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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

Turndown in risk appetite drives US equity futures lower, USD higher and NZD plunges 3% peak to trough - hero to zero in 12 hours. Some positioning adjustments ahead of tonight's key US employment report
7th Oct 22, 7:58am
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Turndown in risk appetite drives US equity futures lower, USD higher and NZD plunges 3% peak to trough - hero to zero in 12 hours. Some positioning adjustments ahead of tonight's key US employment report
Bank of England intervenes in the UK Gilts market to restore market order. This triggers a significant massive reaction and risk appetite recovers
29th Sep 22, 8:06am
3
Bank of England intervenes in the UK Gilts market to restore market order. This triggers a significant massive reaction and risk appetite recovers
Market focus remains on UK. BoE Chief Economist signals a "significant monetary policy response" to new UK Government's fiscal package. Positive US data surprises; US 10-year rate rises to just shy of 4%
28th Sep 22, 8:03am
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Market focus remains on UK. BoE Chief Economist signals a "significant monetary policy response" to new UK Government's fiscal package. Positive US data surprises; US 10-year rate rises to just shy of 4%
Fed's hawkish update reverberates - global rates trade at fresh cycle highs. Overnight rate hikes from BoE, SNB, Norges Bank. Remarkably, BoJ maintains ultra-easy stance and easing bias; MoF intervenes in FX market to reverse tumbling yen
23rd Sep 22, 8:01am
3
Fed's hawkish update reverberates - global rates trade at fresh cycle highs. Overnight rate hikes from BoE, SNB, Norges Bank. Remarkably, BoJ maintains ultra-easy stance and easing bias; MoF intervenes in FX market to reverse tumbling yen
Fed hikes cash rate by 75bps, as widely expected. Updated 'dot plot' show +125bps of hikes over remaining two meetings this year. USD stronger on the day, although off its intraday highs as risk appetite rebounds
22nd Sep 22, 7:50am
5
Fed hikes cash rate by 75bps, as widely expected. Updated 'dot plot' show +125bps of hikes over remaining two meetings this year. USD stronger on the day, although off its intraday highs as risk appetite rebounds
Annexation moves of Russian-held territories in Ukraine looks likely, which would escalate the war. Ongoing market nerves ahead of FOMC meeting tomorrow. These forces result in weaker risk sentiment and fresh highs for global rates
21st Sep 22, 8:01am
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Annexation moves of Russian-held territories in Ukraine looks likely, which would escalate the war. Ongoing market nerves ahead of FOMC meeting tomorrow. These forces result in weaker risk sentiment and fresh highs for global rates
US Treasury yields push up to fresh highs on expectations for a hawkish Fed policy update. NZD trades down to fresh low of 59.3 USc. NZD/AUD down to fresh 5-year low
20th Sep 22, 7:54am
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US Treasury yields push up to fresh highs on expectations for a hawkish Fed policy update. NZD trades down to fresh low of 59.3 USc. NZD/AUD down to fresh 5-year low
Another US CPI shocker - to the upside, following last month's downside surprise. Market ramps up Fed tightening expectations. Risk appetite sours
14th Sep 22, 7:57am
4
Another US CPI shocker - to the upside, following last month's downside surprise. Market ramps up Fed tightening expectations. Risk appetite sours
Global equities higher, although US 10-year rate also higher; USD broadly weaker. Lower European gas prices. Hopes that US CPI tonight is another soft print
13th Sep 22, 7:40am
1
Global equities higher, although US 10-year rate also higher; USD broadly weaker. Lower European gas prices. Hopes that US CPI tonight is another soft print
USD flat Friday night after a notable lurch down during Asian trading. Risk appetite improves. Hawkish Fed-speak all but seals 75bps hike at next FOMC meeting, drives 2-year rate to fresh 15-year high
12th Sep 22, 7:49am
1
USD flat Friday night after a notable lurch down during Asian trading. Risk appetite improves. Hawkish Fed-speak all but seals 75bps hike at next FOMC meeting, drives 2-year rate to fresh 15-year high
ECB hikes 75bps, indicates further hikes "over the next several meetings". Fed Chair Powell says we need to act as "strongly as we have been doing". Another 75bps hike later this month looks a done deal. Global rates continue to rise
9th Sep 22, 8:00am
3
ECB hikes 75bps, indicates further hikes "over the next several meetings". Fed Chair Powell says we need to act as "strongly as we have been doing". Another 75bps hike later this month looks a done deal. Global rates continue to rise
USD strength yesterday sees many new FX milestones but a reversal overnight on higher risk appetite also notable. Oil down over 5% to 7-month low
8th Sep 22, 7:51am
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USD strength yesterday sees many new FX milestones but a reversal overnight on higher risk appetite also notable. Oil down over 5% to 7-month low
No fireworks at month-end, just more of the same. Equity markets push lower, global rates push higher, ending horror month for bond investors
1st Sep 22, 7:53am
1
No fireworks at month-end, just more of the same. Equity markets push lower, global rates push higher, ending horror month for bond investors
Good news on US labour market and consumer confidence means bad news for US Treasuries and equities. EUR supported by hawkish ECB rhetoric and another decent fall in gas prices. PBoC tries to stem depreciation of the yuan
31st Aug 22, 7:54am
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Good news on US labour market and consumer confidence means bad news for US Treasuries and equities. EUR supported by hawkish ECB rhetoric and another decent fall in gas prices. PBoC tries to stem depreciation of the yuan
A nervous start to the week, but risk sentiment improves overnight. EU looking to regulate gas market; prices plunge nearly 20%
30th Aug 22, 7:48am
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A nervous start to the week, but risk sentiment improves overnight. EU looking to regulate gas market; prices plunge nearly 20%
Global rates continue to push higher. European gas prices continue to surge. Higher inflation backdrop sees market pricing in more aggressive rate hikes from ECB, BoE
25th Aug 22, 7:57am
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Global rates continue to push higher. European gas prices continue to surge. Higher inflation backdrop sees market pricing in more aggressive rate hikes from ECB, BoE
Another round of weaker US data - services PMI shows another steep drop; new home sales plunge further. Brent crude hits USD100 per barrel in further upside on fear of Saudi Arabia production cut
24th Aug 22, 7:59am
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Another round of weaker US data - services PMI shows another steep drop; new home sales plunge further. Brent crude hits USD100 per barrel in further upside on fear of Saudi Arabia production cut
Week begins with a hit to risk appetite. But no safety from bonds as global rates rise. UK inflation projected by Citigroup to hit 18.6% on surging energy costs
23rd Aug 22, 7:59am
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Week begins with a hit to risk appetite. But no safety from bonds as global rates rise. UK inflation projected by Citigroup to hit 18.6% on surging energy costs
Mixed US economic data. Fed speakers out in force running the same lines on policy rates and inflation. Oil prices recover some lost ground; EU gas prices up to fresh record high
19th Aug 22, 7:56am
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Mixed US economic data. Fed speakers out in force running the same lines on policy rates and inflation. Oil prices recover some lost ground; EU gas prices up to fresh record high
Walmart and Home Depot earnings reports help support risk sentiment. But mixed US data, with a plunge in housing starts and stronger industrial production. Global rates higher, reversing previous day's fall
17th Aug 22, 7:53am
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Walmart and Home Depot earnings reports help support risk sentiment. But mixed US data, with a plunge in housing starts and stronger industrial production. Global rates higher, reversing previous day's fall
Weaker Chinese economic data and surprise PBoC rate cut drive a weaker yuan. NZD and AUD are collateral damage. Much weaker US second-tier data. Global rates fall; oil prices down
16th Aug 22, 7:41am
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Weaker Chinese economic data and surprise PBoC rate cut drive a weaker yuan. NZD and AUD are collateral damage. Much weaker US second-tier data. Global rates fall; oil prices down
US CPI for July much lower than expected; headline inflation past the peak. Modest net reaction in rates market, after earlier plunge in yields, but equities and currencies sustain strong reactions
11th Aug 22, 7:52am
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US CPI for July much lower than expected; headline inflation past the peak. Modest net reaction in rates market, after earlier plunge in yields, but equities and currencies sustain strong reactions
Higher US Treasury rates and further curve flattening, driving the 2s10s spread deeper into negative territory. Market nerves ahead of key US CPI data tonight
10th Aug 22, 7:53am
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Higher US Treasury rates and further curve flattening, driving the 2s10s spread deeper into negative territory. Market nerves ahead of key US CPI data tonight
Some reversal of Friday's price action, with US Treasury yields lower and USD lower. Further inversion of US 2s10s curve signaling recession ahead, but US equities unfazed
9th Aug 22, 7:53am
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Some reversal of Friday's price action, with US Treasury yields lower and USD lower. Further inversion of US 2s10s curve signaling recession ahead, but US equities unfazed
Risk appetite higher - Pelosi leaves Taiwan, good US earnings reports and US ISM services index shows a surprising lift. US Treasuries curve inverts further, supported by more hawkish Fed-speak
4th Aug 22, 7:57am
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Risk appetite higher - Pelosi leaves Taiwan, good US earnings reports and US ISM services index shows a surprising lift. US Treasuries curve inverts further, supported by more hawkish Fed-speak