It would be easy to take a side in today’s “groundswell” farmer protest from either side of the fence and make a pretty coherent argument.
One side could be promoting the farmers attitudes for (finally) making taking a stand against the flood of regulations that have come their way, while the other could be criticising them for being largely the architects of their own demise.
In my view the real story lies somewhere in the middle and the first chapters were written many years ago.
We could go right back to the early 1800’s when New Zealand’s first regional ‘export’ economy began around whaling, followed by timber and gold mining before settling on where it had an arguable sustainable advantage over other countries (distance aside) with agriculture
But the 1970-80’s are probably far enough back to look. Under the final Muldoon government, as a result of the oil shocks of 1973, the UK joining the EEC (now EU), Think Big projects which ran up huge debts, the country was broke and going backwards economically at a rate of knots.
Even though Muldoon believed farming was a “sunset industry” he had enough sense to recognise that it was all New Zealand had between it and bankruptcy, (sound familiar?). Being the control-and-regulate sort of politician he was, he believed if he pulled the right levers farmers would respond in the way he wanted and ‘bail’ New Zealand out of the situation it was in. And so, in no particular order he brought in the Livestock Incentive Scheme where farmers were paid a grant from the government for every extra stock unit (roughly 1 sheep) they carried on balance day than the previous year. Incentives to clear scrub and marginal land (mostly native) to carry more stock. Subsidies on applying more fertiliser to assist in carrying more stock and Supplementary Minimum Prices to underpin the prices farmers received for their extra production.
Farmers weren’t stupid and so most to a greater or lesser degree responded, especially as they had the able assistance of the government paid MAF advisors to assist them as well as (relatively) cheap money on top of the subsidies etc. from the government owned Rural Bank to assist them to do it.
What has this to do with 2021? This is a major part of where many of the environmental issues we face today really began - if not from the physical changes to the New Zealand landscape, then from very hard to erase imprinting on the mind of a generation of farmers that become inculcated in the philosophy of chasing production output at all costs.
Inevitably, the experiment failed.
Stock numbers certainly climbed (72 million sheep compared to 28 million today) but lamb weights and sheep fertility came down to the point where the 28 m sheep today produce much the same weight of saleable product as what was sold back then. But more importantly produce products which the markets desires, unlike in the 70’ and 80’s where we could barely give it away, (meat and milk) and did deals with Russia for Lada cars and Belarussian tractors (remember a certain All Black captain on the ads?) and Iran with direct deals for oil.
Now New Zealand products are (fortunately) highly sought after. So, when Labour came in, in 1984 and the books were opened the proverbial hit the fan and we learnt the term from the IMF of the Structural Adjustment Plan. Argentina, Chile, Turkey and Greece are other countries who have shared the joy, not the best economic company.
So, we get to the 2,000s and the chickens have come home to roost.
Most farmers would accept that the country’s waterways have a problem and a major part of it stems from historic and not so historic farming practices.
GHG’s are a different issue, and most farmers would believe they are being shafted over this one, but the worm is turning here also. Since the 1980’s most farms have been transformed with the pastoral frontier (boundary between grassland and bush/trees etc) returning back to where it was before or beyond the incentives of the 1970’s. Regulations have been brought in to provide further protection over the threats of further intensification which farmers have accepted and yet despite this, little recognition has been made of the progress, especially given the historical context.
The attitudes of ministers like James Shaw which got exposed with statements that sought to belittle farmer concern groups as ‘’a group of pākehā farmers down south’’ have just served to create a greater gulf between the government and farmers.
The issue over the ute tax seems a bit of a red herring. However what it has done is inadvertently provide an ally to farmer concerns over the lack of understanding over how the productive sector operates (include construction and tradies here).
So, back to today's protest. The numbers of utes and tractors that took to the streets of Christchurch were impressive, especially as there were lesser protests held in the surrounding towns (Darfield, Rangiora, Ashburton to name some) which would have reduced the number of vehicles going into Christchurch. All conducted peacefully and from my viewpoint the general attitude of the 100’s or more who came out to watch seemed to be largely empathetic with the protestors.
Perhaps interestingly of the 100’s of utes filing past there seemed to be very few ‘new’ ones but quite a few older ones - making the issue around the tax look even more tenuous. However, if it got people motivated, so be it.
Not all of those involved in agriculture have agreed with the protest, believing that the regulations are on the right track. However, given the turnout of 1000’s at 57 different towns and cities show that there is still a sizeable number who have grievances at the way they are being treated and if the government needs to recognise that they need to look carefully at how they approach further impositions on the private sector.
An irony which highlights government rhetoric over contradictions is the issue around the quality of New Zealand’s housing stock with July 1st being the deadline date for getting rentals up to the required standard. Except when it comes to the State's stock (Kainga Ora ) which have been given an additional 2 years to get to the same standard. (The spurious excuse given was that the government didn’t want to add to the pressure on building supplies which may then impact on the private sector reaching the deadline.) So far under 12,000 of the 68,000 houses of Kainga Ora have been signed off as being up to standard. Hardly a sign of leadership when these houses should be showing the way to other landlords.
This government has been great on the rhetoric but has serious credibility issues when it comes to actually getting things done itself.
Despite this, it has huge expectations on the private sector in many areas to achieve the same with a fraction of the resources. It has been a long time since any major protests took place in New Zealand, if the government does not take stock on how it is treating some sectors it may not be long before others begin to join in the chorus.
No chart with that title exists.
We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment
Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.