Monetary Policy Review

‘I made an assessment on how I see these two forces.’ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman on her casting vote in May's OCR review

‘I made an assessment on how I see these two forces.’ RBNZ Governor Anna Breman on her casting vote in May's OCR review

Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting

Most economists predict the Reserve Bank will start raising the Official Cash Rate from July, following a split vote at May's Monetary Policy Committee meeting

Reserve Bank holds Official Cash Rate at 2.25% as expected, but needed the Governor’s casting vote after a 3-3 split vote

Reserve Bank holds Official Cash Rate at 2.25% as expected, but needed the Governor’s casting vote after a 3-3 split vote

RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward

RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward

RBNZ forecasts annual inflation will spike to 4.2% in the June quarter and warns medium-term inflationary pressure will depend on the extent to which higher costs influence price and wage-setting behaviour by firms and workers in the economy

RBNZ forecasts annual inflation will spike to 4.2% in the June quarter and warns medium-term inflationary pressure will depend on the extent to which higher costs influence price and wage-setting behaviour by firms and workers in the economy

The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year

The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year

The Reserve Bank's latest Official Cash Rate review will see no immediate change to the 2.25% rate, but that's about the only predictable part of a very complicated decision

The Reserve Bank's latest Official Cash Rate review will see no immediate change to the 2.25% rate, but that's about the only predictable part of a very complicated decision

Westpac economists see 'a better than even chance' that the RBNZ Governor will in her upcoming speech give a preliminary assessment of how the Middle East shock is impacting the RBNZ's assessment of the monetary policy outlook

Westpac economists see 'a better than even chance' that the RBNZ Governor will in her upcoming speech give a preliminary assessment of how the Middle East shock is impacting the RBNZ's assessment of the monetary policy outlook

'It’s nightmare time for the RBNZ. Supply shocks cannot be handled well by central banks. We have had plenty of recent evidence of this'

'It’s nightmare time for the RBNZ. Supply shocks cannot be handled well by central banks. We have had plenty of recent evidence of this'

Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may well have to tolerate higher inflation in the short term to avoid raising interest rates into a slowing global economy

Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may well have to tolerate higher inflation in the short term to avoid raising interest rates into a slowing global economy

Economists are beginning to flirt with a revolutionary idea - that the New Zealand economy might be able to grow and prosper without the traditional leg-up from the housing market

Economists are beginning to flirt with a revolutionary idea - that the New Zealand economy might be able to grow and prosper without the traditional leg-up from the housing market

In order not to kill our fragile economic recovery, the Reserve Bank's taken something of a calculated gamble that inflation will behave itself

In order not to kill our fragile economic recovery, the Reserve Bank's taken something of a calculated gamble that inflation will behave itself

Reserve Bank holds the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and is not forecasting a rise until either late this year or early next

Reserve Bank holds the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and is not forecasting a rise until either late this year or early next

The Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate review for the year won't see any changes to interest rates - but there will be plenty of other things to watch out for

The Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate review for the year won't see any changes to interest rates - but there will be plenty of other things to watch out for

ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did

ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did