Nick Smyth

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2 years 4 months

Articles by Nick Smyth

16th Jan 19, 8:15am
Currency eyes are on the UK parliamentary Brexit vote and the expected failure. But China policy moves and tax cuts are driving the improved risk sentiment, even overshadowing negative ECB comments
Currency eyes are on the UK parliamentary Brexit vote and the expected failure. But China policy moves and tax cuts are driving the improved risk sentiment, even overshadowing negative ECB comments
16th Jan 19, 8:15am
15th Jan 19, 8:06am
1
Equities modestly lower after weak Chinese trade data. Little movement in currencies or global rates. NZ 2y swap makes a record low
Equities modestly lower after weak Chinese trade data. Little movement in currencies or global rates. NZ 2y swap makes a record low
15th Jan 19, 8:06am
14th Jan 19, 8:09am
1
Positive vibes from expectations of a US-China trade deal, and a more dovish Fed have overshadowed the US shutdown impacts keeping markets positive. US inflation data helped as well. Eyes on Brexit vote
Positive vibes from expectations of a US-China trade deal, and a more dovish Fed have overshadowed the US shutdown impacts keeping markets positive. US inflation data helped as well. Eyes on Brexit vote
14th Jan 19, 8:09am
19th Dec 18, 4:48pm
10
BNZ interest rate strategist Nick Smyth has a crunch of the detail of the RBNZ's new bank capital proposals; says bank funding costs will increase but the RBNZ may offset future increases in lending rates with delays to OCR rises, or even cuts
BNZ interest rate strategist Nick Smyth has a crunch of the detail of the RBNZ's new bank capital proposals; says bank funding costs will increase but the RBNZ may offset future increases in lending rates with delays to OCR rises, or even cuts
19th Dec 18, 4:48pm
18th Dec 18, 8:21am
US equity benchmarks are down between 0.9% and 1.1%, following earlier falls in European equities; NZD is little changed; NZ rates drifted lower again yesterday, led by the 5-year point
US equity benchmarks are down between 0.9% and 1.1%, following earlier falls in European equities; NZD is little changed; NZ rates drifted lower again yesterday, led by the 5-year point
18th Dec 18, 8:21am
17th Dec 18, 7:52am
USD briefly made a fresh 18-month high, with strong US retail sales release; NZD was hit by the weaker Chinese data and the RBNZ’s announcement; there was only a modest decline in US rates, the 10 year Treasury yield down 2bps to 2.89%
USD briefly made a fresh 18-month high, with strong US retail sales release; NZD was hit by the weaker Chinese data and the RBNZ’s announcement; there was only a modest decline in US rates, the 10 year Treasury yield down 2bps to 2.89%
17th Dec 18, 7:52am
14th Dec 18, 8:14am
No fresh developments on the US-China trade front and no major economic data released; ECB said it would end its QE programme; NZD has been relatively stable; HYEFU was very similar to the May Budget
No fresh developments on the US-China trade front and no major economic data released; ECB said it would end its QE programme; NZD has been relatively stable; HYEFU was very similar to the May Budget
14th Dec 18, 8:14am
13th Dec 18, 8:12am
US equities have risen strongly overnight; GBP has also recovered sharply; NZD has fallen, despite a broadly weaker USD; NZ longer-dates government bond yields increased again yesterday
US equities have risen strongly overnight; GBP has also recovered sharply; NZD has fallen, despite a broadly weaker USD; NZ longer-dates government bond yields increased again yesterday
13th Dec 18, 8:12am
12th Dec 18, 7:53am
US and China have had high-level dialogue on trade; GBP remains weak amidst speculation; NZD is unchanged from this time yesterday, but higher on most of the crosses; NZ swap rates moved slightly lower again yesterday
US and China have had high-level dialogue on trade; GBP remains weak amidst speculation; NZD is unchanged from this time yesterday, but higher on most of the crosses; NZ swap rates moved slightly lower again yesterday
12th Dec 18, 7:53am
11th Dec 18, 7:54am
The British pound was hammered overnight; NZD has outperformed amidst the risk-off backdrop, and the NZDAUD has made a fresh 18-month high; US rates moves were calm in comparison to the volatility in the GBP and equity markets
The British pound was hammered overnight; NZD has outperformed amidst the risk-off backdrop, and the NZDAUD has made a fresh 18-month high; US rates moves were calm in comparison to the volatility in the GBP and equity markets
11th Dec 18, 7:54am
10th Dec 18, 8:07am
The risk-off backdrop pushed US bond yields lower; currencies saw relatively little movement, although the NZD drifted lower on the day; OPEC announced a larger than expected 1.2m barrels per day supply cut, which boosted oil prices
The risk-off backdrop pushed US bond yields lower; currencies saw relatively little movement, although the NZD drifted lower on the day; OPEC announced a larger than expected 1.2m barrels per day supply cut, which boosted oil prices
10th Dec 18, 8:07am
29th Nov 18, 8:33am
Wall Street up and greenback down as Fed boss says interest rates 'just below' neutral. Local markets ignore RBNZ FSR. Eyes on NZ business confidence
Wall Street up and greenback down as Fed boss says interest rates 'just below' neutral. Local markets ignore RBNZ FSR. Eyes on NZ business confidence
29th Nov 18, 8:33am
28th Nov 18, 8:13am
USD is broadly higher once again, although the NZD has bucked the trend and is up slightly on the day; US Treasury yields are also broadly unchanged overnight; GBP is the worst performer over the past 24 hours
USD is broadly higher once again, although the NZD has bucked the trend and is up slightly on the day; US Treasury yields are also broadly unchanged overnight; GBP is the worst performer over the past 24 hours
28th Nov 18, 8:13am
27th Nov 18, 7:53am
Equities and US bond yields were rising overnight, and crude oil recovered some of its large falls; currency moves have been modest; NZD is trading just under 0.68
Equities and US bond yields were rising overnight, and crude oil recovered some of its large falls; currency moves have been modest; NZD is trading just under 0.68
27th Nov 18, 7:53am
26th Nov 18, 8:09am
US equities ended the week on a soft note and US Treasury yields declined slightly; EUR weakened, and the USD strengthened; oil prices remained in free-fall due to concerns about oversupply; NZD fell 0.5% on Friday
US equities ended the week on a soft note and US Treasury yields declined slightly; EUR weakened, and the USD strengthened; oil prices remained in free-fall due to concerns about oversupply; NZD fell 0.5% on Friday
26th Nov 18, 8:09am
13th Nov 18, 8:16am
US equity markets have remained under downward pressure; USD has extended its recent gains; NZD has held up reasonably well, and is down only marginally against the USD overnight; NZ swap rates nudged up slightly yesterday
US equity markets have remained under downward pressure; USD has extended its recent gains; NZD has held up reasonably well, and is down only marginally against the USD overnight; NZ swap rates nudged up slightly yesterday
13th Nov 18, 8:16am
12th Nov 18, 7:56am
Heavy-handed Chinese moves on setting commercial interest rates overshadows markets. Oil drops into bear territory. Eyes on both Brexit developments, and upcoming Powell comments
Heavy-handed Chinese moves on setting commercial interest rates overshadows markets. Oil drops into bear territory. Eyes on both Brexit developments, and upcoming Powell comments
12th Nov 18, 7:56am
5th Nov 18, 8:09am
A stronger than expected US non-farm payrolls report led to a sharp rise in US Treasury yields and an appreciation in the USD against G10 currencies; NZD drifted lower to 0.6650; NZ swap rates rose by between 1 to 2.5bps
A stronger than expected US non-farm payrolls report led to a sharp rise in US Treasury yields and an appreciation in the USD against G10 currencies; NZD drifted lower to 0.6650; NZ swap rates rose by between 1 to 2.5bps
5th Nov 18, 8:09am
2nd Nov 18, 8:19am
USD has moved sharply lower across the board over the past 24 hours; NZD is the best performing currency in the G10, up more than 2%; 10 year US Treasury yield is at 3.14%
USD has moved sharply lower across the board over the past 24 hours; NZD is the best performing currency in the G10, up more than 2%; 10 year US Treasury yield is at 3.14%
2nd Nov 18, 8:19am
1st Nov 18, 7:46am
US and European equity markets have risen strongly and US Treasury yields have moved higher; USD has continued to push higher, helped by better than expected US data; NZD and AUD are the two underperformers
US and European equity markets have risen strongly and US Treasury yields have moved higher; USD has continued to push higher, helped by better than expected US data; NZD and AUD are the two underperformers
1st Nov 18, 7:46am

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