Monetary Policy Review
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
104
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
[updated]
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
29th Nov 23, 2:20pm
93
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
16th Aug 23, 2:18pm
99
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
150
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
65
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
71
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
138
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
14th Dec 22, 2:33pm
46
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
7th Dec 22, 8:08am
78
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'
30th Nov 22, 2:56pm
13
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'
Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
28th Nov 22, 1:57pm
119
Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
[updated]
Reserve Bank Governor says the central bank is sorry that New Zealanders are being buffeted by significant shocks and inflation is above target; inflation is no one’s friend and causes economic costs
24th Nov 22, 8:56am
100
Reserve Bank Governor says the central bank is sorry that New Zealanders are being buffeted by significant shocks and inflation is above target; inflation is no one’s friend and causes economic costs
The Reserve Bank’s going for broke. Hopefully we won’t be the ones going broke
23rd Nov 22, 2:14pm
32
The Reserve Bank’s going for broke. Hopefully we won’t be the ones going broke
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
23rd Nov 22, 2:10pm
301
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
[updated]
Reserve Bank five year review - 'report card' of monetary policy finds that easing in policy during the pandemic was 'warranted and worst-case economic scenarios were avoided'; funding for lending programme 'could have been designed with more flexibility'
10th Nov 22, 9:36am
63
Reserve Bank five year review - 'report card' of monetary policy finds that easing in policy during the pandemic was 'warranted and worst-case economic scenarios were avoided'; funding for lending programme 'could have been designed with more flexibility'
ASB economists say there is likely 'more upside' to wholesale interest rates, while the odds of an economic 'soft landing' are shrinking
17th Oct 22, 2:23pm
110
ASB economists say there is likely 'more upside' to wholesale interest rates, while the odds of an economic 'soft landing' are shrinking
David Hargreaves sees increasing signs the Reserve Bank will have to either raise the Official Cash Rate by more than it wants to - or concede some ground to inflation
13th Oct 22, 7:48am
65
David Hargreaves sees increasing signs the Reserve Bank will have to either raise the Official Cash Rate by more than it wants to - or concede some ground to inflation
David Hargreaves tries to get a sense of where we are in the battle with inflation - and how much more the Reserve Bank might need to do
6th Oct 22, 1:12pm
70
David Hargreaves tries to get a sense of where we are in the battle with inflation - and how much more the Reserve Bank might need to do