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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

US treasuries turnaround, Fed sees more work to do to contain inflation pressures as RBNZ moves into the spotlight
20th Feb 23, 7:24am
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US treasuries turnaround, Fed sees more work to do to contain inflation pressures as RBNZ moves into the spotlight
A big upside surprise in US PPI plays to theme of stronger for longer inflation, keeping pressure on Fed to raise rates further. US Treasury yields rise
17th Feb 23, 7:51am
A big upside surprise in US PPI plays to theme of stronger for longer inflation, keeping pressure on Fed to raise rates further. US Treasury yields rise
Global rates sell-off continues as market prices in tighter US policy trajectory. NZ rates and NZD weaker after inflation expectations fall. Market homes in towards picking 50bps hike next week
15th Feb 23, 7:28am
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Global rates sell-off continues as market prices in tighter US policy trajectory. NZ rates and NZD weaker after inflation expectations fall. Market homes in towards picking 50bps hike next week
No evident nerves ahead of Tuesday night's key US CPI release. EU commission upgrades outlook. Brutal sell-off in domestic rates market continues, back to pricing in an OCR peak around 5.5%
14th Feb 23, 8:07am
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No evident nerves ahead of Tuesday night's key US CPI release. EU commission upgrades outlook. Brutal sell-off in domestic rates market continues, back to pricing in an OCR peak around 5.5%
Global and NZ rates continue to rise, capping off a poor week for the bond market; NZ 2-year swap rate up over 40bps for the week. JPY volatile after reports of a surprise imminent BoJ Governor appointment
13th Feb 23, 7:28am
Global and NZ rates continue to rise, capping off a poor week for the bond market; NZ 2-year swap rate up over 40bps for the week. JPY volatile after reports of a surprise imminent BoJ Governor appointment
Further UST curve inversion sees 2s10s spread at the most inverted since 1981, warning of pending economic recession. NZ rates much higher, while another failed government bond tender sees NZGB curve flattening
10th Feb 23, 7:40am
Further UST curve inversion sees 2s10s spread at the most inverted since 1981, warning of pending economic recession. NZ rates much higher, while another failed government bond tender sees NZGB curve flattening
NZ rates much higher, playing catch-up to global moves since Friday night; more upside today to catch up with RBA market reaction
8th Feb 23, 7:53am
NZ rates much higher, playing catch-up to global moves since Friday night; more upside today to catch up with RBA market reaction
Strong US payrolls and ISM services reports Friday night rock the market. Market adds another full 25bps Fed hike into the mix and sends rates much higher
7th Feb 23, 7:57am
Strong US payrolls and ISM services reports Friday night rock the market. Market adds another full 25bps Fed hike into the mix and sends rates much higher
Powell not seen as pushing back overly hard on the market's more dovish policy outlook. This gives market vindication to the view the tightening cycle is drawing to a close. Big rally in rates and equity markets gets extended. ECB and BofE hike +50 bps
3rd Feb 23, 7:47am
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Powell not seen as pushing back overly hard on the market's more dovish policy outlook. This gives market vindication to the view the tightening cycle is drawing to a close. Big rally in rates and equity markets gets extended. ECB and BofE hike +50 bps
Risk appetite weaker ahead of big week ahead filled with key economic releases, policy meetings and earnings reports. A big upside miss for Spanish CPI data drives higher European yields, spilling over elsewhere
31st Jan 23, 7:45am
Risk appetite weaker ahead of big week ahead filled with key economic releases, policy meetings and earnings reports. A big upside miss for Spanish CPI data drives higher European yields, spilling over elsewhere
Inflation heading in the right direction in the US; and the wrong direction in Japan. NZ rates reverse course after their falls post-CPI. Labour market data on Wednesday the next key local release
30th Jan 23, 7:58am
Inflation heading in the right direction in the US; and the wrong direction in Japan. NZ rates reverse course after their falls post-CPI. Labour market data on Wednesday the next key local release
US GDP up 2.9% but with a soft underbelly. US initial jobless claims push lower again. Modest gains for US equities. Treasury yields up 4bps for the day and USD modestly stronger
27th Jan 23, 7:52am
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US GDP up 2.9% but with a soft underbelly. US initial jobless claims push lower again. Modest gains for US equities. Treasury yields up 4bps for the day and USD modestly stronger
Big day for NZ and Australia, with Q4 CPI reports, which will shape rate hike expectations for upcoming meetings. NZD hovers around 65 USc. Euro area and US services PMIs improve
25th Jan 23, 7:46am
Big day for NZ and Australia, with Q4 CPI reports, which will shape rate hike expectations for upcoming meetings. NZD hovers around 65 USc. Euro area and US services PMIs improve
Solid gains in US equities again and US 10-year rate up through 3.5%. Currency moves modest but JPY notably weaker again
24th Jan 23, 7:43am
Solid gains in US equities again and US 10-year rate up through 3.5%. Currency moves modest but JPY notably weaker again
Equities higher, global rates higher and commodity currencies outperform. JPY underperforms on higher rates backdrop. NZ rates higher bouncing off multi-month low
23rd Jan 23, 7:30am
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Equities higher, global rates higher and commodity currencies outperform. JPY underperforms on higher rates backdrop. NZ rates higher bouncing off multi-month low
US reaches debt ceiling and US Treasury begins special measures to keep paying the bills. Notable falls in US and Australian rates yesterday on weaker data drag down NZ rates. NZ 10-year NZGB closes at lowest level since August
20th Jan 23, 8:12am
US reaches debt ceiling and US Treasury begins special measures to keep paying the bills. Notable falls in US and Australian rates yesterday on weaker data drag down NZ rates. NZ 10-year NZGB closes at lowest level since August
Very weak US retail sales and industrial production play to theme of economic recession; Soft PPI plays to theme of weaker inflationary pressure. As a spoiler on the inflation outlook, oil prices continue to recover with IEA forecasting record demand
19th Jan 23, 8:05am
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Very weak US retail sales and industrial production play to theme of economic recession; Soft PPI plays to theme of weaker inflationary pressure. As a spoiler on the inflation outlook, oil prices continue to recover with IEA forecasting record demand
ECB mulls lower pace of rate hikes. US data weak. Eyes on Bank of Japan. NZ QSBO points to a deep local recession
18th Jan 23, 7:46am
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ECB mulls lower pace of rate hikes. US data weak. Eyes on Bank of Japan. NZ QSBO points to a deep local recession
A strong start to the year for investors, with large gains in equities and meaty falls in global/domestic rates. USD starts the year on the backfoot; NZD/USD modestly higher for the year so far but underperforms on all the key crosses
17th Jan 23, 7:59am
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A strong start to the year for investors, with large gains in equities and meaty falls in global/domestic rates. USD starts the year on the backfoot; NZD/USD modestly higher for the year so far but underperforms on all the key crosses
US Treasury rates higher. German business confidence higher, NZ consumer confidence low, but NZ rates market outperforms
20th Dec 22, 7:57am
US Treasury rates higher. German business confidence higher, NZ consumer confidence low, but NZ rates market outperforms
Equity markets spooked by hawkish Fed and ECB policy updates despite dialled-down 50bps hikes. Safe haven flows drive lower US 10-year rate and USD surges. Strong NZ GDP catches rates market off guard; NZ rates driven much higher
16th Dec 22, 8:03am
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Equity markets spooked by hawkish Fed and ECB policy updates despite dialled-down 50bps hikes. Safe haven flows drive lower US 10-year rate and USD surges. Strong NZ GDP catches rates market off guard; NZ rates driven much higher
Another downside US CPI miss. Market pares Fed rate hike expectations. UST yields lower across the curve
14th Dec 22, 7:52am
Another downside US CPI miss. Market pares Fed rate hike expectations. UST yields lower across the curve
Risk appetite weaker ahead of a very busy week. COVID unleashed in China, straining hospitals - short-term economic hit but improved medium-term outlook
13th Dec 22, 7:52am
Risk appetite weaker ahead of a very busy week. COVID unleashed in China, straining hospitals - short-term economic hit but improved medium-term outlook
US equities fall further after rejection of brief move above its 200-day moving average. Brent crude goes sub USD80; falls in petrol prices will help rein in CPI inflation
7th Dec 22, 7:58am
US equities fall further after rejection of brief move above its 200-day moving average. Brent crude goes sub USD80; falls in petrol prices will help rein in CPI inflation
Good news is bad news - US Treasury yields much higher, US equities weaker, USD rebounds on surprisingly strong US ISM services index
6th Dec 22, 7:53am
Good news is bad news - US Treasury yields much higher, US equities weaker, USD rebounds on surprisingly strong US ISM services index