By Chris Trotter*
It is a commonplace of New Zealand political conversations to decry how far the Left has drifted from its origins. Labour, once an unambiguously working-class party, in terms of both its party membership and electoral support base, has morphed into a party dedicated to the ideas and interests of the professional and managerial class. The Greens, formerly an eccentric combination of future-focused technocrats and back-to-nature hippies, has fallen prey to the politics of identity and cultural confrontation.
This ideological and demographic drift is condemned by traditional New Zealand leftists for depriving significant fractions of the electorate, most particularly working-class New Zealanders, of an effective political voice in their nation’s affairs.
Less common, however, is serious political discussion concerning the ideological drift of the New Zealand Right. Indeed, a substantial percentage of those who vote for New Zealand’s right-wing parties would challenge the very notion that they are even slightly motivated by ideological concerns, insisting rather that their electoral choices are dictated by experience and “common sense”. They vote for what “works” in the “real world”. Ideology is for the over-educated and the impractical, a description which, by the reckoning of National, Act, and NZ First voters, fits their left-wing opponents like a glove.
The notion that politics can be conducted successfully without recourse to the tiresome bromides of ideology is one which the Right has promoted for a very long time. As defenders of the status quo, right-wing parties have had no pressing historical reason for suggesting that their fellow citizens inhabit anything other than the best of all possible worlds. What does compel them to action, however, is the prospect of the status quo being upended by the dangerous policies of an ideologically-driven Left.
Certainly it was the Right’s fear of what the newly-elected Labour Party might do to the status quo that prompted the formation of the National Party in 1936. Since Labour’s constitution explicitly committed its members to “the socialisation of the means of production, distribution and exchange” the Right’s fear was not without justification.
What it took National more than a decade to grasp was that when the status quo included worldwide economic depression, acute social deprivation and growing political polarisation, identifying one’s party with its defence was unlikely to bring electoral success.
It was only when, after fourteen years in office, Labour’s reforms had become the status quo that National was able to win office by promising to maintain it more efficiently than its ageing creators.
Labour’s welfare state would not be abolished by National, and the powerful trade union movement which Labour had established as its principal defender would not be dismantled (as National’s 1949 manifesto promised) merely disciplined.
What the First National Government’s ruthless disciplining of the militant trade unions in the Waterfront Lockout of 1951 told New Zealanders was that while Labour’s radical revision of the status quo may eventually have become acceptable to farmers and businessmen, anything more than incremental changes to it had not.
Two one-term Labour Governments offered proof of just how averse the National Party was to any serious attempt to move the status quo forward. And not just National. A majority of the New Zealand electorate was similarly unenthusiastic about shaking things up too much.
This was particularly evident following the first great oil-shock of 1973.
A more adroit Labour Party might have parlayed the consequent inflationary surge into an argument for rethinking fundamentally the way the New Zealand economy was run, but the sudden death of Norman Kirk in 1974 had robbed it of the only left-wing politician capable of making that case.
What New Zealand got instead was Rob Muldoon, the National leader who not only defended the post-war status quo but fetishised it. Even when the second oil-shock of 1978, followed by the 1979 Iranian Revolution, forced Muldoon into adopting a left-wing industrial development strategy, National remained committed to “New Zealand the way YOU want it.”
By 1984, however, it was clear that the post-war status quo had run its course. Equally clear was the fact that the Left was in full retreat globally. The parliamentary leadership of the New Zealand Labour Party no longer believed it was either sensible, or possible, to advance the ideology of social-democracy any further.
Encouraged by their Treasury advisers, Labour’s leaders opted instead to blow up the status quo altogether. The whole notion of an active New Zealand state, the idea that had dominated the country’s politics since the election of the Liberal Government in 1890, was cast aside in favour of laissez-faire capitalism.
To paraphrase the Australian Labor finance minister Paul Keating, this was the revolution that New Zealand had to have. But like all revolutions it broke most of the individuals and institutions responsible for its success.
Labour was shattered by “Rogernomics”, as was National. Both parties were the product of New Zealand’s enduring national project: by turns advancing the social-democratic programme that lay at its core, and then, however grudgingly, entrenching and defending those advances once they’d been achieved.
New Zealanders were “socialists of the heart” if not of the head, and that is how they voted. Asking them to become free market predators red in tooth and claw more-or-less overnight was a recipe for extreme ideological volatility and the loss of social cohesion.
This turning away from social-democracy is much more jarring for those nostalgic for the Labour Party of Savage, Fraser, Nash, Nordmeyer and Kirk. A more honest Labour Party would have ditched the name, but the electoral inertia it encouraged was far too valuable to relinquish. The Labour brand has kept the once proud standard-bearer of the New Zealand Left competitive – even at the cost of burning-off those who recognise an empty signifier when they see one.
National, meanwhile, has never wholly adjusted to its new role of promoting a status quo that most New Zealanders don’t support and are eager to change. Like Labour, National is required to go on stroking the electoral cat from its tail to its head. After more than 40 years, both parties have amassed a fine collection of scars and scratches to prove it.
Neoliberalism is a hard sell: crisis-prone and guaranteed to make the lives of ordinary people worse, not better, especially if they’re young. That said, neither of the major parties feels able to break away from the system which the revolution of the 1980s and 90s locked into place. It remains a brute fact of political life to which even the minor parties must adapt or die.
That the fundamental economic settings cannot be changed explains in large measure the absurd battles over identity and culture that pass for politics in the Twenty-First Century. Fighting over the things they cannot change is all that remains for politicians after they have surrendered any hope of changing the things they can.
*Chris Trotter has been writing and commenting professionally about New Zealand politics for more than 30 years. He writes a weekly column for interest.co.nz. His work may also be found at http://bowalleyroad.blogspot.com.
13 Comments
Actually, they can't.
Solve the major predicament.
Which is partly why, I suggest, that they - like Trotter and his ilk - avoid it.
It's not left/right is the problem, nor even neoliberalism; communism was also a resource draw-down regime. Physics cares nowt for ideology.
But what we construct in place of the current collection of infrastructure and political formats, will be very different. Very local, is my guess.
Draw down may be the unavoidable fact, but how that burden is borne is also important.
"That the fundamental economic settings cannot be changed explains in large measure the absurd battles over identity and culture that pass for politics in the Twenty-First Century. Fighting over the things they cannot change is all that remains for politicians after they have surrendered any hope of changing the things they can."
The second sentence appears to contradict the first (unless CT is attempting a more sophisticated irony above my limited ability after a drink & meal at the local workingmens club). Perhaps it would better read: "Fighting over the things they can (hope to) change (eg identity and culture) is all that remains for politicians after they have surrendered any hope of changing the things they can't (eg. economic realities)."
Because Chris, there is still no free lunch & "the problem with socialists is that they eventually run out of other people's money"
PS I voted > 90% Labour from Kirk to Jacinda inclusive, never again.
A thoughtful and accurate summary of the political pathway to date, primarily post WW2. To sum up, the two old hats neither fit nor satisfy the state of the nation as it exists today. Ironically enough the electorate, perhaps unwittingly, foresaw this eventuality when it opted for MMP which on the face of it should have introduced a constructive departure from the dominance of a two party establishment. But it didn’t. The electorate instead insisted on carrying on regardless, trying to convert the new into the old, and extraordinarily in 2020 even engineered a FFP election result by using the mechanics of MMP to defeat the principles of MMP. As it stands today, there is now a coalition government in true MMP form, three parties of sizeable representation rather than a traditional major and a scattering of minnows. Perhaps after thirty years or so MMP is delivering after all. As a final note it is a sad fact that the Greens worthy banner of environmental and associated issues has for thirty years been deservedly on the sidelines because the political party here is more interested in far left activities and not the origin or purpose of the international movement.
I have read Mr Trotter's offerings for years and find it curious that this is the first instance I can remember of such a statement. ...better late than never I guess.
"The Five voter tribes that will decide who governs New Zealand"
https://www.democracyproject.org.nz/p/democracy-briefing-the-five-voter…
Have shared that article, most agree its a great read, I agree 100%.... I have thought that this is Winnies to lose for a while.
New Zealand is not immune to these forces. In fact, McLauchlan’s data suggests we are ripe for them. The lifecycle mechanism that once reliably created conservative voters — get a mortgage, get kids, get conservative — requires people to actually get mortgages. If home ownership among the young keeps falling, the constituency for conventional rightwing politics contracts with it. And on the left, if Labour continues to function as the party of the professional-managerial class, it will keep bleeding the voters it was originally created to serve.
The one politician who seems to understand this instinctively is Winston Peters. McLauchlan’s data shows NZ First draws disproportionately from the Alienated Conservatives. Peters speaks their language: sceptical of elites, suspicious of institutions, economically modest but culturally conservative. It is no coincidence that he keeps coming back from the political dead.
But beyond Peters, who is speaking to these tribes? Who is telling the Alienated Conservative that his distrust of institutions is not irrational but the rational response of someone the system has genuinely failed? National is nominally the party for the typical Alienated Conservative, but National is run by the Establishment Right: independently wealthy professionals and property owners whose interests diverge sharply from his. Christopher Luxon, with his many houses and corporate background, does not speak his language. David Seymour, with his libertarian abstractions, does not address his concrete frustrations.
Who is offering the Precarious Left something more than the cultural politics of the Educated Progressives? Labour is nominally the party for the typical Precarious Left — but Labour is run by Educated Progressives whose daily lives look nothing like hers. When Labour talks about co-governance and climate targets and gender equity, these are not irrelevant issues to the Precarious Left. But they are not the issues keeping her awake at night. What keeps her awake is the rent, the groceries, the power bill she can’t afford, the ECE centre that’s about to close.
This is where this year’s election could still get messy. Whoever figures out how to speak to that roughly one‑third of voters who think the system is rigged will change New Zealand politics.
I do wonder a bit about how the AI driven professional shakeup that's going on is going to impact the economic security, and thereby political views, of the Educated Progressives, Middle New Zealand and Establishment Right.
Are we going to see a further collapse in trust in institutions as things get more uncertain for those traditionally at the top of the financial layer cake, and the precariate grows further?
In other relative news: New Zealand underground bunker inquiries double amid Iran conflict
It seems the elite are taking precautions in case the commoners come for their wealth.
Great piece to stimulate thought and debate!
"...the things they cannot change..." Why can't they change? All these systems and processes are man made. They are not immutable forces of nature. Is the inability to change them based in a lack of understanding of how it all fits together and no vision for how it is supposed to work to serve the people? Or is it an unwillingness to remove the levers and tools the rich and powerful corporations and individuals use to control the country (read corruption)?
CT only indirectly alludes to it but the reality within any democracy is that the government is supposed to serve the interests of the people first and foremost. When it is not doing that, it is then abandoning any mandate it may have been given in an election, no matter what fancy words are used to wrap and justify their actions.
The comment "They vote for what “works” in the “real world." about right wing voters is in many respects indicative of the apathy across all spectrums where people are choosing to accept the status quo rather than choosing to drive any government back to serving the people.
The discussion required now is for what should be demanded to change our government back to what is required to properly represent and serve the people.
Why can't it change was my first reaction too.
Tariff settings, strategic re-nationalisation, adjustment to electricity market, are possible.
Just the fortitude to front foot those modifications is required.
The alternative, surrendering to a notion that the shattering reforms of the 80s are embedded forever, is an extremely fraught future. It does not inevitably need to be so.
I think Zespri is a salient example of how compromise within the neoliberal framework has delivered real benefit. Remember that the thinly regulate kiwifruit sector boomed in the late 70s and 80s only to crash to technical bankruptcy by the mid 90s. And within an ideologically driven era of deregulating producer boards (meat, wool, pipfruit), Zespri statutory existence was established - look at the kiwifruit sector now.
Change can be made, it must be made.
The withdrawal of the veggie processors is an interesting example. Capitalism supposedly sees the losers collapse, then a new efficient player comes along. But the leaders of the farmer suppliers are not promoting a new processor.
As a nation, we can see the success of RocketLab, Xero, Halter. So among us there are the individuals who have what it takes.
But not among our politicians.
Something is systematically rejecting fresh thinking. Who controls Adam Smith’s invisible hand, preventing innovative political thinking?
CT has just arrived at the conclusion that National and Labour essentially peddle the same BS?
Better late than never I guess.
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