Yuan
Movements in currency and bond markets have been well contained, with the NZD tracking sideways and the US 10-year rate up 2bps; local 2-year swap rate unchanged at 2.03%; EUR has risen alongside GBP to reach 1.1530
11th Oct 18, 7:57am
Movements in currency and bond markets have been well contained, with the NZD tracking sideways and the US 10-year rate up 2bps; local 2-year swap rate unchanged at 2.03%; EUR has risen alongside GBP to reach 1.1530
Economic data flow has been light and markets have just been drifting, largely sideways; US 10-year rate nudged lower; NZD has maintained a tight trading range around 0.6430-0.6460 USD; NZDAUD had a peek below 0.91 yesterday
10th Oct 18, 7:38am
Economic data flow has been light and markets have just been drifting, largely sideways; US 10-year rate nudged lower; NZD has maintained a tight trading range around 0.6430-0.6460 USD; NZDAUD had a peek below 0.91 yesterday
NZD hit a fresh multi-year low of 0.6425; AUD found support after reaching a fresh low just above 0.7040 and sits this morning at 0.7070; Italy remains a worry for markets; Treasury futures show the implied 10-year rate down a few basis points
9th Oct 18, 7:47am
NZD hit a fresh multi-year low of 0.6425; AUD found support after reaching a fresh low just above 0.7040 and sits this morning at 0.7070; Italy remains a worry for markets; Treasury futures show the implied 10-year rate down a few basis points
US jobs data keeps Fed on track for 'normalisation' of their policy rate. USD falls, NZD falls even more to multi-year lows. EU Brexit offer to be backed-stopped with tough no-deal plans
8th Oct 18, 7:45am
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US jobs data keeps Fed on track for 'normalisation' of their policy rate. USD falls, NZD falls even more to multi-year lows. EU Brexit offer to be backed-stopped with tough no-deal plans
US Treasury yields have stabilized somewhat overnight; global bond yields have continued to rise, although NZ rates continue to lag the moves elsewhere; NZD fell to its lowest level since March 2016
5th Oct 18, 8:03am
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US Treasury yields have stabilized somewhat overnight; global bond yields have continued to rise, although NZ rates continue to lag the moves elsewhere; NZD fell to its lowest level since March 2016
USD is stronger across the board on the back of US data; this has pushed the NZD back down towards 0.6535; the 10 year US Treasury yield moved to its highest level since 2011
4th Oct 18, 8:06am
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USD is stronger across the board on the back of US data; this has pushed the NZD back down towards 0.6535; the 10 year US Treasury yield moved to its highest level since 2011
Fed sees further gradual rate hikes as the best way forward; there has been more upward pressure on Italian yields overnight; USD and US Treasury yields have risen marginally; NZD has drifted lower
3rd Oct 18, 8:20am
Fed sees further gradual rate hikes as the best way forward; there has been more upward pressure on Italian yields overnight; USD and US Treasury yields have risen marginally; NZD has drifted lower
US and Canada have come to a last minute deal on a revised NAFTA agreement; S&P500 has moved close to a record high, although Treasury yields have been little moved; NZD is again little changed
2nd Oct 18, 8:08am
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US and Canada have come to a last minute deal on a revised NAFTA agreement; S&P500 has moved close to a record high, although Treasury yields have been little moved; NZD is again little changed
Italy rejects fiscal discipline, set to clash with EU. Risk aversion rises. Euro falls. NZ Govt bond yields fall. US inflation edges up. NAFTA deal close
1st Oct 18, 7:49am
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Italy rejects fiscal discipline, set to clash with EU. Risk aversion rises. Euro falls. NZ Govt bond yields fall. US inflation edges up. NAFTA deal close
USD is stronger across the board which sees the NZD down to its lowest level this week around 0.6620; US 10-year rates are steady at 3.05%; German CPI figures that were much higher than expected
28th Sep 18, 7:27am
USD is stronger across the board which sees the NZD down to its lowest level this week around 0.6620; US 10-year rates are steady at 3.05%; German CPI figures that were much higher than expected
Fed raised the Fed Funds range to 2-2.25%; the Fed’s projections showed that 12 of 16 members favoured another rate hike in December; US Treasury rates are slightly lower, while the USD is flat; NZD sits this morning at 0.6650
27th Sep 18, 7:45am
Fed raised the Fed Funds range to 2-2.25%; the Fed’s projections showed that 12 of 16 members favoured another rate hike in December; US Treasury rates are slightly lower, while the USD is flat; NZD sits this morning at 0.6650
US 10-year Treasuries have nudged up to fresh highs; NZD has traded in a less than 30pip range over the past 24 hours; GBP has been the best performing, up 0.5% to 1.3185
26th Sep 18, 7:35am
US 10-year Treasuries have nudged up to fresh highs; NZD has traded in a less than 30pip range over the past 24 hours; GBP has been the best performing, up 0.5% to 1.3185
NZD and AUD started the week on a slightly softer note, not helped by lingering US-China trade war concerns; GBP has recovered some of its big loss on Friday; Global rates are higher, with the market perceiving ECB Chair Draghi’s comments as more hawkish
25th Sep 18, 7:50am
NZD and AUD started the week on a slightly softer note, not helped by lingering US-China trade war concerns; GBP has recovered some of its big loss on Friday; Global rates are higher, with the market perceiving ECB Chair Draghi’s comments as more hawkish
US equities and Treasury yields were flat; GBP showed a chunky fall on Brexit worries; NZD traded in a tight trading range, meeting some resistance just shy of 0.67 and closing the week around 0.6680; AUD followed a similar path
24th Sep 18, 8:17am
US equities and Treasury yields were flat; GBP showed a chunky fall on Brexit worries; NZD traded in a tight trading range, meeting some resistance just shy of 0.67 and closing the week around 0.6680; AUD followed a similar path
JPY and USD under pressure, while the NZD has made further gains overnight, adding to the move after stronger than expected GDP figures; US Treasury rates have consolidated around recent highs; US data showed unemployment claims falling to a 48-year low
21st Sep 18, 8:07am
JPY and USD under pressure, while the NZD has made further gains overnight, adding to the move after stronger than expected GDP figures; US Treasury rates have consolidated around recent highs; US data showed unemployment claims falling to a 48-year low
Against a backdrop of improved sentiment for emerging market currencies, the NZD and AUD continue to show signs of recovery; US rates are tracking higher; NZ rates were higher across the curve yesterday
20th Sep 18, 7:40am
Against a backdrop of improved sentiment for emerging market currencies, the NZD and AUD continue to show signs of recovery; US rates are tracking higher; NZ rates were higher across the curve yesterday
US and Chinese equities have risen while the 10 year US Treasury yield broke above 3%, to its highest level since May; NZD and AUD have outperformed against a risk-on backdrop; tariffs largely shrugged off by markets
19th Sep 18, 7:59am
US and Chinese equities have risen while the 10 year US Treasury yield broke above 3%, to its highest level since May; NZD and AUD have outperformed against a risk-on backdrop; tariffs largely shrugged off by markets
So far, the market appears to have put more weight on the likely cancellation of US-China trade talks; USD reversed its gains from Friday; US 10 year Treasury yield broke above 3% last night
18th Sep 18, 7:59am
So far, the market appears to have put more weight on the likely cancellation of US-China trade talks; USD reversed its gains from Friday; US 10 year Treasury yield broke above 3% last night
More tariff threats and actions by the US on China affecting the US little at this time, but impact growing in China. EMs raise rates. US rate doves become hawks
17th Sep 18, 8:07am
More tariff threats and actions by the US on China affecting the US little at this time, but impact growing in China. EMs raise rates. US rate doves become hawks
US equities rose and US Treasury yields fell modestly; NZD is not much higher than this time yesterday; USD weakened after the CPI data; Turkish central bank raised its one week repo rate by a whopping 625bps, which has helped support EM currencies
14th Sep 18, 7:48am
US equities rose and US Treasury yields fell modestly; NZD is not much higher than this time yesterday; USD weakened after the CPI data; Turkish central bank raised its one week repo rate by a whopping 625bps, which has helped support EM currencies
The USD and US rates drift lower. US wants more trade talks with China. Fed sees 'restrictive' rates needed. Oil prices reach four year highs. Eyes on US CPI
13th Sep 18, 7:54am
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The USD and US rates drift lower. US wants more trade talks with China. Fed sees 'restrictive' rates needed. Oil prices reach four year highs. Eyes on US CPI
US Treasury yields moved higher overnight, with the 10 year rate closing in on 3%; NZD made a new low against the USD and sits just above 0.65; GBP is holding above the 1.30 level against the USD
12th Sep 18, 8:03am
US Treasury yields moved higher overnight, with the 10 year rate closing in on 3%; NZD made a new low against the USD and sits just above 0.65; GBP is holding above the 1.30 level against the USD
GBP rose after EU negotiator Michel Barnier said it was “realistic” to reach a deal with the UK by November; NZD is slightly lower against the USD, but has made multi-year lows against the GBP, EUR and JPY; NZ swap rates rose 1 to 2.5bps across the curve
11th Sep 18, 7:58am
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GBP rose after EU negotiator Michel Barnier said it was “realistic” to reach a deal with the UK by November; NZD is slightly lower against the USD, but has made multi-year lows against the GBP, EUR and JPY; NZ swap rates rose 1 to 2.5bps across the curve
Greenback and UST yields moved higher on US non-farm payrolls report, especially the rising wage rate component. Markets expect rate hikes from Fed. EU and UK find compromise
10th Sep 18, 7:40am
Greenback and UST yields moved higher on US non-farm payrolls report, especially the rising wage rate component. Markets expect rate hikes from Fed. EU and UK find compromise
NZD sits around 0.66 and UST rates are lower, with comments by the Fed’s vice chair Williams interpreted as dovish; market movements have been modest, as we await a possible announcement by President Trump of further tariffs
7th Sep 18, 7:54am
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NZD sits around 0.66 and UST rates are lower, with comments by the Fed’s vice chair Williams interpreted as dovish; market movements have been modest, as we await a possible announcement by President Trump of further tariffs