podcast
Equity markets turn bullish; Economic fundamentals turn bearish; US discretionary spending wanes; China prepares new debt stimulus; Japan & Germany face recession; UST 10yr yield at 1.56%; oil up and gold down; NZ$1 = 64.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
20th Aug 19, 7:33am
9
Equity markets turn bullish; Economic fundamentals turn bearish; US discretionary spending wanes; China prepares new debt stimulus; Japan & Germany face recession; UST 10yr yield at 1.56%; oil up and gold down; NZ$1 = 64.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
Big China tax shifts, key China interest rate reform; Hong Kong challenge grows; Singapore suffering; Aussies audit the auditors; US sentiment dips sharply; UST 10yr yield at 1.56%; oil firm and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
19th Aug 19, 7:14am
20
Big China tax shifts, key China interest rate reform; Hong Kong challenge grows; Singapore suffering; Aussies audit the auditors; US sentiment dips sharply; UST 10yr yield at 1.56%; oil firm and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
US retail sales pick up; but US factory production weakens; Canada house sales rise again, jobs too; equity markets on hold; central bank cuts mount; China house prices up; UST 10yr yield at 1.53%; oil down and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.8
16th Aug 19, 7:30am
31
US retail sales pick up; but US factory production weakens; Canada house sales rise again, jobs too; equity markets on hold; central bank cuts mount; China house prices up; UST 10yr yield at 1.53%; oil down and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.8
Markets signal recession warnings; bond yields invert; US import prices rise; China data very weak; German Q2 GDP negative; speculation of Brexit call without Parliament; UST 10yr yield at 1.58%; oil down and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
15th Aug 19, 7:15am
111
Markets signal recession warnings; bond yields invert; US import prices rise; China data very weak; German Q2 GDP negative; speculation of Brexit call without Parliament; UST 10yr yield at 1.58%; oil down and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
US delays latest tariff hike for domestic reasons; US CPI up 1.8%; consumer debt manageable; US carmakers glum; China FDI up; German sentiment dives; UST 10yr yield at 1.67%; oil up and gold lower; NZ$1 = 64.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.8
14th Aug 19, 7:21am
30
US delays latest tariff hike for domestic reasons; US CPI up 1.8%; consumer debt manageable; US carmakers glum; China FDI up; German sentiment dives; UST 10yr yield at 1.67%; oil up and gold lower; NZ$1 = 64.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.8
US budget deficit up to -4.7% of GDP; bond yields and equity markets fall; Argentina rocked; China credit growth slows sharply; UST 10yr yield at 1.66%; oil unchanged and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
13th Aug 19, 7:16am
18
US budget deficit up to -4.7% of GDP; bond yields and equity markets fall; Argentina rocked; China credit growth slows sharply; UST 10yr yield at 1.66%; oil unchanged and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
The IMF supports a weaker yuan; Chinese data does too; Indonesia tariffs EU dairy products; US & Canada data weakens; Japan gets better growth; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil up and gold down; NZ$1 = 64.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.9
12th Aug 19, 7:21am
9
The IMF supports a weaker yuan; Chinese data does too; Indonesia tariffs EU dairy products; US & Canada data weakens; Japan gets better growth; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil up and gold down; NZ$1 = 64.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.9
US wholesale trade slips; China's trade rises along with surplus with the US; Wall Street cheers; airtravel growth rises; iron ore price enters bear market; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.9 USc; TWI-5 = 70
9th Aug 19, 7:22am
14
US wholesale trade slips; China's trade rises along with surplus with the US; Wall Street cheers; airtravel growth rises; iron ore price enters bear market; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil and gold up; NZ$1 = 64.9 USc; TWI-5 = 70
More central banks cut; global airfreight shrinks again, Wall Street weaker; US consumer credit lower; iron ore price drops; UST 10yr yield at 1.69%; oil slumps, gold up; NZ$1 = 64.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
8th Aug 19, 7:14am
39
More central banks cut; global airfreight shrinks again, Wall Street weaker; US consumer credit lower; iron ore price drops; UST 10yr yield at 1.69%; oil slumps, gold up; NZ$1 = 64.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.7
Dairy prices retreat; Wall Street equities up but bond investors don't follow; US JOLTS weaker; China warns India; huge Aussie trade surplus; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil down, gold up; NZ$1 = 65.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.5
7th Aug 19, 7:14am
17
Dairy prices retreat; Wall Street equities up but bond investors don't follow; US JOLTS weaker; China warns India; huge Aussie trade surplus; UST 10yr yield at 1.73%; oil down, gold up; NZ$1 = 65.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.5
The S&P500 down -3.4% in late trade; benchmark yields tumble; commodity prices drop; China lets the yuan slide; services data soft; UST 10yr yield at 1.74%; oil sinks, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.4 USc; TWI-5 = 70.7
6th Aug 19, 7:05am
48
The S&P500 down -3.4% in late trade; benchmark yields tumble; commodity prices drop; China lets the yuan slide; services data soft; UST 10yr yield at 1.74%; oil sinks, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.4 USc; TWI-5 = 70.7
Eyes on central banks; US jobs growth modest; US tariff action aggressive; markets recoil; China retaliates; Japan & Korea enmity grows; UST 10yr yield at 1.84%; oil low, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.7
5th Aug 19, 7:11am
12
Eyes on central banks; US jobs growth modest; US tariff action aggressive; markets recoil; China retaliates; Japan & Korea enmity grows; UST 10yr yield at 1.84%; oil low, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.7
Trump hits US importers of Chinese goods with new tariffs; Wall Street recoils in horror; US economy data weakens; China PMIs stable; BofE lowers growth forecasts; UST 10yr yield at 1.89%; oil slumps, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.1
2nd Aug 19, 7:10am
26
Trump hits US importers of Chinese goods with new tariffs; Wall Street recoils in horror; US economy data weakens; China PMIs stable; BofE lowers growth forecasts; UST 10yr yield at 1.89%; oil slumps, gold leaps; NZ$1 = 65.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.1
Fed cuts as expected, ends bond sales early; US jobs expand modestly; Chicago PMI slumps; trade talks fizzle; China stresses grow, RCEP struggling, TPP stars; UST 10yr yield at 2.01%; oil unchanged, gold down; NZ$1 = 65.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.2
1st Aug 19, 7:26am
44
Fed cuts as expected, ends bond sales early; US jobs expand modestly; Chicago PMI slumps; trade talks fizzle; China stresses grow, RCEP struggling, TPP stars; UST 10yr yield at 2.01%; oil unchanged, gold down; NZ$1 = 65.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.2
All eyes on the Fed; US consumer spending modest; US home sales falter; Trump lashes out at China; Japan factories slow; Aussie building consents slump; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.1 USc; TWI-5 = 71.4
31st Jul 19, 7:16am
36
All eyes on the Fed; US consumer spending modest; US home sales falter; Trump lashes out at China; Japan factories slow; Aussie building consents slump; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.1 USc; TWI-5 = 71.4
Wholesale interest rates slide further; official rate cuts imminent; US data soft; US Fed also tackles climate change risk; UK faces EU lockout; Aussie new house sales rise; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.3 USc; TWI-5 = 71.6
30th Jul 19, 7:16am
18
Wholesale interest rates slide further; official rate cuts imminent; US data soft; US Fed also tackles climate change risk; UK faces EU lockout; Aussie new house sales rise; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.3 USc; TWI-5 = 71.6
US growth slows quickly, especially business investment; Chinese profits fall, investment under pressure; big rise in household debt; Aussie houses selling faster; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil unchanged & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.4 USc; TWI-5 = 71.6
29th Jul 19, 7:16am
37
US growth slows quickly, especially business investment; Chinese profits fall, investment under pressure; big rise in household debt; Aussie houses selling faster; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil unchanged & gold up; NZ$1 = 66.4 USc; TWI-5 = 71.6
US durable goods orders show zero yearly growth; US GDPNow estimate cut; German factories suffering; ECB prepares more QE; RBA defends inflation targeting; UST 10yr yield at 2.08%; oil up & gold down; NZ$1 = 66.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.8
26th Jul 19, 7:16am
21
US durable goods orders show zero yearly growth; US GDPNow estimate cut; German factories suffering; ECB prepares more QE; RBA defends inflation targeting; UST 10yr yield at 2.08%; oil up & gold down; NZ$1 = 66.6 USc; TWI-5 = 71.8
US factory expansion ends; new house sales rise; China property developers squeezed, Japan and Europe factories suffer; equities show gains; APRA pay rules flawed; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.1 USc; TWI-5 = 72.2
25th Jul 19, 7:18am
24
US factory expansion ends; new house sales rise; China property developers squeezed, Japan and Europe factories suffer; equities show gains; APRA pay rules flawed; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.1 USc; TWI-5 = 72.2
US house sales fall; Richmond Fed data weak; debt ceiling deal done; China bond woes deepen; China rushes to import beef; IMF downgrades global growth again; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil up & gold down; NZ$1 = 67.1 USc; TWI-5 = 72.1
24th Jul 19, 7:23am
12
US house sales fall; Richmond Fed data weak; debt ceiling deal done; China bond woes deepen; China rushes to import beef; IMF downgrades global growth again; UST 10yr yield at 2.07%; oil up & gold down; NZ$1 = 67.1 USc; TWI-5 = 72.1
US can't break trend growth; US debt ceiling talks progress well; Canada wholesale trade dips; China has eyes on home loans; Hayne piles pressure on APRA; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.7 USc; TWI-5 = 72.6
23rd Jul 19, 7:25am
2
US can't break trend growth; US debt ceiling talks progress well; Canada wholesale trade dips; China has eyes on home loans; Hayne piles pressure on APRA; UST 10yr yield at 2.05%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.7 USc; TWI-5 = 72.6
China data vulnerable; NY Fed clarifies; US sentiment flattens at high level; US debt ceiling stress again; Aussie housing market picks up; UST 10yr yield at 2.06%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.6 USc; TWI-5 = 72.5
22nd Jul 19, 7:16am
12
China data vulnerable; NY Fed clarifies; US sentiment flattens at high level; US debt ceiling stress again; Aussie housing market picks up; UST 10yr yield at 2.06%; oil & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.6 USc; TWI-5 = 72.5
US regional factory data better; Canada jobs up; Indonesia cuts rate; China stresses mount; Aussie jobs data good; UST 10yr yield at 2.03%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.5 USc; TWI-5 = 72.4
19th Jul 19, 7:16am
6
US regional factory data better; Canada jobs up; Indonesia cuts rate; China stresses mount; Aussie jobs data good; UST 10yr yield at 2.03%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67.5 USc; TWI-5 = 72.4
US housing start weaken; Fed's Beige Book downgrades; Canada inflation dips; China ponders next moves; IMF sees better balance; Fitch trims AU bank outlooks; UST 10yr yield at 2.12%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67 USc; TWI-5 = 72.3
18th Jul 19, 7:16am
36
US housing start weaken; Fed's Beige Book downgrades; Canada inflation dips; China ponders next moves; IMF sees better balance; Fitch trims AU bank outlooks; UST 10yr yield at 2.12%; oil down & gold up; NZ$1 = 67 USc; TWI-5 = 72.3
Dairy prices rise; US retail gains timid; US factory output gains stall; US loses WTO case; China bond trader collapse; ZEW sentiment falls; APRA fails conduct & culture review; UST 10yr yield at 2.12%; oil and gold down; NZ$1 = 67 USc; TWI-5 = 72
17th Jul 19, 7:20am
22
Dairy prices rise; US retail gains timid; US factory output gains stall; US loses WTO case; China bond trader collapse; ZEW sentiment falls; APRA fails conduct & culture review; UST 10yr yield at 2.12%; oil and gold down; NZ$1 = 67 USc; TWI-5 = 72