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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 4 months

Latest articles

Global equities higher, although US 10-year rate also higher; USD broadly weaker. Lower European gas prices. Hopes that US CPI tonight is another soft print
13th Sep 22, 7:40am
1
Global equities higher, although US 10-year rate also higher; USD broadly weaker. Lower European gas prices. Hopes that US CPI tonight is another soft print
USD flat Friday night after a notable lurch down during Asian trading. Risk appetite improves. Hawkish Fed-speak all but seals 75bps hike at next FOMC meeting, drives 2-year rate to fresh 15-year high
12th Sep 22, 7:49am
1
USD flat Friday night after a notable lurch down during Asian trading. Risk appetite improves. Hawkish Fed-speak all but seals 75bps hike at next FOMC meeting, drives 2-year rate to fresh 15-year high
ECB hikes 75bps, indicates further hikes "over the next several meetings". Fed Chair Powell says we need to act as "strongly as we have been doing". Another 75bps hike later this month looks a done deal. Global rates continue to rise
9th Sep 22, 8:00am
3
ECB hikes 75bps, indicates further hikes "over the next several meetings". Fed Chair Powell says we need to act as "strongly as we have been doing". Another 75bps hike later this month looks a done deal. Global rates continue to rise
USD strength yesterday sees many new FX milestones but a reversal overnight on higher risk appetite also notable. Oil down over 5% to 7-month low
8th Sep 22, 7:51am
4
USD strength yesterday sees many new FX milestones but a reversal overnight on higher risk appetite also notable. Oil down over 5% to 7-month low
No fireworks at month-end, just more of the same. Equity markets push lower, global rates push higher, ending horror month for bond investors
1st Sep 22, 7:53am
1
No fireworks at month-end, just more of the same. Equity markets push lower, global rates push higher, ending horror month for bond investors
Good news on US labour market and consumer confidence means bad news for US Treasuries and equities. EUR supported by hawkish ECB rhetoric and another decent fall in gas prices. PBoC tries to stem depreciation of the yuan
31st Aug 22, 7:54am
1
Good news on US labour market and consumer confidence means bad news for US Treasuries and equities. EUR supported by hawkish ECB rhetoric and another decent fall in gas prices. PBoC tries to stem depreciation of the yuan
A nervous start to the week, but risk sentiment improves overnight. EU looking to regulate gas market; prices plunge nearly 20%
30th Aug 22, 7:48am
4
A nervous start to the week, but risk sentiment improves overnight. EU looking to regulate gas market; prices plunge nearly 20%
Global rates continue to push higher. European gas prices continue to surge. Higher inflation backdrop sees market pricing in more aggressive rate hikes from ECB, BoE
25th Aug 22, 7:57am
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Global rates continue to push higher. European gas prices continue to surge. Higher inflation backdrop sees market pricing in more aggressive rate hikes from ECB, BoE
Another round of weaker US data - services PMI shows another steep drop; new home sales plunge further. Brent crude hits USD100 per barrel in further upside on fear of Saudi Arabia production cut
24th Aug 22, 7:59am
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Another round of weaker US data - services PMI shows another steep drop; new home sales plunge further. Brent crude hits USD100 per barrel in further upside on fear of Saudi Arabia production cut
Week begins with a hit to risk appetite. But no safety from bonds as global rates rise. UK inflation projected by Citigroup to hit 18.6% on surging energy costs
23rd Aug 22, 7:59am
2
Week begins with a hit to risk appetite. But no safety from bonds as global rates rise. UK inflation projected by Citigroup to hit 18.6% on surging energy costs
Mixed US economic data. Fed speakers out in force running the same lines on policy rates and inflation. Oil prices recover some lost ground; EU gas prices up to fresh record high
19th Aug 22, 7:56am
1
Mixed US economic data. Fed speakers out in force running the same lines on policy rates and inflation. Oil prices recover some lost ground; EU gas prices up to fresh record high
Walmart and Home Depot earnings reports help support risk sentiment. But mixed US data, with a plunge in housing starts and stronger industrial production. Global rates higher, reversing previous day's fall
17th Aug 22, 7:53am
1
Walmart and Home Depot earnings reports help support risk sentiment. But mixed US data, with a plunge in housing starts and stronger industrial production. Global rates higher, reversing previous day's fall
Weaker Chinese economic data and surprise PBoC rate cut drive a weaker yuan. NZD and AUD are collateral damage. Much weaker US second-tier data. Global rates fall; oil prices down
16th Aug 22, 7:41am
1
Weaker Chinese economic data and surprise PBoC rate cut drive a weaker yuan. NZD and AUD are collateral damage. Much weaker US second-tier data. Global rates fall; oil prices down
US CPI for July much lower than expected; headline inflation past the peak. Modest net reaction in rates market, after earlier plunge in yields, but equities and currencies sustain strong reactions
11th Aug 22, 7:52am
2
US CPI for July much lower than expected; headline inflation past the peak. Modest net reaction in rates market, after earlier plunge in yields, but equities and currencies sustain strong reactions
Higher US Treasury rates and further curve flattening, driving the 2s10s spread deeper into negative territory. Market nerves ahead of key US CPI data tonight
10th Aug 22, 7:53am
1
Higher US Treasury rates and further curve flattening, driving the 2s10s spread deeper into negative territory. Market nerves ahead of key US CPI data tonight
Some reversal of Friday's price action, with US Treasury yields lower and USD lower. Further inversion of US 2s10s curve signaling recession ahead, but US equities unfazed
9th Aug 22, 7:53am
1
Some reversal of Friday's price action, with US Treasury yields lower and USD lower. Further inversion of US 2s10s curve signaling recession ahead, but US equities unfazed
Risk appetite higher - Pelosi leaves Taiwan, good US earnings reports and US ISM services index shows a surprising lift. US Treasuries curve inverts further, supported by more hawkish Fed-speak
4th Aug 22, 7:57am
2
Risk appetite higher - Pelosi leaves Taiwan, good US earnings reports and US ISM services index shows a surprising lift. US Treasuries curve inverts further, supported by more hawkish Fed-speak
Fed speakers stick to the party line on much more policy work to do to reduce inflation. Market wakes up and drives US rates a lot higher, up 17-23bps across much of the curve. Higher rates drive USD higher
3rd Aug 22, 7:48am
1
Fed speakers stick to the party line on much more policy work to do to reduce inflation. Market wakes up and drives US rates a lot higher, up 17-23bps across much of the curve. Higher rates drive USD higher
US ISM manufacturing weaker, but not as weak as feared; Still, components are consistent with a developing economic recession. As a further indicator of recession, US 2s10s fall deeper into negative territory, now minus 30bps
2nd Aug 22, 7:48am
US ISM manufacturing weaker, but not as weak as feared; Still, components are consistent with a developing economic recession. As a further indicator of recession, US 2s10s fall deeper into negative territory, now minus 30bps
Fed hikes by 75bps but Chair Powell not as hawkish as feared. Dotplot showing 100bps over remaining 3 meetings this year. US equities extend rally, US Treasury rates fall, USD weakens as Powell speaks
28th Jul 22, 7:46am
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Fed hikes by 75bps but Chair Powell not as hawkish as feared. Dotplot showing 100bps over remaining 3 meetings this year. US equities extend rally, US Treasury rates fall, USD weakens as Powell speaks
Negative economic news flow continues with weaker US data and IMF global growth outlook downgrade. EU agrees to cut gas consumption by 15%; gas prices surge again
27th Jul 22, 7:45am
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Negative economic news flow continues with weaker US data and IMF global growth outlook downgrade. EU agrees to cut gas consumption by 15%; gas prices surge again
Gasprom to cut Nordstream gas supply to 20% of capacity from Wednesday. EUR unperturbed and weak Germany business confidence data has little impact as well. US Treasury yields higher, reversing some of Friday's fall
26th Jul 22, 7:49am
3
Gasprom to cut Nordstream gas supply to 20% of capacity from Wednesday. EUR unperturbed and weak Germany business confidence data has little impact as well. US Treasury yields higher, reversing some of Friday's fall
US market pares back rate hike expectations after Fed-speak on preference for "only" a 75bps hike later this month; curve unwinds some of yesterday's flattening
15th Jul 22, 7:56am
US market pares back rate hike expectations after Fed-speak on preference for "only" a 75bps hike later this month; curve unwinds some of yesterday's flattening
Oh dear, another US CPI inflation shocker. Market brings a 100bps hike into play for late July. BoC doesn't mess about and surprises with a 100bps hike. Significant US Treasuries curve flattening, signaling recession
14th Jul 22, 8:07am
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Oh dear, another US CPI inflation shocker. Market brings a 100bps hike into play for late July. BoC doesn't mess about and surprises with a 100bps hike. Significant US Treasuries curve flattening, signaling recession
Oil down -7% on global recession fears. German rates tumble on recession fears. USD strength reverses course overnight; EUR comes within a whisker of parity before recovering
13th Jul 22, 7:56am
1
Oil down -7% on global recession fears. German rates tumble on recession fears. USD strength reverses course overnight; EUR comes within a whisker of parity before recovering