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Soft GDT pressures short end of rate curve, abetted by weak Aussie GDP; UST 10yr yields drift in lazy range

Bonds
Soft GDT pressures short end of rate curve, abetted by weak Aussie GDP; UST 10yr yields drift in lazy range

By Raiko Shareef

The NZ swap curve steepened yesterday, as short-end interest rates fell while long-end yields largely held their ground.

Interest to pay fixed rates at the longer part of the curve kept yields supported, but the soft dairy auction on Wednesday morning saw pressure on the short-end.

Australia’s weak Q3 GDP report depressed short-end yields across the ditch, and NZ rates dipped lower in sympathy.

The 2-year swap yield closed 3 bps lower at 3.87%.

It was a rather quiet night in global rates markets, with the US 10-year bond yield drifting in a lazy 3 bp range. It currently sits unchanged for the day at 2.29%.

Today, Australian retail sales and trade balance data will be eyed for signs of softness in October.

Tonight, the ECB meeting will be the main event, with those looking for immediate further policy action likely to be disappointed.

Other news
* US ADP employment +208k vs +222k expected.
* US Markit Services PMI 56.2 vs 56.5 exp.
* US non-manufacturing ISM 59.3 vs 57.5 exp.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Daily swap rates

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Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA

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