Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.
MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
No changes to report today.
TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
Heartland Bank has raised its term deposit and PIE rates late yesterday.
COST PRESSURE EXTREME
The preliminary ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November show that business confidence fell and nearly all forward indicators eased. They also showed costs that are "going through the roof".
A MILLION BUCKS NOW
The average value of New Zealand homes has passed $1 million for the first time, Quotable Value says. They rose +$50,000 in the three months to October, they say.
$22.75 PER HOUR
Cleaners, security guards and catering staff who contract to government departments are to be paid the living wage, it has been decided.
FINALLY SOMETHING SENSIBLE ON DENTAL HEALTH
The Director-General of Health will soon be able to decide whether a community drinking water supply should be fluoridated. (Just another thing the anti-vaxxers will grab probably, all the while complaining about the cost of dental treatment. But they never seem to complain about iodine in bread.)
PERMANENT SHORTFALL
The volume of ready-mixed concrete poured in the September quarter was sharply affected by the extended Auckland lockdown. Nationally, -10% less was poured in Q3-2021 than in Q3-2020, and -6.5% less than Q3-2019. In the circumstances, this is pretty good. The Auckland volumes fell by more than a quarter despite the lockdown affecting about half the June-September period. (It is a fall similar to the Q2-2020 fall.) But given the high levels of activity and presumably capacity being used pre-lockdown, there is unlikely to be a make-up surge. Projects will just be delayed. There was lesser change in the Wellington region (-8.8% y/y), and a reasonable gain in Christchurch (+8.6%).
FULLY SUBSCRIBED & MORE
The Auckland Airport 5 year bond issue was fully subscribed including the oversubscriptions allowed, and the margin set was 75 bps. That means these bonds will pay 3.29% pa.
PASSED ITS DAY?
It has been 54 days since any bank accessed the Funding for Lending program at the RBNZ. This is the longest quiet period this program has had. $6 bln has been lent to banks out of the $28 bln allocated.
ENOUGH TO SHOW UP IN THE NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
Peter Jackson has agreed to sell Weta Digital's "tools, pipeline, technology, and engineering talent" by the end of the year to Unity Technologies, a 3D game-development company that will take Weta's technology into their 3D game environments. The deal is worth US$1.625 bln (NZ$2.3 bln). For perspective, that is equivalent to 0.7% of NZ GDP. The Americans get the company, but Jackson gets the money. Will that stay in New Zealand? If so, what will he do with it?
COST PRESSURE IN CHINA'S FACTORIES RISES TOO
China's CPI inflation rate rose to 1.5% in October from 0.7% in September, but this was a rise that was expected. And small as it is, consumer inflation is creeping back in China. But their producer prices rose at a faster rate, up +13.5% in a year and well above the +10.7% rise in September. It is this acceleration that may have global consequences.
VOTING WITH THEIR FEET
In Hong Kong, they are moving to close some schools. That is because emigration is continuing apace there as Beijing bites the City hard.
LOCAL PANDEMIC UPDATE
In Australia Delta cases in Victoria have leveled out as 1003 cases were reported there today. There are now 15,031 active cases in the state and there were another 14 deaths yesterday. In NSW there were another 217 new community cases reported today with 2,762 active locally acquired cases, and they had another 3 deaths yesterday. Queensland is reporting no new cases. The ACT has 19 new cases. Overall in Australia, just over 81% of eligible Aussies are fully vaccinated, plus 8% have now had one shot so far. In contrast, there were two new cases in New Zealand at the border, and 147 new community cases. Now 89.5% of Kiwis nationally aged 12+ have had at least one vaccination, and the Australian rate is now also at 89.5% of all aged 16+.
GOLD FIRM
In early Asian trading, gold is at US$1829/oz and up +US$5 from this time yesterday. But it is lower than the closing New York price, although above the earlier London fix.
EQUITIES LOWER
The S&P500 ended its Tuesday session down -0.4% in another unimpressive session. The NZX50 is similarly lower near the end of its session here today and down a larger -0.6%. The ASX200 is up a small +0.1% in their early afternoon trade. In Tokyo is down another minor -0.1% in late morning trade. Hong Kong is down -0.2% in their early trade, while Shanghai is down -0.7%.
SWAP & BONDS RATES SLIP
We don't have today's closing swap rates yet. They are probably softish. The 90 day bank bill rate is up +1 bp at 0.83%.The Australian Govt ten year benchmark rate is now at 1.76% and down -3 bps. The China Govt 10yr is now at 2.91% and down -2 bps. The New Zealand Govt 10 year rate is now at 2.54%, down -1 bp but still above the earlier RBNZ fix for that 10yr rate at 2.51% (-2 bp). The US Govt ten year is down -2 bps from this time yesterday to just on 1.47%.
NZ DOLLAR SOFT
The Kiwi dollar is now at 71.3 and a little softer than this time yesterday. Against the Aussie we are still at 96.6 AUc. Against the euro we are soft at 61.5 euro cents. The TWI-5 is now at 75.
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BITCOIN HOLDS
The bitcoin price is now at US$67,074 and a minor -0.7% slip since this time yesterday. In between it hit a new record high of US$68, 526. Volatility in the past 24 hours has been modest at just over +/- 1.6%.
This soil moisture chart is animated here.
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