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Economic growth

Yu Yongding urges China's policymakers to prevent prolonged stagnation by implementing expansionary monetary and fiscal policies
5th Oct 24, 4:35pm
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Yu Yongding urges China's policymakers to prevent prolonged stagnation by implementing expansionary monetary and fiscal policies
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
19th Sep 24, 10:53am
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New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
16th Sep 24, 2:21pm
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NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
16th Sep 24, 11:53am
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Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
15th Sep 24, 6:30am
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David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
5th Sep 24, 11:02am
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The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
While service sector activity recovered a little last month from the 'horrendous' June results, the Performance of Services Index is still below the levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis
19th Aug 24, 11:36am
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While service sector activity recovered a little last month from the 'horrendous' June results, the Performance of Services Index is still below the levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis
Yu Yongding thinks fiscal and monetary expansion could help address the controversial overcapacity in the Chinese economy
31st Jul 24, 10:22am
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Yu Yongding thinks fiscal and monetary expansion could help address the controversial overcapacity in the Chinese economy
Mohamed El-Erian thinks an accommodative monetary policy is becoming increasingly important to US investors
27th Jul 24, 9:50am
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Mohamed El-Erian thinks an accommodative monetary policy is becoming increasingly important to US investors
Zhang Jun thinks Chinese households are spending more than official data indicates, but more support is needed
18th Jul 24, 9:00am
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Zhang Jun thinks Chinese households are spending more than official data indicates, but more support is needed
Activity in the service sector has dropped sharply again in June to once again be at the lowest level in 17 years apart from during lockdowns
15th Jul 24, 11:43am
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Activity in the service sector has dropped sharply again in June to once again be at the lowest level in 17 years apart from during lockdowns
Raghuram Rajan thinks central banks will remain under pressure to maintain tighter policies over the medium term
13th Jul 24, 10:08am
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Raghuram Rajan thinks central banks will remain under pressure to maintain tighter policies over the medium term
Policymakers should stop fighting the last war and start focusing on New Zealand’s post-inflation recovery, Dan Brunskill argues
13th Jul 24, 9:21am
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Policymakers should stop fighting the last war and start focusing on New Zealand’s post-inflation recovery, Dan Brunskill argues
Murray Grimwood shines a light on what academics discuss among themselves when thinking about the global future. He reduxes some key presentations from a 2023 Stockholm conference you should watch
28th Jun 24, 12:00pm
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Murray Grimwood shines a light on what academics discuss among themselves when thinking about the global future. He reduxes some key presentations from a 2023 Stockholm conference you should watch
RBNZ won’t let the New Zealand economy grow until inflation is under control
20th Jun 24, 7:02pm
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RBNZ won’t let the New Zealand economy grow until inflation is under control
Long-running survey records the worst ever non-Covid-affected level of activity for the services sector; 'This tells of a services sector in reverse at pace'
17th Jun 24, 12:11pm
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Long-running survey records the worst ever non-Covid-affected level of activity for the services sector; 'This tells of a services sector in reverse at pace'
It's a line ball call whether GDP figures out in the coming week will reveal the country still to be in recession or not. But whatever the outcome, economists don't see a particularly rosy path for the economy in the immediate future
16th Jun 24, 6:30am
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It's a line ball call whether GDP figures out in the coming week will reveal the country still to be in recession or not. But whatever the outcome, economists don't see a particularly rosy path for the economy in the immediate future
Murray Grimwood says the future will be so different we need to go back to basics, and with degrowth inevitable it'd be better done voluntarily
15th Jun 24, 9:21am
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Murray Grimwood says the future will be so different we need to go back to basics, and with degrowth inevitable it'd be better done voluntarily
Raghuram Rajan worries that India will squander its massive potential by trying to emulate China's growth strategy
28th May 24, 12:03pm
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Raghuram Rajan worries that India will squander its massive potential by trying to emulate China's growth strategy
Yi Fuxian explains why China's rising median age is at the root of its current malaise
24th May 24, 5:00am
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Yi Fuxian explains why China's rising median age is at the root of its current malaise
Yu Yongding rejects gloomy narratives about the Chinese economy's prospects and proposes ways to revive growth
23rd May 24, 10:27am
by Guest
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Yu Yongding rejects gloomy narratives about the Chinese economy's prospects and proposes ways to revive growth
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says Budget 2024 will not contain any unexpected ‘bells and whistles’
15th May 24, 3:25pm
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says Budget 2024 will not contain any unexpected ‘bells and whistles’
Zhang Jun explains why rigorous evidenced-based assessments of the Chinese economy's performance can diverge sharply
9th May 24, 2:26pm
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Zhang Jun explains why rigorous evidenced-based assessments of the Chinese economy's performance can diverge sharply
Todd Buchholz and James Carter thinks the US should have locked in favourable borrowing rates when it had the chance
5th May 24, 1:56pm
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Todd Buchholz and James Carter thinks the US should have locked in favourable borrowing rates when it had the chance
Treasury says New Zealand faces a range of productivity problems which could lead to downgrades in future forecasts
5th May 24, 8:01am
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Treasury says New Zealand faces a range of productivity problems which could lead to downgrades in future forecasts