Speaking on a recent episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Steve Symon, who chaired the Ministerial Advisory Group on Transnational, Serious & Organised Crime, made the point that; "Cash is the primary currency of organised crime. And so a huge amount of our cash right now, as we sit here, is in the hands of organised crime."
In its latest annual report the Reserve Bank, the sole supplier of New Zealand banknotes and coins, says currency in circulation was $9.1 billion as of June 30 last year, up from $8.9 billion year-on-year. (See Reserve Bank chart below).
Slightly different Reserve Bank data, on "bank notes in the hands of the public," shows an increase from just under $5 billion in 2015 to almost $8.6 billion last year. At the same time, the value of cash in $50 and $100 notes has surged. This comes even though many New Zealanders seldom carry or use cash.
So on Symon's point about large amounts of cash being in the hands of organised crime, what do the Police say?
Detective Superintendent Greg Williams, Director of the NZ Police National Organised Crime Group, says two significant markets deal predominantly in cash. They are illicit drugs and illicit tobacco.
"Wastewater testing shows meth use nearly doubled in mid-2024, so cash for this soared from an estimated $293 million per year to an estimated $533 million in 2025. Interestingly these figures are conservative, as they don't account for the fact meth is commonly diluted before reaching consumers. When expenditure on cocaine, MDMA and cannabis is included, the combined value approaches $800 million annually," Williams says.
Robbie Taylor, Reserve Bank Manager of Money and Cash Policy, says currency in circulation is influenced by public demand for cash. This is impacted by several factors including population growth and inflation, changing payment and shopping preferences, and reduced access to bank branches for cash services making it harder for individuals and retailers to bank cash.
"Cash industry activities also influence this, for example it has become more common that ATMs dispense $50 banknotes when previously $20s were predominantly dispensed. Recent natural disasters, crises, and official advice to keep cash at home for preparedness may also affect the amount of currency in circulation," Taylor says.
Meanwhile, individuals and businesses getting paid by customers in cash can be a way to avoid paying tax. Inland Revenue notes intentionally not paying the correct amount of tax is tax evasion. This can occur, for example, by a restaurant receiving payments via both cash and EFTPOS but only declaring income from the EFTPOS sales, and businesses withdrawing cash to pay staff and not paying PAYE tax on the wages.
A cashless society?
In the podcast, Symon says there's a future in which NZ will be cashless.
"Our point was the sooner you make that happen, the better we are because it will put pressure on organised crime to move it from a commodity that they can use to pay for these narcotics, and also push us into a transactional regime where there has to be a recording of the transfer or movement of these large quantities of money so that we can trace it, seize it, freeze it, recover it for the state."
"Cash at the moment is a major problem for the fight against organised crime," Symon says.
Williams says many major drug operations involve money laundering, and getting cash into an electronic banking system requires corrupting people or systems.
"One example is money laundering through cash-wage labour hire in industries," he says.
According to Williams, such industries include construction, horticulture and sex-work, which often involves the exploitation of vulnerable, sometimes migrant, workers.
"In essence, for this money laundering typology to work, it requires corruption of standard business practices and exploitation of workers, a number of which are undocumented foreign nationals, who are desperate to work. In fact it relies on targeting these people. It also allows for gangs and organised crime groups to get their money in an electronic form that can be turned into assets or cryptocurrency and moved through financial systems to pay overseas brokers and producers," says Williams.
"This is an insidious practice on so many levels, particularly considering the well documented massive social harm being caused in every community in New Zealand just from meth, combined with the violence that associates with this sort of illicit market."
"Because cash is anonymous, but difficult to use for major purchases, organised crime groups are constantly looking for ways to convert it into electronic funds or cryptocurrency," Williams says.
Automatic cash confiscation powers?
In its final report, the Ministerial Advisory Group on Transnational, Serious & Organised Crime made a series of recommendations around cash. These include;
Introduce automatic cash confiscation powers: Enable authorities to confiscate cash found with illicit items upon conviction, without needing to prove the cash was derived from crime. This would streamline enforcement under the Criminal Proceeds (Recovery) Act (CPRA).
Mandate border cash declaration and seizure: Require declaration of cash over NZ$1,000 at borders, with automatic forfeiture if undeclared and suspected to be linked to criminal activity.
Mandate electronic wage payments in high-risk sectors: Require wages to be paid via traceable methods in industries like construction, hospitality, and agriculture.
Prohibit cash payments for professional services: Ban cash payments to lawyers, accountants, immigration advisers, and real estate agents to reduce laundering risks.
Restrict cash use in remittance services: Limit remitters from accepting cash above a low threshold [$5000] for international transfers.
Ban cash purchases of cryptocurrency: Prohibit virtual currency ATMs until regulatory oversight is in place to close a major laundering loophole.
Symon says the Government "seems to be warm" to exploring ways wages in some industries could be paid by traceable methods, to see whether the benefit outweighs the burden.
"I'm not trying to take money out of the wallets of every grandparent who wants to go to a bake sale. What I am trying to do is target those industries that have been exploited by organised crime," says Symon.
The final report goes as far as saying transnational serious organised crime; "is becoming the number one threat to New Zealand’s national security."
Small businesses 'adversely affected if cash was unavailable' & the RBNZ's seigniorage
Taylor notes the Reserve Bank regularly surveys New Zealanders’ cash use. Latest research suggests 72% of small businesses would be adversely affected if cash was unavailable as a means of payment.
"Our own survey tells us while over 80% of adults use cash sometimes, over half (56%) store cash and 8% rely on cash," says Taylor.
The Reserve Bank earns revenue from its stewardship of money, cash and payments which largely relates to seigniorage. This is the net income the Reserve Bank receives from investing the funds received from trading banks from selling banknotes and coins to them, which is currency in circulation. Its 2024 annual report shows a $466 million surplus from this activity on $524 million operating revenue and $58 million of operating expenses.
Meanwhile, Symon acknowledges whilst eliminating cash would help in the fight against organised crime, it wouldn't end it.
"Because organised crime, much like a good business, will find another way to transact."

*This article was first published in our email for paying subscribers early on Monday morning. See here for more details and how to subscribe.
18 Comments
That’s some 1984 level shit right there.
Tha government’s moving from a default position of ‘the majority of people do the right thing’ to ‘everyone must be watched just in case there’s a baddy somewhere’.
Very astute point. The powers that be will keep pushing any narrative they can to rid NZ of cash as it gives them more control and oversight into peoples' lives. There needs to be a healthy criticism of all government and society, lest we all become complacent and allow excessive oversight. I value my privacy for one, which seems to be getting stripped more and more bare as the years go on, apps want permission to scan all of your images on your phone, websites and companies sell off your data to 3rd parties of which you may never know of the whereabouts to which it gets to.
"Steve Symon, who chaired the Ministerial Advisory Group on Transnational, Serious & Organised Crime"
"Detective Superintendent Greg Williams, Director of the NZ Police National Organised Crime Group:"
"it is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail." Maslow's Law of the instrument
A hard no to the end of cash: are we that eager to the power-asymmetric hand over that much of our data, and control of our lives, to commercial enterprises and government?
The claims about the spectre of organised crime are not anywhere like good enough to deprive the citizens of their rights and the robust, simple convenience of cash. If cash were banned, criminals would simply move to crypto currency, precious metals and objects, or other exchanges in kind.
Could the amount of cash circulating also be a reflection of increasing wariness about scamming and growing weariness with surveillance capitalism?
A cashless society gives even more power to banks and other commercial organisations to profile and track behaviour thus further enhancing their profitability while reducing their costs of cash handling and removing a large chunk of privacy.
The perceived lack of government trust worthiness means handing over tools for oppression is not a credible or tolerable demand as the population believes said tools would of course be used, even with assurances that it's in our own best interests.
And declaring anything over $1000 at point of entry? Not a good look for tourists, to look that thirsty, and some of the report reads like a wish-list for authoritarianism.
If cash were banned, criminals would simply move to crypto currency, precious metals and objects, or other exchanges in kind.
It's not top of mind in Aotearoa, but the ASEAN online scam war shows that the idea that crypto is somehow a tool for criminals to hide their ill-gotten gains is broken.
U.S. authorities have seized approx 127,271 bitcoin (about USD 15 billion) tied to the large‑scale online “pig butchering” scams run from Southeast Asia, making it the largest forfeiture action in DOJ history.
https://www.trmlabs.com/resources/blog/historic-u-s--u-k-operation-targ…
The more society shifts from analogue to digital, vulnerability increases. Because digital is totally reliant on electricity supply.
Basic human needs are not digital, they are analogue. When the ability to purchase those needs is limited to digital then any disruption to power supply inhibits access.
Cash must be retained. Banks should be regulated to return to enabling convenient deposit and withdrawal of cash for customers. A bank transaction is recorded and searchable. If law enforcement suspects illicit activity behind transactions then they can investigate the source and destination of funds movement by investigating the entities involved.
Don't get me wrong, ideally every citizen would be law abiding. But reality indicates to me that since the inception of organised, rules bound societies, factions within those societies have always and will always find means to circumvent the rules. Societies that have sought 100% compliance with those rules have always come to a messy end when the majority of the generally compliant population find the situation intolerably oppressive and rebel.
So in a cashless society what happens in the aftermath of a natural disaster? Inevitable in NZ BTW.
How do you purchase essential supplies with no electricity/internet.
Private ledger...theres an example from Ireland often quoted I believe. The Irish bank strikes of the 60s/70s.
https://d-nb.info/1270013688/34
Didn't the Irish also end up using pubs as banks?
Pretty much...IOUs and cheque transfers within local businesses.
There was another example run by a european council back in the day that i cant remember the details of, but shows the functions of 'money' and taxation and how it dosnt need to be centralised.
Google is my friend...The Worgl experiment 1932 Austria.
I had not come across Worgl before, thank you
Worgl TEDTalk (riveting speaker 🤩)
https://youtu.be/s0K65v_V8Sg?si=7waBvmqNhAT_7a-V
& a movie !!
I wonder if becoming analogue cashless would actually make things even more complex by creating both a barter economy and alternative forms of cash (example: using AUD or USD, illegally imported in bulk), and actually worsen the potential for corruption.
That is the main reason I keep around $2-3k cash available.
illicit tobacco of course being the self imposed own goal by do gooding bureaucrats who failed to learn the lessons of prohibition. The government is solely to blame for the rise of the illicit tobacco industry. People expected to give up cash due to bad government policy hardly seems cricket.
Try going to Oz where most corner stores sell illicit chinese imported tobacco for 1/4 the cost of the branded stuff per pack. So common that it is arguably ubiquitous.
The article says:
from just under $5 billion in 2015
But the graph shows it's around $2 billion for that year (~$5 billion being 2019).
Would New Zealand becoming a cashless society help combat 'the number one threat to national security?'
No
Cash has also risen due to Ardern and Hipkins totalitarian bad flu season state. Just to sell some experimental medical therapy, they turned off bank accounts of people they didn't like, ignored medsafe advice and gave open travel passes to mob bosses - one got a taste of what they would have done if they had CBDC's for their two tier society. Yep, yep.
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