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A review of things you need to know before you go home on Tuesday; fee free education; Fletcher Building; false representation; water review; bond issue; swaps up slightly; NZD holds

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Tuesday; fee free education; Fletcher Building; false representation; water review; bond issue; swaps up slightly; NZD holds

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
No changes to report today.

TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
Westpac has reduced its 1 mnth, 2 mnth and 8 mnth rates and has increased its 9 mnth rate. SBS has reduced its rates from 6 mnths to 3 yrs. NZCU Central has increased its 1 yr, 2 yr and 3 yr rates.

FEES FREE POLICY
The Coalition Government’s first-year Fees Free policy is tracking well, with more than 50,000 people set to receive fees-free tertiary education this year, Education Minister Chris Hipkins said today. “Two thirds of the way through the first year of fees-free tertiary education and training, 41,700 students and trainees are receiving tertiary education that is fees-free. This is up 25 per cent from the April figures and as expected, the bulk of the increase is in the Institutes of Technology and Polytechnic (ITP) and Industry Training Organisation sector. The Ministry of Education forecasts that by the end of the calendar year 50,200 people will benefit from fees-free support - 45,600 provider-based students and 4,600 industry trainees. The impact on students’ lives is already clear. Statistics for January to September 2018 show that 31,600 fewer students borrowed to pay tertiary fees. The amount students had to borrow for fees also fell, down $193 million on the same time last year,” Chris Hipkins said.

FLETCHER BUILDING
The chief executive of building and construction giant Fletcher Building is seeing signs of residential construction 'plateauing' in Auckland - while things are looking tough for the company's Australian residential building activities, which are witnessing a sharp slowdown in activity. Fletcher CEO Ross Taylor's comments were in materials prepared for Fletcher's annual meeting of shareholders in Auckland on Tuesday. Taylor said that in New Zealand the company was seeing residential consents run at around 30,000 per annum, "slightly down on previous years, but much as we expected it to look like. Activity levels remain robust, especially here in Auckland, but we think this is now plateauing and there are signs that the Auckland market will pull back slightly."

FALSE REPRESENTATION
The Commission has today filed an appeal against the sentence imposed on Steel and Tube Holdings Limited (Steel & Tube) for false and misleading representations about steel mesh products. Last month Judge Cathcart imposed a $1.885 million fine on Steel & Tube in the Auckland District Court after the company pleaded guilty to 24 charges under the Fair Trading Act. The Commission is appealing on the basis that the Judge erred when sentencing the company, by failing to properly attribute the knowledge of a Steel & Tube manager to the company and by not adequately taking into account the size of Steel & Tube and the potential for it to gain from the conduct.

WATER CONVERSATION
The Government has announced plans to initiate a strategic conversation with Local Government about community well-being and proposals to overhaul the regulation of water. Led by the Minister of Local Government Nanaia Mahuta, the multi-agency Three Waters Review has been investigating the state and performance of New Zealand’s drinking water, wastewater and storm water systems. “Equally important is the need to engage our Councils and Central Government in what we can do collaboratively to enhance wellbeing through regional growth, strengthening the role of our communities and engaging the potential of our young people – essential to that will be the challenge of our waters infrastructure,” said the Hon Nanaia Mahuta.

BOND ISSUE
A minimum NZ$100m 3 year senior unsecured floating rate issue is now launched for The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, incorporated in the Hong Kong SAR, acting through its New Zealand branch, rated Aa3 by Moody's and AA- by S&P. Initial price guidance for the transaction is [77-80]bps over 3mBKBM. The issue is expected to price no later than 21st November 2018. Joint Lead Managers are BNZ, HSBC and WBC.

SWAP RATES SLIGHTLY HIGHER
The 1 yr, 5 yr, 7 yr and 10 yr swap rates are up by +1 bp. The rest are unchanged. The UST 10yr is up to 3.07% today, up +1 bp. The 2-10 curve is still at just under +27 bps. The Aussie Govt 10yr is at 2.70%, up +4 bps today (so far), the China Govt 10yr is unchanged at 3.38%, while the NZ Govt 10 yr is at 2.74% and that is up +3 bps today. The 90 day bank bill rate is unchanged at 2.00%.

BITCOIN DOWN SHARPLY
The bitcoin price is now at US$4,818 and down -12.8%.

NZD HOLDS
The NZD wobbled lower earlier has since recovered and is now just on 68.4 USc. On the cross rates we still at 93.8 AU, and at 59.8 euro cents. That puts the TWI-5 at 72.7.

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End of day UTC
Source: CoinDesk

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23 Comments

Where are the Bitcoin bulls these days.....

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I was told by such commentators that it is much safer than fiat currencies like the USD or NZD. Is that still believed to be the case?

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Er. ... you might want to sit down. It has been a trilling popcorn eating ride. Cue popcorn gif https://imgur.com/gallery/DKJhx9l However from this a lot of market data can be gathered and as it is mostly open the avenues for more analysis & trading bot testing are good. Just a shame if anyone in a stable economy relied on it. However a 15% drop in a day, 75% drop in a year might still be preferable in an unstable economy, but then so would using other fiat currencies.

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Can't make this stuff up....

It was the country's biggest corporate fine - $700 million.

That was the sum paid by CBA to settle AUSTRAC charges its intelligent development machines (IDMs) allowed organised criminals to launder money. All up, there were more than 50,000 breaches.

Which prompted the following question...

Orr: "And CBAs actions or in-actions limited the ability of our law enforcement to fight financial crime?"

And Comyn's admission: "Yes, that's right."

https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/banking-and-finance…

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Hi Henry

'Banking for the bankers, or banking for the community.' Professor Richard Werner..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MechH0ebs_c&t=3s

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One cannot be left wondering how Fletcher Group got itself into such a mess , and more importantly how or if, it will ever recover ?

Maybe increased introspection and decreased hubris will go a long way followed by a serious restructure of the business .

And then getting rid of the massive non -productive expenses such as an overpaid Board , and fancy offices.

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And how would you feel if you were one of those who chipped in $750 million for the last recapitalisation - just a few months back! I reckon you're about to get your contribution diluted by another rights issue etc on top of the 10.5% fall in share price today if you were one of them....

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There'd be some explaining to do if they needed another rights issue when a month ago they were aiming to sink $300 million on buying Steel and Tube.

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Auckland's new home prices are falling "the company (Universal Homes) was doing that to meet its own targets, not because of the market (uh-huh).

Webb (Home lender NewBuild) said "Pokeno in south Auckland was a good example, before the boom, houses were $500,000; at the top he was seeing $900,000 valuations. Now we're back barely getting $750,000 valuations."

https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/property/108639971/new-home-prices-sta…

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Similar to FMCG sales. Discounts and promotions are used to meet sales targets. 40% of FMCG products in NZ are discounted or promoted, according to Nielsen. Highest in the developed world.

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How banks create money out of nothing. Please don't delete this post because it is educational.... and doesn't cost $80K over three years to get an economics degree! Just 2 hours of peoples time and no cost

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcGh1Dex4Yo

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and the push for independent central banks has to be fought, that would be a bad outcome.

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"How banks create money out of nothing."

Still slightly better than bitcoin, which is currently creating nothing out of money. :)

The plummet continues. Bitcoin down 16% in 24hrs, and 30% in a week.

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Hi Pragmatist

I have a friend who borrowed money on 3 credit cards to buy Bitcoin as it approached $20,000.
He's now paying credit card debt of 18% on £50,000 worth of Bitcoin purchases.. and the price of his investment is on the floor. I can't believe that the UK banks would have facilitated such a purchase. I am sure he's not the only one regretting the investment. He can't stick it on the house because he doesn't have the equity to maintain his LTV rate.

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Sorry Nic but your friend is an idiot. Bitcoin has boomed and crashed 100's of times. Did he even do any research before he did something so reckless? Who on earth uses credit card debt at 18% to buy something with such a well documented history of extreme volatility? Never ever ever invest in a high risk asset if you can't afford to lose that cash. MUPPET.

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In the grand scheme of things, Fletcher is a high-cost, low-tech (innovation) business. It's hardly surpising that it can't make money outside gravy trains and the upside of credit-driven bubbles.

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AKA a dinosaur

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Mmm, the residents of Taranaki are going to be clambering over themselves for those Kiwibuild places they just announced.

This is where they are being built.. I just wonder if they are replacing the shitboxes, or being build on the empty land in the middle of the block?

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Hahahaha.
For anyone who knows New Plymouth, they know how desirable Banks St is to live on.

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theres some crap going on with the the kiwibuild stats. They've updated the kiwibuild webpage again HERE, but the numbers don't match what has been said recently in the media.

Pre-qualified buyers was quoted in the media at 338.. but kiwibuilds own webpage is proudly proclaiming a mere 245. Was the 338 number counting both people in couple to juice the numbers, or does MBIE simply not have a clue how many are actually pre-qualified?

Also good to see there are more homeowners than completed homes (I guess a signed contract is as good as a built house tho right?)

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Bitcoin slides further to US$4385

Thats down $2300 (a third of its value) in a week or so

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