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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

Risk appetite starts week on a positive note. Oil prices down 3%. Eyes on bank of Japan. US Treasury markets jittery
31st Oct 23, 7:46am
Risk appetite starts week on a positive note. Oil prices down 3%. Eyes on bank of Japan. US Treasury markets jittery
Softer European PMIs, stronger US PMIs support stronger USD. NZD/AUD grinds down further. US 10-year rate sustains the fall to below 5%
25th Oct 23, 7:49am
Softer European PMIs, stronger US PMIs support stronger USD. NZD/AUD grinds down further. US 10-year rate sustains the fall to below 5%
Wild price action in the bond market; US 10-year rate trades as high as 5.02% before sharply plunging to 4.83%. US equities weak until sharp fall in rates drives strong recovery off the low
24th Oct 23, 7:48am
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Wild price action in the bond market; US 10-year rate trades as high as 5.02% before sharply plunging to 4.83%. US equities weak until sharp fall in rates drives strong recovery off the low
Whippy markets during Powell speech as US 10-year trades a fresh high for the cycle. NZ long-term rates follow global moves and close at fresh highs
20th Oct 23, 8:09am
Whippy markets during Powell speech as US 10-year trades a fresh high for the cycle. NZ long-term rates follow global moves and close at fresh highs
Much stronger than expected US retail sales data and recovery in industrial production play to economic resilience narrative. US Treasury yields higher across the curve
18th Oct 23, 8:04am
Much stronger than expected US retail sales data and recovery in industrial production play to economic resilience narrative. US Treasury yields higher across the curve
New week kicks off with higher risk appetite. USD broadly weaker, US equities higher, US Treasury yields higher with 10-year rate up 10bps. Eyes on NZ CPI, expecting high inflation rate
17th Oct 23, 7:46am
New week kicks off with higher risk appetite. USD broadly weaker, US equities higher, US Treasury yields higher with 10-year rate up 10bps. Eyes on NZ CPI, expecting high inflation rate
Annual US core inflation falls to two-year low of 4.1%, but strong underbelly for September plays to higher for longer rates theme. US Treasury yields up strongly, with further kick higher for the long end after a poor 30-year auction
13th Oct 23, 7:57am
Annual US core inflation falls to two-year low of 4.1%, but strong underbelly for September plays to higher for longer rates theme. US Treasury yields up strongly, with further kick higher for the long end after a poor 30-year auction
Markets taking a sanguine view on Israel-Hamas conflict. Market more focused on the possible end of Fed tightening cycle after recent Fed speeches. Chance of additional Fed hike down to 30%; US Treasuries sustain yesterday's rally
11th Oct 23, 7:52am
Markets taking a sanguine view on Israel-Hamas conflict. Market more focused on the possible end of Fed tightening cycle after recent Fed speeches. Chance of additional Fed hike down to 30%; US Treasuries sustain yesterday's rally
Market focused on implications of renewed geopolitical risk. Muted reaction so far. Fed speakers say they are mindful of the recent tightening in financial conditions
10th Oct 23, 7:40am
Market focused on implications of renewed geopolitical risk. Muted reaction so far. Fed speakers say they are mindful of the recent tightening in financial conditions
Stronger than expected US JOLTS report sends US 10-year rate up to fresh highs and pushes USD DXY index up to fresh YTD high; yen jittery
4th Oct 23, 7:54am
Stronger than expected US JOLTS report sends US 10-year rate up to fresh highs and pushes USD DXY index up to fresh YTD high; yen jittery
Surprise weekend resolution to avoid US government shutdown and stronger than expected US ISM manufacturing survey add to upside pressure on rates. Fresh highs in yields and steeper curves; US 10-year rate cracks 4.7% before market finds support
3rd Oct 23, 7:48am
Surprise weekend resolution to avoid US government shutdown and stronger than expected US ISM manufacturing survey add to upside pressure on rates. Fresh highs in yields and steeper curves; US 10-year rate cracks 4.7% before market finds support
UK gilts sell-off leads another bout of higher rates around the world and fresh cycle highs; US 10-year rate up to 4.69% before reversing course. Progress in UAW and carmaker wage negotiations, and improving US/China talks support risk appetite
29th Sep 23, 7:53am
UK gilts sell-off leads another bout of higher rates around the world and fresh cycle highs; US 10-year rate up to 4.69% before reversing course. Progress in UAW and carmaker wage negotiations, and improving US/China talks support risk appetite
Global long-term rates up to fresh cycle highs; US 10-year reaches 4.63%, curve steepens further; US equities continue to fall. Oil prices up 3% to fresh highs for the year as US crude inventories running low
28th Sep 23, 8:00am
Global long-term rates up to fresh cycle highs; US 10-year reaches 4.63%, curve steepens further; US equities continue to fall. Oil prices up 3% to fresh highs for the year as US crude inventories running low
US Treasury yields trade near cycle highs with little net movement overnight; Global forces send NZ rates up to fresh highs yesterday. USD broadly stronger, but only small moves overall
27th Sep 23, 7:53am
US Treasury yields trade near cycle highs with little net movement overnight; Global forces send NZ rates up to fresh highs yesterday. USD broadly stronger, but only small moves overall
Global bond market sell-off returns - US and German 10-year rates up to fresh highs; steeper curves evident, with US2s10s at four-month high. China's Evergrande woes return. China property stocks lower, yuan softer; global metal prices weaker
26th Sep 23, 7:45am
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Global bond market sell-off returns - US and German 10-year rates up to fresh highs; steeper curves evident, with US2s10s at four-month high. China's Evergrande woes return. China property stocks lower, yuan softer; global metal prices weaker
US equities fall for four consecutive days, third consecutive week. UST yields reverse course. BoJ maintains ultra-easy policy with Governor Ueda dovish; yen weakens back to near 10-month low
25th Sep 23, 8:34am
US equities fall for four consecutive days, third consecutive week. UST yields reverse course. BoJ maintains ultra-easy policy with Governor Ueda dovish; yen weakens back to near 10-month low
Global curves steeper in the wake of the Fed's hawkish-hold; BoE and Swiss National Bank opt to keep rates on hold. Fresh highs for 10-year rates across the US, Germany, Japan NZ and others. US 10-year rate just shy of 4.5%
22nd Sep 23, 7:49am
Global curves steeper in the wake of the Fed's hawkish-hold; BoE and Swiss National Bank opt to keep rates on hold. Fresh highs for 10-year rates across the US, Germany, Japan NZ and others. US 10-year rate just shy of 4.5%
Global rates push higher. Nerves ahead of Fed meeting in 24 hours, much higher than expected Canadian CPI inflation data and higher oil prices not helping. Further recovery in global dairy prices at the overnight GDT auction
20th Sep 23, 7:49am
Global rates push higher. Nerves ahead of Fed meeting in 24 hours, much higher than expected Canadian CPI inflation data and higher oil prices not helping. Further recovery in global dairy prices at the overnight GDT auction
A quiet start to a busy week, with Fed, BoE and BoJ meetings later in the week. US Treasuries curve flattens; BIS warns of growing leverage in the market
19th Sep 23, 7:51am
A quiet start to a busy week, with Fed, BoE and BoJ meetings later in the week. US Treasuries curve flattens; BIS warns of growing leverage in the market
US economic data play to soft landing narrative. Oil prices continue to rise. US Treasury yields push higher. EUR and GBP weaker after ECB's dovish hike
15th Sep 23, 7:56am
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US economic data play to soft landing narrative. Oil prices continue to rise. US Treasury yields push higher. EUR and GBP weaker after ECB's dovish hike
Oil prices up to a 10-month high on signs of a tightening market. Global rates well contained ahead of key US CPI data tonight, with higher petrol prices likely to push inflation higher
13th Sep 23, 7:46am
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Oil prices up to a 10-month high on signs of a tightening market. Global rates well contained ahead of key US CPI data tonight, with higher petrol prices likely to push inflation higher
Bank of Japan comments drive stronger yen and 10-year JGB yield to highest level since 2014. Not coincidentally, PBoC sets a much stronger CNY fix. Positive spillover effects for NZD and AUD
12th Sep 23, 7:40am
Bank of Japan comments drive stronger yen and 10-year JGB yield to highest level since 2014. Not coincidentally, PBoC sets a much stronger CNY fix. Positive spillover effects for NZD and AUD
Global rates lower across the board, lower than expected US jobless claims data. The yuan weakens to a 16-year low; no spillover for NZD and AUD which hold up against robust USD. EUR and GBP fall to three-month lows; JPY supported by lower rates backdrop
8th Sep 23, 7:50am
Global rates lower across the board, lower than expected US jobless claims data. The yuan weakens to a 16-year low; no spillover for NZD and AUD which hold up against robust USD. EUR and GBP fall to three-month lows; JPY supported by lower rates backdrop
Weak China Caixin services PMI triggers fall in Asia-Pacific currencies and broad USD strength. Oil prices up to fresh high for the year on extended production/export cuts. GDT dairy auction shows a rare lift in pricing
6th Sep 23, 7:55am
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Weak China Caixin services PMI triggers fall in Asia-Pacific currencies and broad USD strength. Oil prices up to fresh high for the year on extended production/export cuts. GDT dairy auction shows a rare lift in pricing
Early signs of recovery in Beijing and Shanghai property markets after policy easing. US equity futures down a touch; US Treasury futures point to small lift in rates
5th Sep 23, 7:46am
Early signs of recovery in Beijing and Shanghai property markets after policy easing. US equity futures down a touch; US Treasury futures point to small lift in rates