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David Croy

Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
21st Apr 22, 2:22pm
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Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
23rd Mar 22, 8:30am
112
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
22nd Mar 22, 10:37am
178
Inflation has so much strength and persistence that the RBNZ will likely need to keep raising interest rates despite softening house prices, ANZ economists say
ANZ economists revise their inflation and interest rate forecasts up, as they now see the OCR hitting 2% by May
8th Mar 22, 11:39am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
130
ANZ economists revise their inflation and interest rate forecasts up, as they now see the OCR hitting 2% by May
Treasury will likely need to borrow more to help the Reserve Bank reduce the size of its bond holdings. This could put upward pressure on interest rates
23rd Feb 22, 8:16pm
by Jenée Tibshraeny
28
Treasury will likely need to borrow more to help the Reserve Bank reduce the size of its bond holdings. This could put upward pressure on interest rates
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
128
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
RBNZ Chief Economist says Omicron hasn't changed the Bank's outlook; Points out that if the RBNZ decides to sell its NZ Government Bonds, the Government will need to be the buyer
29th Nov 21, 8:03pm
by Jenée Tibshraeny
17
RBNZ Chief Economist says Omicron hasn't changed the Bank's outlook; Points out that if the RBNZ decides to sell its NZ Government Bonds, the Government will need to be the buyer
Views mixed on whether investor demand for sustainable debt will be high enough for the Government to charge a 'greemium' when it issues green bonds next year
17th Nov 21, 7:46am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
10
Views mixed on whether investor demand for sustainable debt will be high enough for the Government to charge a 'greemium' when it issues green bonds next year
A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say
20th Oct 21, 8:42am
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A reassessment of the likely average cost of borrowing over the next few years poses a challenge to asset valuations that underpin household wealth, ANZ economists say
RBNZ Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesby indicates the RBNZ will hike interest rates more slowly than it cut them, pouring cold water on the prospect of large 50-point hikes
21st Sep 21, 9:44am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
69
RBNZ Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesby indicates the RBNZ will hike interest rates more slowly than it cut them, pouring cold water on the prospect of large 50-point hikes
ASB & Westpac economists no longer see the RBNZ hiking interest rates on Wednesday; Finance Minister comments it's the RBNZ's job to look to the 'medium-term'
17th Aug 21, 8:53pm
by Jenée Tibshraeny
47
ASB & Westpac economists no longer see the RBNZ hiking interest rates on Wednesday; Finance Minister comments it's the RBNZ's job to look to the 'medium-term'
ANZ economists point to a 'sharp disconnect' between what NZ analysts and offshore pundits believe the Reserve Bank will do on interest rates this week
16th Aug 21, 2:49pm
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ANZ economists point to a 'sharp disconnect' between what NZ analysts and offshore pundits believe the Reserve Bank will do on interest rates this week
ANZ economists estimate it would take 37 years and low house price growth for the house price to income multiple to return to 2019 levels; They expect small rate hikes to go a long way towards cooling the economy
1st Aug 21, 6:01am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
124
ANZ economists estimate it would take 37 years and low house price growth for the house price to income multiple to return to 2019 levels; They expect small rate hikes to go a long way towards cooling the economy
ANZ strategist argues QE has done its job, so the Reserve Bank should wind back its bond-buying ahead of hiking the OCR
4th Jul 21, 6:59am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
47
ANZ strategist argues QE has done its job, so the Reserve Bank should wind back its bond-buying ahead of hiking the OCR
Economists at the country's biggest mortgage lender suggest borrowers consider fixing 'at least a portion' of their mortgages for longer terms
9th Jun 21, 3:18pm
12
Economists at the country's biggest mortgage lender suggest borrowers consider fixing 'at least a portion' of their mortgages for longer terms
Those from within the banking world don't see problems with the RBNZ having to keep buying bonds on the back of its LSAP programme; But an academic worries NZ's headed for a train wreck
6th Jun 21, 6:01am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
31
Those from within the banking world don't see problems with the RBNZ having to keep buying bonds on the back of its LSAP programme; But an academic worries NZ's headed for a train wreck
RBNZ makes hawkish tilt, warning mortgage holders to be wary of debt serviceability while keeping monetary conditions loose
26th May 21, 8:10pm
by Jenée Tibshraeny
78
RBNZ makes hawkish tilt, warning mortgage holders to be wary of debt serviceability while keeping monetary conditions loose
Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
25th May 21, 11:10am
17
Super-strong retail sales figures for the March quarter have got economists rethinking their thoughts that the country is experiencing a 'double dip' recession
Economists at the country's largest bank now see an Official Cash Rate of 1.25% by the end of 2023 - compared with just 0.25% now
17th May 21, 4:03pm
53
Economists at the country's largest bank now see an Official Cash Rate of 1.25% by the end of 2023 - compared with just 0.25% now
Treasury expected to issue less debt than planned, as NZ weathers the COVID-19 storm better than expected and the Government doesn't spend all it borrows
4th May 21, 6:00am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
74
Treasury expected to issue less debt than planned, as NZ weathers the COVID-19 storm better than expected and the Government doesn't spend all it borrows
ANZ economists say after the recent housing policy changes by the Government there's a greater chance that interest rate increases could cause investors to sell up; RBNZ may wait too long to raise rates
21st Apr 21, 2:58pm
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ANZ economists say after the recent housing policy changes by the Government there's a greater chance that interest rate increases could cause investors to sell up; RBNZ may wait too long to raise rates
RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
8th Mar 21, 4:11pm
by Jenée Tibshraeny
55
RBNZ plans to hike its bond-buying by about 10% this week, as it comes up against tightening financial conditions and higher bond yields
No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
20th Feb 21, 12:27pm
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No changes to the country's monetary policy settings are expected when the Reserve Bank has its first review of the year next week - but everybody will be looking for clues as to what comes next
Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
15th Feb 21, 8:00am
by Jenée Tibshraeny
35
Never mind OCR hikes just yet - ANZ strategist looks for RBNZ guidance on how it'll slow the pace at which it creates money to buy government debt
ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate
20th Jan 21, 1:26pm
118
ANZ economists expect the housing market will cool 'in time', but exactly when is highly uncertain, given that momentum in the market can be slow to moderate