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90 seconds at 9 am: China investigates Fonterra; lower for longer in Europe; coffee bean glut; CBA stumble; NZ$1 = US$0.784, TWI = 74.8

90 seconds at 9 am: China investigates Fonterra; lower for longer in Europe; coffee bean glut; CBA stumble; NZ$1 = US$0.784, TWI = 74.8

Here's my summary of the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am, including news Fonterra is caught up in a wide-ranging probe by Chinese authorities into their dairy industry.

Their probe over pricing has prompted some foreign makers of baby formula to say they will lower what they charge Chinese customers.

A Fonterra spokesperson said that they are cooperating with Chinese authorities. She said the government is “reviewing a wide range of consumer businesses in the Chinese dairy industry” and claimed Fonterra wasn’t being singled out.

Elsewhere, while the Americans are on holiday, markets reacted strongly to dovish noises coming from the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, both of which left interest rates unchanged today.

Both the BoE and ECB voted to hold rates at 0.5%, with the former announcing that it will also keep its monetary stimulus programme at £375 bln.

Mark Carney’s first meeting as Governor of the Bank of England was marked by the addition of a new element of “forward guidance” into their Monetary Policy Committee’s statement. Commenting on expectations in the market for rate rises as soon as 2015, Carney broke with the tradition by stating that these expectations “were unwarranted”.

The governing council of the ECB followed soon afterward and also gave forward guidance in a way not done in the past. The governing council stated that interest rates will remain at present or lower levels for an extended period time.

European stock markets surged on the comments, but their currencies fell sharply.

There is [should be] good news for coffee drinkers. Surging South American exports have pushed the cost of coffee beans down more than 10% and brings to a string of four years where production has exceeded demand.

And here's a headline you don't see every day. Apparently a NSW sheriff's officer walked into the headquarters of CBA, the parent of ASB, with a writ to seize $50,000 of TVs, artwork and furniture. A bank not paying its bills?

And finally, something to watch out for tomorrow. American non-farm payroll data will be released and is widely expected to to positive. If those expectations aren't met we will see a reaction on the currency markets with the Kiwi possibly pushed higher.

The NZ dollar starts today sharply higher against most currencies and 'benefiting' from the European announcements. It starts at 78.4 USc, 85.7 AUc, and the TWI is at 74.8.

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12 Comments

Interesting to see the Chinese wont put up with Fonterra's market rigging and price fixing nonsense like we do here at home.

Fonterras confidential rebate activities and monopolisitc pricing in the NZ market  would see them prosecuted for unfair business practice in most countries , but we in NZ just roll over and pay up to 100% more per litre for milk in retail stores than in countries such as  Australia , India or South Africa .

Then when Kiwis do complain about the price of milk  , Fonterra offer a few free glasses of milk to hungry schoolkids in South Auckland to assauge public opinion .

Many of us can see this ruse for what it really  is

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Absolutely right Boatman.  New Zealand is full of mickey mouse commercial practice.  Far more that our smug superior attitude to Asia permits.   

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submission not working

 

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too much coffee?

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Maybe

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pdk land:

http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/egypt-persistent-issues-undermine-stab…

Egypt population grown from 56 million in 1990 to 84 million now, was an oil exporter until 2007. Imports 50% of its wheat. Oh dear.

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Went to two lectures this week by some touring Gernman lawyers - dealing in international water issues.

 

The Nile was a case study. Anyone at the bottom end of a river is in trouble now, unless they have guns. Silt which once replenished soil, is now trapped behind dams, and more threaten. The interesting bit was the 'virtual water' aspect. Countries which have the clout, can buy other's water by buying their products - even electronics takes water to produce.

 

Ironic that it was delivered by folk from an 'upstream' country, in fiscal terms....

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Previously I think it had a (one way) agreement with the upstream nile countries that it got the loins share of the water and hence irrigation for food.  Add in fundimentalism that kept women under-educated  and hence overly fertile and hey presto now a big problem. Plus Upstream countries now want a fair share of the water....

I think PDK and I have been saying to you and others, expotential growth on a finiite planet == future problems. 

Yet I think you have been in here advocating digging NZ's minerals as fast as possible?

Can you not see the parallel with egypt you are advocating here?

regards

 

 

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56 million to 84 million in a generation. How does that happen? How fast would they have to grow each year to do that? Answer: 1.85% per year.

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The ECB is trapped in the same hole with the FED...imagine being stuck forever with Bernanke for company!....There is no escape now....not without total destruction....prepare for that outcome while profiting from the bubble games.

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Yes, the zero bound trap....I think I read somewhere that Keynes thought they'd get out of the Great Depression as they had the resources to do so....not this time however...

regards

 

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I'll try for a discount on my long black.

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