic picture enormously, but GDP figures for the past quarter will still tell us some important things
13th Sep 21, 10:35am
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Another big lockdown has once again changed the economic picture enormously, but GDP figures for the past quarter will still tell us some important things
Alison Brook says that to reverse our poor trade performance over the past 20 years, we need to set goals to build private savings, and champion the benefits of trade
1st Sep 21, 8:10am
Alison Brook says that to reverse our poor trade performance over the past 20 years, we need to set goals to build private savings, and champion the benefits of trade
Yu Yongding predicts that, even with looser fiscal and monetary policy, China's economic performance will disappoint
26th Aug 21, 11:27am
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Yu Yongding predicts that, even with looser fiscal and monetary policy, China's economic performance will disappoint
With our working age population past its peak, immigration stunted, and scepticism towards adopting technology for productivity, Alison Brook suggests New Zealand will struggle to expand its economic base and living standards
7th Aug 21, 9:17am
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With our working age population past its peak, immigration stunted, and scepticism towards adopting technology for productivity, Alison Brook suggests New Zealand will struggle to expand its economic base and living standards
Willem Buiter offers an estimate of the remaining US output gap in light of the pandemic's lingering effects
29th Jul 21, 9:43am
Willem Buiter offers an estimate of the remaining US output gap in light of the pandemic's lingering effects
Fitch Solutions says the New Zealand economy is on the path of a strong recovery
18th Jun 21, 11:53am
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Fitch Solutions says the New Zealand economy is on the path of a strong recovery
ANZ economists now forecast the Reserve Bank will start increasing the Official Cash Rate in February next year following the stunning 1.6% GDP rise for the March quarter
17th Jun 21, 11:05am
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ANZ economists now forecast the Reserve Bank will start increasing the Official Cash Rate in February next year following the stunning 1.6% GDP rise for the March quarter
Economists have been upwardly adjusting their economic forecasts in recent days in the face of stronger-than-expected data and the major bank economists now see first quarter GDP producing a positive figure - IE economic growth
14th Jun 21, 9:57am
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Economists have been upwardly adjusting their economic forecasts in recent days in the face of stronger-than-expected data and the major bank economists now see first quarter GDP producing a positive figure - IE economic growth
Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
25th May 21, 11:10am
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Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
Nouriel Roubini joins the great inflation debate by highlighting the neglected threat of persistent negative supply shocks
20th Apr 21, 8:50am
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Nouriel Roubini joins the great inflation debate by highlighting the neglected threat of persistent negative supply shocks
Lee Jong-Wha thinks the East Asia region will fail to achieve global dominance without unified, collective leadership
3rd Apr 21, 10:03am
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Lee Jong-Wha thinks the East Asia region will fail to achieve global dominance without unified, collective leadership
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
18th Mar 21, 11:03am
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The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
15th Mar 21, 12:14pm
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It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
Stephen Roach cautions that lasting scarring in face-to-face services will limit the rebound in consumption - and employment
23rd Feb 21, 12:18pm
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Stephen Roach cautions that lasting scarring in face-to-face services will limit the rebound in consumption - and employment
Statistics New Zealand says the country enjoyed record economic growth in the past quarter as the economy bounced back from lockdown and an 11% drop in economic activity in the June quarter
17th Dec 20, 10:57am
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Statistics New Zealand says the country enjoyed record economic growth in the past quarter as the economy bounced back from lockdown and an 11% drop in economic activity in the June quarter
Westpac economists say this week's official fiscal update will show smaller budget deficits over the next few years and a lower Government borrowing requirement by possibly as much as $30 bln over the next four years
14th Dec 20, 11:49am
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Westpac economists say this week's official fiscal update will show smaller budget deficits over the next few years and a lower Government borrowing requirement by possibly as much as $30 bln over the next four years
Economists are picking a record economic recover in the September quarter, with GDP expected to grow by possibly as much as 14%
14th Dec 20, 9:15am
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Economists are picking a record economic recover in the September quarter, with GDP expected to grow by possibly as much as 14%
Kevin Gallagher and Rebecca Ray highlight the potential benefits, and risks, of China's massive increase in lending to poorer countries
10th Dec 20, 9:19am
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Kevin Gallagher and Rebecca Ray highlight the potential benefits, and risks, of China's massive increase in lending to poorer countries
Lee Jong-Wha fears that the pandemic may be used to justify unsustainable public spending and even human rights violations
3rd Oct 20, 10:16am
Lee Jong-Wha fears that the pandemic may be used to justify unsustainable public spending and even human rights violations
Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast
17th Sep 20, 10:58am
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Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast