sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

USD weaker and UST yields lower in the aftermath of Powell speech, which was less hawkish than feared. Global forces see lower NZ rates and paring of RBNZ rate hike expectations
2nd Dec 22, 7:52am
USD weaker and UST yields lower in the aftermath of Powell speech, which was less hawkish than feared. Global forces see lower NZ rates and paring of RBNZ rate hike expectations
Global equities higher, global rates lower, USD weaker. China's new COVID cases reach record high, but market unperturbed. NZ rates curve lower and flatten, retracing some of post-MPS move
25th Nov 22, 7:42am
Global equities higher, global rates lower, USD weaker. China's new COVID cases reach record high, but market unperturbed. NZ rates curve lower and flatten, retracing some of post-MPS move
Market more sensitive to weaker than stronger data releases. Softer US PMIs and higher jobless claims push US rates and USD lower. NZ rates curve much higher and flatter on hawkish RBNZ signals
24th Nov 22, 7:41am
1
Market more sensitive to weaker than stronger data releases. Softer US PMIs and higher jobless claims push US rates and USD lower. NZ rates curve much higher and flatter on hawkish RBNZ signals
Risk appetites rise ahead of US Thanksgiving holiday, expecting Fed pivot. China's pandemic spreads. Eyes on RBNZ
23rd Nov 22, 7:49am
Risk appetites rise ahead of US Thanksgiving holiday, expecting Fed pivot. China's pandemic spreads. Eyes on RBNZ
US Treasury yields push higher and curve flattens, sending 2s10s to most inverted in over forty years, producing strong economic recession signal. US leading index falls for eight consecutive month
21st Nov 22, 7:31am
US Treasury yields push higher and curve flattens, sending 2s10s to most inverted in over forty years, producing strong economic recession signal. US leading index falls for eight consecutive month
Market retraces recent moves - equities modestly lower, bond yields higher, USD recovers
18th Nov 22, 7:50am
Market retraces recent moves - equities modestly lower, bond yields higher, USD recovers
Weaker than expected US PPI supports the inflation-is-heading-down narrative. Weaker China activity data looked-through, with focus on the better outlook on policy support
16th Nov 22, 8:00am
Weaker than expected US PPI supports the inflation-is-heading-down narrative. Weaker China activity data looked-through, with focus on the better outlook on policy support
US Fed officials singing from the same songsheet - one good CPI print hasn't changed the policy outlook for higher rates. Market unwinds a little of the big moves seen last week. Yuan stronger on property market support
15th Nov 22, 7:45am
US Fed officials singing from the same songsheet - one good CPI print hasn't changed the policy outlook for higher rates. Market unwinds a little of the big moves seen last week. Yuan stronger on property market support
US core CPI rises by only 0.26%, well below the 0.5% consensus. Big downside miss triggers a surge in US equities, much lower rates and weaker USD
11th Nov 22, 8:00am
US core CPI rises by only 0.26%, well below the 0.5% consensus. Big downside miss triggers a surge in US equities, much lower rates and weaker USD
US Treasury yields slightly lower ahead of key US CPI report tonight. Cryptocurrency meltdown adds to negative risk sentiment. US election outcome won't be known for weeks
10th Nov 22, 7:34am
US Treasury yields slightly lower ahead of key US CPI report tonight. Cryptocurrency meltdown adds to negative risk sentiment. US election outcome won't be known for weeks
Risk appetite recovers despite China denials. NZD and AUD deliver nice recoveries off their lows
8th Nov 22, 7:26am
Risk appetite recovers despite China denials. NZD and AUD deliver nice recoveries off their lows
Fed hikes 75bps but statement consistent with a dovish pivot. NZ labour market very tight, encouraging market to think of a 75bps RBNZ hike later this month
3rd Nov 22, 8:03am
2
Fed hikes 75bps but statement consistent with a dovish pivot. NZ labour market very tight, encouraging market to think of a 75bps RBNZ hike later this month
Rollercoaster ride in markets: US equities fall. US Treasury yields up significantly. Chinese rumours twist their markets
2nd Nov 22, 7:47am
Rollercoaster ride in markets: US equities fall. US Treasury yields up significantly. Chinese rumours twist their markets
Entry of NZGBs into the World Bond Index pushes NZ bond yields lower and drives NZD outperformance, against a backdrop of a strong USD
1st Nov 22, 7:48am
Entry of NZGBs into the World Bond Index pushes NZ bond yields lower and drives NZD outperformance, against a backdrop of a strong USD
Global rates continue to fall away as monetary policy tightening expectations fade. But higher Australian CPI sees economists scrambling to revise rate projections up but market already there
27th Oct 22, 8:01am
Global rates continue to fall away as monetary policy tightening expectations fade. But higher Australian CPI sees economists scrambling to revise rate projections up but market already there
Global rates show some chunky falls, a sign that global bond markets were oversold late last week, but Fed pivot narrative and weaker US data helping
26th Oct 22, 7:56am
1
Global rates show some chunky falls, a sign that global bond markets were oversold late last week, but Fed pivot narrative and weaker US data helping
USD generally weaker amidst repricing of Fed expectations, firmer risk appetite. EUR shrugs off weak PMI data with investors focusing on the sharp fall in gas futures. Hang Seng plunges over 6% as market digests Xi's leadership reshuffle
25th Oct 22, 7:54am
USD generally weaker amidst repricing of Fed expectations, firmer risk appetite. EUR shrugs off weak PMI data with investors focusing on the sharp fall in gas futures. Hang Seng plunges over 6% as market digests Xi's leadership reshuffle
Relentless rise in global rates continues against a backdrop of higher inflation concerns. US 2 and 10-year rates up 11bps; NZ rates much higher as market prices in a much more aggressive tightening cycle
20th Oct 22, 7:55am
2
Relentless rise in global rates continues against a backdrop of higher inflation concerns. US 2 and 10-year rates up 11bps; NZ rates much higher as market prices in a much more aggressive tightening cycle
Markets remain volatile but net result is a strong gain for US equities and US 10-year rate back above 4%. Market pricing of NZ OCR peak now above 5.3%
19th Oct 22, 7:53am
4
Markets remain volatile but net result is a strong gain for US equities and US 10-year rate back above 4%. Market pricing of NZ OCR peak now above 5.3%
US equities rebound 2.8% from oversold level, helped by positive Bank of America earnings. Risk appetite improves on UK government policy U-turn
18th Oct 22, 7:49am
5
US equities rebound 2.8% from oversold level, helped by positive Bank of America earnings. Risk appetite improves on UK government policy U-turn
A whippy overnight trading session for all markets driven by media speculation of a U-turn in the UK government's budget proposals and another hot US CPI print
14th Oct 22, 8:04am
2
A whippy overnight trading session for all markets driven by media speculation of a U-turn in the UK government's budget proposals and another hot US CPI print
Market focus remains on the UK. BoE's Bailey talks tough publicly, not so much privately, causing some market volatility. Media reports that the UK government will U-turn on its fiscal proposals
13th Oct 22, 7:55am
3
Market focus remains on the UK. BoE's Bailey talks tough publicly, not so much privately, causing some market volatility. Media reports that the UK government will U-turn on its fiscal proposals
Markets settle, helped by yet another BoE emergency intervention, this time supporting the inflation-indexed bond market. US 10-year rate down to 3.88% after breaking 4% yesterday; NZ rates up to fresh cycle highs
12th Oct 22, 7:46am
2
Markets settle, helped by yet another BoE emergency intervention, this time supporting the inflation-indexed bond market. US 10-year rate down to 3.88% after breaking 4% yesterday; NZ rates up to fresh cycle highs
Risk sentiment sours as new week begins, not helped by Russia bombing Ukrainian cities. UK disappoints markets in policy responses, pushing global yields higher
11th Oct 22, 7:53am
6
Risk sentiment sours as new week begins, not helped by Russia bombing Ukrainian cities. UK disappoints markets in policy responses, pushing global yields higher
US employment rate unexpectedly falls to 3.5%. Data supports higher US rates and USD; US equities tumble
10th Oct 22, 7:40am
3
US employment rate unexpectedly falls to 3.5%. Data supports higher US rates and USD; US equities tumble