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Inflation

1st Feb 21, 8:34am
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD dropping below 70 USc over the next six months after the US delivers much stronger data and vaccine beneits start to flow. He also sees the NZD falling as the AUD takes an iron ore price hit
1st Feb 21, 8:34am
26th Jan 21, 4:29pm
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
26th Jan 21, 4:29pm
25th Jan 21, 8:12am
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ economic forecasting gurus need to spend more time talking to businesses at the coal-front of the economy and less time on the theory of calibrating their econometric models to what is happening in the rest of the world
25th Jan 21, 8:12am
[Updated]
22nd Jan 21, 11:09am
CPI inflation higher than expected by RBNZ and market in December quarter at 0.5% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year; Rate cuts unlikely
[Updated]
CPI inflation higher than expected by RBNZ and market in December quarter at 0.5% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year; Rate cuts unlikely
22nd Jan 21, 11:09am
20th Jan 21, 11:54am
The whole purpose of technological advancements is to enable goods and services to be produced and distributed more efficiently and at a lower cost. Yet these big deflationary forces are not captured in official policy models notes Alison Brook
The whole purpose of technological advancements is to enable goods and services to be produced and distributed more efficiently and at a lower cost. Yet these big deflationary forces are not captured in official policy models notes Alison Brook
20th Jan 21, 11:54am
19th Jan 21, 3:48pm
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
19th Jan 21, 3:48pm
18th Jan 21, 2:40pm
Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
Economists see the longer term outlook for inflation as more stable, therefore reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep lowering interest rates
18th Jan 21, 2:40pm
18th Jan 21, 10:27am
The COVID-19 path is turning a corner but there are still huge challenges ahead. 2021 will be another year where lifestyles and the economy will be dominated by COVID-19
The COVID-19 path is turning a corner but there are still huge challenges ahead. 2021 will be another year where lifestyles and the economy will be dominated by COVID-19
18th Jan 21, 10:27am
18th Jan 21, 8:20am
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
Roger J Kerr says market conditions and incentives have shifted in favour of the American currency
18th Jan 21, 8:20am
13th Jan 21, 4:57pm
ANZ economists forecast an OCR cut to 0.10% in May, but no longer see the RBNZ making the leap into negative territory
ANZ economists forecast an OCR cut to 0.10% in May, but no longer see the RBNZ making the leap into negative territory
13th Jan 21, 4:57pm
11th Jan 21, 8:21am
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
Roger J Kerr says positives fuelling equity markets ruled out any downward NZD correction so far, other financial market signals are mixed, and the local economic outlook is dimming
11th Jan 21, 8:21am
21st Dec 20, 12:12pm
by Guest
From climate change and geopolitics to new growth models, David Skilling says 2021 will see widespread public and private sector innovation - as well as more economic and political volatility
From climate change and geopolitics to new growth models, David Skilling says 2021 will see widespread public and private sector innovation - as well as more economic and political volatility
21st Dec 20, 12:12pm
21st Dec 20, 8:46am
Roger J Kerr sees the USD weakening in H1 2021, then a risk-off mood taking over and a USD recovery in H2
Roger J Kerr sees the USD weakening in H1 2021, then a risk-off mood taking over and a USD recovery in H2
21st Dec 20, 8:46am
18th Dec 20, 1:35pm
ANZ reports major business confidence bounce-back, warning if inflation pressures continue to rise rapidly, mortgages rates might not remain rock-bottom for as long as assumed
ANZ reports major business confidence bounce-back, warning if inflation pressures continue to rise rapidly, mortgages rates might not remain rock-bottom for as long as assumed
18th Dec 20, 1:35pm
18th Dec 20, 9:19am
by Guest
Harbour Asset Management's Chris Di Leva and Hamish Pepper run through the top 10 risks and opportunities they see looming in 2021
Harbour Asset Management's Chris Di Leva and Hamish Pepper run through the top 10 risks and opportunities they see looming in 2021
18th Dec 20, 9:19am
14th Dec 20, 8:08am
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr looks at some of the candidates that might cause a downward correction for the NZ dollar
14th Dec 20, 8:08am
10th Dec 20, 11:02am
by Guest
Raghuram Rajan explains why today's abnormal financial conditions do not justify unlimited borrowing and spending
Raghuram Rajan explains why today's abnormal financial conditions do not justify unlimited borrowing and spending
10th Dec 20, 11:02am
7th Dec 20, 8:30am
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
Long time Kiwi dollar bull Roger J Kerr concludes that our currency has now overcooked itself at current levels
7th Dec 20, 8:30am
3rd Dec 20, 6:34am
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr says the impact of monetary policy decisions on wealth & income equality is an important topic for considering economic wellbeing, but it's not clear if lower interest rates increase or decrease income & wealth inequality
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr says the impact of monetary policy decisions on wealth & income equality is an important topic for considering economic wellbeing, but it's not clear if lower interest rates increase or decrease income & wealth inequality
3rd Dec 20, 6:34am
30th Nov 20, 8:54am
Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
Roger J Kerr reflects on the positives and negatives for New Zealand during a most tumultuous year
30th Nov 20, 8:54am
27th Nov 20, 10:04am
by Guest
Jude Murdoch and Steven Hail argue modern monetary theory offers desperately needed clear thinking and fresh ideas for our society and our democracy
Jude Murdoch and Steven Hail argue modern monetary theory offers desperately needed clear thinking and fresh ideas for our society and our democracy
27th Nov 20, 10:04am
[Updated]
26th Nov 20, 8:00am
Adrian Orr indicates he might put the onus back on Grant Robertson to do more on housing affordability, including by looking at tax
[Updated]
Adrian Orr indicates he might put the onus back on Grant Robertson to do more on housing affordability, including by looking at tax
26th Nov 20, 8:00am
24th Nov 20, 5:38pm
Adrian Orr to consider Grant Robertson's call for the RBNZ to take account of house prices, but says: 'Our monetary policy actions have been, and will continue to be, effective in supporting the economy'
Adrian Orr to consider Grant Robertson's call for the RBNZ to take account of house prices, but says: 'Our monetary policy actions have been, and will continue to be, effective in supporting the economy'
24th Nov 20, 5:38pm
[Updated]
24th Nov 20, 2:01pm
Robertson writes to Orr - proposes requiring Monetary Policy Committee to avoid unnecessary instability in house prices; NZD rises
[Updated]
Robertson writes to Orr - proposes requiring Monetary Policy Committee to avoid unnecessary instability in house prices; NZD rises
24th Nov 20, 2:01pm
23rd Nov 20, 8:22am
Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
Roger J Kerr says the probability of Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr making a special statement to jawbone the NZD down overtly and deliberately over the next few weeks has gone up several notches
23rd Nov 20, 8:22am

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