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RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
1st Jul 22, 8:03am
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RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
30th Jun 22, 12:04pm
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
21st Jun 22, 1:33pm
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As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
20th Jun 22, 12:13pm
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ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
3rd Jun 22, 8:30am
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David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
21st Apr 22, 2:22pm
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Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
21st Apr 22, 10:59am
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Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
The forthcoming inflation figures are set to have a '7' in front of them for the first time in over 30 years; the real question is what this does to 'inflation expectations' and how ingrained price rises may become
18th Apr 22, 9:00am
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The forthcoming inflation figures are set to have a '7' in front of them for the first time in over 30 years; the real question is what this does to 'inflation expectations' and how ingrained price rises may become
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
28th Mar 22, 9:58am
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Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
22nd Mar 22, 10:37am
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Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
David Hargreaves thinks that regardless of the election result next year, recent changes to the country's housing investment rules may well be reversed
18th Mar 22, 9:25am
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David Hargreaves thinks that regardless of the election result next year, recent changes to the country's housing investment rules may well be reversed
David Hargreaves sees a way for house prices to get more affordable without a crash - but there are plenty of ifs and buts
16th Mar 22, 12:43pm
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David Hargreaves sees a way for house prices to get more affordable without a crash - but there are plenty of ifs and buts
Westpac economists say despite flagging population growth they are not expecting a housing 'oversupply situation'
22nd Feb 22, 10:54am
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Westpac economists say despite flagging population growth they are not expecting a housing 'oversupply situation'
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
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ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock
22nd Nov 21, 2:12pm
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BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock
Westpac's head of NZ strategy Imre Speizer says the current rush to fix mortgages is likely to continue into next year, which will keep pressure on swap rates
17th Nov 21, 12:35pm
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Westpac's head of NZ strategy Imre Speizer says the current rush to fix mortgages is likely to continue into next year, which will keep pressure on swap rates
Kiwibank economists, who have this year been highlighting upside risks to interest rates now say some wholesale rates have gone too far and will be 'pulled down'
15th Nov 21, 1:40pm
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Kiwibank economists, who have this year been highlighting upside risks to interest rates now say some wholesale rates have gone too far and will be 'pulled down'
BNZ economists say the single biggest uncertainty facing the economy over the next twelve months is how business and consumer sentiment responds to endemic Covid
8th Nov 21, 3:12pm
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BNZ economists say the single biggest uncertainty facing the economy over the next twelve months is how business and consumer sentiment responds to endemic Covid
Westpac economists say two-year fixed mortgage rates are already closer to their peak than their trough in the current cycle
8th Nov 21, 1:36pm
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Westpac economists say two-year fixed mortgage rates are already closer to their peak than their trough in the current cycle
Westpac acting chief economist Michael Gordon says the starting point for the NZ economy in this cycle is 'wildly stronger' than the Reserve Bank expected, and the upside risks for inflation are growing
4th Nov 21, 8:47am
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Westpac acting chief economist Michael Gordon says the starting point for the NZ economy in this cycle is 'wildly stronger' than the Reserve Bank expected, and the upside risks for inflation are growing
Kiwibank economists say there's currently an 'imbalance' in the wholesale interest rate markets and they see more 'upside risk' for mortgage rates
26th Oct 21, 3:15pm
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Kiwibank economists say there's currently an 'imbalance' in the wholesale interest rate markets and they see more 'upside risk' for mortgage rates
A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say
20th Oct 21, 8:42am
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A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say
With the Reserve Bank now needing to consider full employment as part of its mandate, attempts to rein in galloping inflation could have consequences
19th Oct 21, 3:37pm
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With the Reserve Bank now needing to consider full employment as part of its mandate, attempts to rein in galloping inflation could have consequences