Currencies

Risk sentiment improves considerably, with markets eyeing potential release of strategic oil reserves. US equities weaker, US treasury yields steadily fall overnight

Risk sentiment improves considerably, with markets eyeing potential release of strategic oil reserves. US equities weaker, US treasury yields steadily fall overnight

Roger J Kerr invites us to pick how the current conflict may play out

Roger J Kerr invites us to pick how the current conflict may play out

Oil prices surge higher - Brent crude approaches US$93 per barrel. US labour market weaker than expected. Risk sensitive assets under pressure. Whipsaw price action for US treasuries

Oil prices surge higher - Brent crude approaches US$93 per barrel. US labour market weaker than expected. Risk sensitive assets under pressure. Whipsaw price action for US treasuries

There is no sign of an end to the conflict in the Middle East; if anything, the conflict has extended across the region. Risk sentiment has soured. US Treasury yields push higher for a fourth consecutive day

There is no sign of an end to the conflict in the Middle East; if anything, the conflict has extended across the region. Risk sentiment has soured. US Treasury yields push higher for a fourth consecutive day

Risk sentiment stabilises with US and European equities rebounding. Oil prices pulled back from recent highs as the US signalled possible measures to ease Middle East supply risks. US services ISM surprised to the upside

Risk sentiment stabilises with US and European equities rebounding. Oil prices pulled back from recent highs as the US signalled possible measures to ease Middle East supply risks. US services ISM surprised to the upside

After initial caution, investors are take pessimistic view of the Mid-East conflict seeing less chance of a quick resolution. Global equities tumble; US Treasury yields a little higher while European rates are much higher on inflation concerns

After initial caution, investors are take pessimistic view of the Mid-East conflict seeing less chance of a quick resolution. Global equities tumble; US Treasury yields a little higher while European rates are much higher on inflation concerns

Market focus on Middle East. Brent crude up 6%. Gas prices surge. Equity markets mostly weaker, but US equities recover from initial hit. Initial safe haven bid for bonds quickly fades as inflation concerns dominate. USD broadly stronger

Market focus on Middle East. Brent crude up 6%. Gas prices surge. Equity markets mostly weaker, but US equities recover from initial hit. Initial safe haven bid for bonds quickly fades as inflation concerns dominate. USD broadly stronger

Roger J Kerr says both the passive and active forces determining the NZ dollar value appear much more positive than negative as we move further into 2026

Roger J Kerr says both the passive and active forces determining the NZ dollar value appear much more positive than negative as we move further into 2026

US-Israeli strikes on Iran have increased geopolitical uncertainty, pointing to higher oil prices and renewed demand for safe‑haven assets. Banks under pressure on private credit concerns. 10Y US treasuries trade towards the low point from October

US-Israeli strikes on Iran have increased geopolitical uncertainty, pointing to higher oil prices and renewed demand for safe‑haven assets. Banks under pressure on private credit concerns. 10Y US treasuries trade towards the low point from October

Negative risk vibe overnight. Weaker tech stocks drag down US equities despite strong Nvidia result. US Treasuries supported. Oil prices higher on war risk

Negative risk vibe overnight. Weaker tech stocks drag down US equities despite strong Nvidia result. US Treasuries supported. Oil prices higher on war risk

Buoyant risk sentiment supports global equities ahead of key Nvidia results. Yen weakens and JGB curve steepens after the government nominated two dovish-leaning policy board members

Buoyant risk sentiment supports global equities ahead of key Nvidia results. Yen weakens and JGB curve steepens after the government nominated two dovish-leaning policy board members

US 10% global tariff comes into effect; no sign yet of the threatened higher 15% rate. US equities have recovered some of yesterday’s losses. Global rates have shown only minor movements

US 10% global tariff comes into effect; no sign yet of the threatened higher 15% rate. US equities have recovered some of yesterday’s losses. Global rates have shown only minor movements

Risk sentiment weaker as markets digest the implications of the latest saga on Trump’s tariff policy. US equities down over 1%, with rotation towards defensive sector; US Treasury yields down 4-8bps Safe haven CHF and JPY currencies have outperformed

Risk sentiment weaker as markets digest the implications of the latest saga on Trump’s tariff policy. US equities down over 1%, with rotation towards defensive sector; US Treasury yields down 4-8bps Safe haven CHF and JPY currencies have outperformed

US equities rise on the prospect of relief from landmark tariff decision. US Treasury yields edge higher and curve steepens

US equities rise on the prospect of relief from landmark tariff decision. US Treasury yields edge higher and curve steepens

Roger J Kerr says there have to be major question marks over expected further decreases in both non-tradable inflation and tradable inflation this year

Roger J Kerr says there have to be major question marks over expected further decreases in both non-tradable inflation and tradable inflation this year