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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 4 months

Latest articles

US core CPI rises by only 0.26%, well below the 0.5% consensus. Big downside miss triggers a surge in US equities, much lower rates and weaker USD
11th Nov 22, 8:00am
US core CPI rises by only 0.26%, well below the 0.5% consensus. Big downside miss triggers a surge in US equities, much lower rates and weaker USD
US Treasury yields slightly lower ahead of key US CPI report tonight. Cryptocurrency meltdown adds to negative risk sentiment. US election outcome won't be known for weeks
10th Nov 22, 7:34am
US Treasury yields slightly lower ahead of key US CPI report tonight. Cryptocurrency meltdown adds to negative risk sentiment. US election outcome won't be known for weeks
Risk appetite recovers despite China denials. NZD and AUD deliver nice recoveries off their lows
8th Nov 22, 7:26am
Risk appetite recovers despite China denials. NZD and AUD deliver nice recoveries off their lows
Fed hikes 75bps but statement consistent with a dovish pivot. NZ labour market very tight, encouraging market to think of a 75bps RBNZ hike later this month
3rd Nov 22, 8:03am
2
Fed hikes 75bps but statement consistent with a dovish pivot. NZ labour market very tight, encouraging market to think of a 75bps RBNZ hike later this month
Rollercoaster ride in markets: US equities fall. US Treasury yields up significantly. Chinese rumours twist their markets
2nd Nov 22, 7:47am
Rollercoaster ride in markets: US equities fall. US Treasury yields up significantly. Chinese rumours twist their markets
Entry of NZGBs into the World Bond Index pushes NZ bond yields lower and drives NZD outperformance, against a backdrop of a strong USD
1st Nov 22, 7:48am
Entry of NZGBs into the World Bond Index pushes NZ bond yields lower and drives NZD outperformance, against a backdrop of a strong USD
Global rates continue to fall away as monetary policy tightening expectations fade. But higher Australian CPI sees economists scrambling to revise rate projections up but market already there
27th Oct 22, 8:01am
Global rates continue to fall away as monetary policy tightening expectations fade. But higher Australian CPI sees economists scrambling to revise rate projections up but market already there
Global rates show some chunky falls, a sign that global bond markets were oversold late last week, but Fed pivot narrative and weaker US data helping
26th Oct 22, 7:56am
1
Global rates show some chunky falls, a sign that global bond markets were oversold late last week, but Fed pivot narrative and weaker US data helping
USD generally weaker amidst repricing of Fed expectations, firmer risk appetite. EUR shrugs off weak PMI data with investors focusing on the sharp fall in gas futures. Hang Seng plunges over 6% as market digests Xi's leadership reshuffle
25th Oct 22, 7:54am
USD generally weaker amidst repricing of Fed expectations, firmer risk appetite. EUR shrugs off weak PMI data with investors focusing on the sharp fall in gas futures. Hang Seng plunges over 6% as market digests Xi's leadership reshuffle
Relentless rise in global rates continues against a backdrop of higher inflation concerns. US 2 and 10-year rates up 11bps; NZ rates much higher as market prices in a much more aggressive tightening cycle
20th Oct 22, 7:55am
2
Relentless rise in global rates continues against a backdrop of higher inflation concerns. US 2 and 10-year rates up 11bps; NZ rates much higher as market prices in a much more aggressive tightening cycle
Markets remain volatile but net result is a strong gain for US equities and US 10-year rate back above 4%. Market pricing of NZ OCR peak now above 5.3%
19th Oct 22, 7:53am
4
Markets remain volatile but net result is a strong gain for US equities and US 10-year rate back above 4%. Market pricing of NZ OCR peak now above 5.3%
US equities rebound 2.8% from oversold level, helped by positive Bank of America earnings. Risk appetite improves on UK government policy U-turn
18th Oct 22, 7:49am
5
US equities rebound 2.8% from oversold level, helped by positive Bank of America earnings. Risk appetite improves on UK government policy U-turn
A whippy overnight trading session for all markets driven by media speculation of a U-turn in the UK government's budget proposals and another hot US CPI print
14th Oct 22, 8:04am
2
A whippy overnight trading session for all markets driven by media speculation of a U-turn in the UK government's budget proposals and another hot US CPI print
Market focus remains on the UK. BoE's Bailey talks tough publicly, not so much privately, causing some market volatility. Media reports that the UK government will U-turn on its fiscal proposals
13th Oct 22, 7:55am
3
Market focus remains on the UK. BoE's Bailey talks tough publicly, not so much privately, causing some market volatility. Media reports that the UK government will U-turn on its fiscal proposals
Markets settle, helped by yet another BoE emergency intervention, this time supporting the inflation-indexed bond market. US 10-year rate down to 3.88% after breaking 4% yesterday; NZ rates up to fresh cycle highs
12th Oct 22, 7:46am
2
Markets settle, helped by yet another BoE emergency intervention, this time supporting the inflation-indexed bond market. US 10-year rate down to 3.88% after breaking 4% yesterday; NZ rates up to fresh cycle highs
Risk sentiment sours as new week begins, not helped by Russia bombing Ukrainian cities. UK disappoints markets in policy responses, pushing global yields higher
11th Oct 22, 7:53am
6
Risk sentiment sours as new week begins, not helped by Russia bombing Ukrainian cities. UK disappoints markets in policy responses, pushing global yields higher
US employment rate unexpectedly falls to 3.5%. Data supports higher US rates and USD; US equities tumble
10th Oct 22, 7:40am
3
US employment rate unexpectedly falls to 3.5%. Data supports higher US rates and USD; US equities tumble
Turndown in risk appetite drives US equity futures lower, USD higher and NZD plunges 3% peak to trough - hero to zero in 12 hours. Some positioning adjustments ahead of tonight's key US employment report
7th Oct 22, 7:58am
1
Turndown in risk appetite drives US equity futures lower, USD higher and NZD plunges 3% peak to trough - hero to zero in 12 hours. Some positioning adjustments ahead of tonight's key US employment report
Bank of England intervenes in the UK Gilts market to restore market order. This triggers a significant massive reaction and risk appetite recovers
29th Sep 22, 8:06am
3
Bank of England intervenes in the UK Gilts market to restore market order. This triggers a significant massive reaction and risk appetite recovers
Market focus remains on UK. BoE Chief Economist signals a "significant monetary policy response" to new UK Government's fiscal package. Positive US data surprises; US 10-year rate rises to just shy of 4%
28th Sep 22, 8:03am
12
Market focus remains on UK. BoE Chief Economist signals a "significant monetary policy response" to new UK Government's fiscal package. Positive US data surprises; US 10-year rate rises to just shy of 4%
Fed's hawkish update reverberates - global rates trade at fresh cycle highs. Overnight rate hikes from BoE, SNB, Norges Bank. Remarkably, BoJ maintains ultra-easy stance and easing bias; MoF intervenes in FX market to reverse tumbling yen
23rd Sep 22, 8:01am
3
Fed's hawkish update reverberates - global rates trade at fresh cycle highs. Overnight rate hikes from BoE, SNB, Norges Bank. Remarkably, BoJ maintains ultra-easy stance and easing bias; MoF intervenes in FX market to reverse tumbling yen
Fed hikes cash rate by 75bps, as widely expected. Updated 'dot plot' show +125bps of hikes over remaining two meetings this year. USD stronger on the day, although off its intraday highs as risk appetite rebounds
22nd Sep 22, 7:50am
5
Fed hikes cash rate by 75bps, as widely expected. Updated 'dot plot' show +125bps of hikes over remaining two meetings this year. USD stronger on the day, although off its intraday highs as risk appetite rebounds
Annexation moves of Russian-held territories in Ukraine looks likely, which would escalate the war. Ongoing market nerves ahead of FOMC meeting tomorrow. These forces result in weaker risk sentiment and fresh highs for global rates
21st Sep 22, 8:01am
2
Annexation moves of Russian-held territories in Ukraine looks likely, which would escalate the war. Ongoing market nerves ahead of FOMC meeting tomorrow. These forces result in weaker risk sentiment and fresh highs for global rates
US Treasury yields push up to fresh highs on expectations for a hawkish Fed policy update. NZD trades down to fresh low of 59.3 USc. NZD/AUD down to fresh 5-year low
20th Sep 22, 7:54am
4
US Treasury yields push up to fresh highs on expectations for a hawkish Fed policy update. NZD trades down to fresh low of 59.3 USc. NZD/AUD down to fresh 5-year low
Another US CPI shocker - to the upside, following last month's downside surprise. Market ramps up Fed tightening expectations. Risk appetite sours
14th Sep 22, 7:57am
4
Another US CPI shocker - to the upside, following last month's downside surprise. Market ramps up Fed tightening expectations. Risk appetite sours