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Gareth Kiernan

About

Member for

11 years 1 month

Latest articles

Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
31st May 23, 1:10pm
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan takes a look at where mortgage interest rates are headed in light of the recent changed signals from the RBNZ
Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
7th May 20, 10:29am
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Infometrics says we should look to the 1930s for a solution to help the economy recover from a COVID-19 recession by building more state houses
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
28th Mar 20, 9:50am
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan sees a massive hit to growth, then some sort of recovery and reasons for cautious optimism
Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
22nd Jan 20, 12:44pm
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Infometric's Gareth Kiernan warns our public policy managers that Japan's malaise is the result of doing 'whatever is necessary' to keep economic pain away from voters, and shying away from essential reforms in the face of an ageing population
Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
24th Oct 19, 6:28am
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Gareth Kiernan says the housing market failure has caused a large undersupply in some regions, especially Auckland, but a surplus in others, especially Christchurch, and the surplus regions are vulnerable to a sharp price correction
Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
31st Jan 19, 11:51am
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Gareth Kiernan says a strong services sector in Auckland helps the region grab the top growth spot. South Canterbury's Waimate suddenly jumps into contention too with a dairy boost
Gareth Kiernan argues Labour’s KiwiBuild policy looks like less of a game-changer for the construction sector & housing affordability than the Govt has made it out to be
8th Mar 18, 2:34pm
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Gareth Kiernan argues Labour’s KiwiBuild policy looks like less of a game-changer for the construction sector & housing affordability than the Govt has made it out to be
Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
24th Jan 18, 3:54pm
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Gareth Kiernan looks at what the New Year will bring for migration, education, foreign house buyers, KiwiBuild, the RBNZ, the minimum wage, and infrastructure
Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"
4th Feb 17, 11:11am
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Infometrics' Gareth Kiernan sees rising mortgage interest rates along with political uncertainty to "derail New Zealand's growth train"
Gareth Kiernan sees sharply higher construction activity generating booming employment and business growth across the country at a time an ageing workforce requires more young entrants
3rd Aug 16, 9:10am
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Gareth Kiernan sees sharply higher construction activity generating booming employment and business growth across the country at a time an ageing workforce requires more young entrants
Gareth Kiernan says the third attempt to restrain the housing market with LVR restrictions may slash house sales by at least 15%, but probably only temporarily in Auckland
2nd Aug 16, 2:29pm
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Gareth Kiernan says the third attempt to restrain the housing market with LVR restrictions may slash house sales by at least 15%, but probably only temporarily in Auckland
Gareth Kiernan calls on the Government to treat tourism as a 'major industry' and invest in it actively to avoid future reputational issues
28th Jun 16, 12:20pm
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Gareth Kiernan calls on the Government to treat tourism as a 'major industry' and invest in it actively to avoid future reputational issues
Gareth Kiernan senses a 'whiff of megalomania emanating from Number 2 The Terrace', with 'an increasingly superior attitude' about its own understanding of the NZ economy
16th Dec 15, 5:02am
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Gareth Kiernan senses a 'whiff of megalomania emanating from Number 2 The Terrace', with 'an increasingly superior attitude' about its own understanding of the NZ economy
Gareth Kiernan assesses the policy options available for the coming economic slowdown, and compares our options with other countries
2nd Sep 15, 7:53am
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Gareth Kiernan assesses the policy options available for the coming economic slowdown, and compares our options with other countries
Auckland house prices would still be unaffordable even if they fell by 20% says Infometrics
13th Jul 15, 12:30pm
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Auckland house prices would still be unaffordable even if they fell by 20% says Infometrics
Gareth Kiernan wonders if wage growth is a lagging indicator of the economic cycle, are greater labour cost pressure's just around the corner?
13th May 15, 5:04am
Gareth Kiernan wonders if wage growth is a lagging indicator of the economic cycle, are greater labour cost pressure's just around the corner?
Gareth Kiernan has a World Cup Cricket-themed look at likely economic developments and concludes that NZ's big hitting is going to give way to more stolid accumulation
4th Mar 15, 9:33am
Gareth Kiernan has a World Cup Cricket-themed look at likely economic developments and concludes that NZ's big hitting is going to give way to more stolid accumulation
Gareth Kiernan looks at some key trends we will face this year, and suggests that the RBNZ will launch new housing loan restrictions
23rd Jan 15, 10:47am
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Gareth Kiernan looks at some key trends we will face this year, and suggests that the RBNZ will launch new housing loan restrictions
Gareth Kiernan looks into the murky world of public body cost-benefit analysis and finds it mingled with patch-protection and ego justifications
19th Nov 14, 9:29am
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Gareth Kiernan looks into the murky world of public body cost-benefit analysis and finds it mingled with patch-protection and ego justifications
Infometrics is wondering if the economy has passed its use-by date. What challenges will the next few years bring?
21st Oct 14, 2:47pm
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Infometrics is wondering if the economy has passed its use-by date. What challenges will the next few years bring?
Any attempts to herd people, or investment funds, where they would not go by themselves are only likely to delay the inevitable says Gareth Kiernan
29th Jul 14, 2:47pm
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Any attempts to herd people, or investment funds, where they would not go by themselves are only likely to delay the inevitable says Gareth Kiernan
Gareth Kiernan critiques the reasoning behind the new Labour Party VSR policy - he has ten reasons why he is not a fan
6th May 14, 5:12pm
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Gareth Kiernan critiques the reasoning behind the new Labour Party VSR policy - he has ten reasons why he is not a fan
Gareth Kiernan says says Labour's Best Start policy is poorly thought through, poorly targeted, and unlikely to effectively solve the perceived problems
4th Feb 14, 12:33pm
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Gareth Kiernan says says Labour's Best Start policy is poorly thought through, poorly targeted, and unlikely to effectively solve the perceived problems
Gareth Kiernan says economic growth will continue to strengthen beyond the end of next year - without a debt-fueled binge
6th Dec 13, 11:34am
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Gareth Kiernan says economic growth will continue to strengthen beyond the end of next year - without a debt-fueled binge
Gareth Kiernan warns about unintended consequences in regional diversification; policymakers are no better at picking winners than the private sector, and worse at letting poor performers go
20th Aug 13, 3:37pm
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Gareth Kiernan warns about unintended consequences in regional diversification; policymakers are no better at picking winners than the private sector, and worse at letting poor performers go