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Guy Trafford

Guy Trafford notes that China's 'dual circulation' policy development may crimp their dairy imports as they push a Five Year Plan goal of more local supply. Rising Chinese production may already be suppressing GDT results
6th Aug 21, 9:27am
10
Guy Trafford notes that China's 'dual circulation' policy development may crimp their dairy imports as they push a Five Year Plan goal of more local supply. Rising Chinese production may already be suppressing GDT results
The Australian Government leadership is now dominated by two throwback climate change sceptics. Guy Trafford assesses where they are going, and why New Zealand may benefit
25th Jun 21, 10:52am
29
The Australian Government leadership is now dominated by two throwback climate change sceptics. Guy Trafford assesses where they are going, and why New Zealand may benefit
Guy Trafford reviews KPMG’s Agribusiness Agenda 2021 document and isn't impressed by the attempt to be trendy and assume the rest of the world will adopt our politicised worldview
23rd Jun 21, 9:34am
9
Guy Trafford reviews KPMG’s Agribusiness Agenda 2021 document and isn't impressed by the attempt to be trendy and assume the rest of the world will adopt our politicised worldview
Guy Trafford takes his livestock risk management for nitrate poisoning and wonders how these risks apply to humans - and finds salad eaters need to moderate their enthusiasm
17th Jun 21, 4:53pm
5
Guy Trafford takes his livestock risk management for nitrate poisoning and wonders how these risks apply to humans - and finds salad eaters need to moderate their enthusiasm
Guy Trafford sees strong demand pressures from China for our redmeat products, threatening to upend the current balanced set of markets we supply
14th Jun 21, 8:16am
1
Guy Trafford sees strong demand pressures from China for our redmeat products, threatening to upend the current balanced set of markets we supply
Guy Trafford reviews what the Climate Change Commission's final report recommends for the rural sector. He sees an opportunity to lead change and restoration
10th Jun 21, 11:05am
21
Guy Trafford reviews what the Climate Change Commission's final report recommends for the rural sector. He sees an opportunity to lead change and restoration
Flood affected dairy farmers are not only facing years of reconstruction, but the region-wide loss of winter feed reserves. These are the farmers producing more milk with fewer cows and the world's lowest emissions
3rd Jun 21, 10:50am
28
Flood affected dairy farmers are not only facing years of reconstruction, but the region-wide loss of winter feed reserves. These are the farmers producing more milk with fewer cows and the world's lowest emissions
Guy Trafford notes that while recent rains flush rivers, they also fill aquifers. But the time it takes to clear nitrates is vastly different between each system. And that sets up special risks for drinking water supplies
31st May 21, 9:47am
12
Guy Trafford notes that while recent rains flush rivers, they also fill aquifers. But the time it takes to clear nitrates is vastly different between each system. And that sets up special risks for drinking water supplies
Guy Trafford sees some good early signs for upcoming livestock and dairy season prices. He sees signs of flock and herd rebuilding. And he notes a growing range of skills development programmes
24th May 21, 11:06am
Guy Trafford sees some good early signs for upcoming livestock and dairy season prices. He sees signs of flock and herd rebuilding. And he notes a growing range of skills development programmes
Guy Trafford sees a Budget low on ambition or transformation. He wonders if we will ever get the impetus to make the serious changes needed. This Government isn't engaging in the goals it set for everyone else
21st May 21, 11:26am
60
Guy Trafford sees a Budget low on ambition or transformation. He wonders if we will ever get the impetus to make the serious changes needed. This Government isn't engaging in the goals it set for everyone else
Farmers will be focusing on the Budget, but the Budget may not focus on rural priorities. However the Government will be relying on rural export revenues to pay for its urban 'catching up' priorities
18th May 21, 10:05am
27
Farmers will be focusing on the Budget, but the Budget may not focus on rural priorities. However the Government will be relying on rural export revenues to pay for its urban 'catching up' priorities
Guy Trafford traces changing consumer emotions around any chemical with a three-letter code, risking the useful for environmental remediation on the altar of the [impossible] quick-fix obsession
12th May 21, 4:25pm
7
Guy Trafford traces changing consumer emotions around any chemical with a three-letter code, risking the useful for environmental remediation on the altar of the [impossible] quick-fix obsession
Guy Trafford finds New Zealand's nuanced approach to trade with China has far less long-term risk than that of Australia, even if the short-term favours our cousins
11th May 21, 10:10am
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Guy Trafford finds New Zealand's nuanced approach to trade with China has far less long-term risk than that of Australia, even if the short-term favours our cousins
Without an overall umbrella system, New Zealand's varying sector claims to producing food in an environmental sustainable way lacks credibility, new research shows. And no progress to remedying that flaw
8th May 21, 9:37am
15
Without an overall umbrella system, New Zealand's varying sector claims to producing food in an environmental sustainable way lacks credibility, new research shows. And no progress to remedying that flaw
Guy Trafford watches the issues farms have to deal with where the property has a road frontage. He also sees a loss of Canterbury's rural trees, much of it because Councils cashed up - and then reneged on replanting promises
3rd May 21, 10:00am
8
Guy Trafford watches the issues farms have to deal with where the property has a road frontage. He also sees a loss of Canterbury's rural trees, much of it because Councils cashed up - and then reneged on replanting promises
Guy Trafford tracks the national GHG net emissions levels, setting the agriculture trajectory, especially compared to transport. There is a lot to do, and not just on the farm, to reach the 2030 goal
28th Apr 21, 2:29pm
13
Guy Trafford tracks the national GHG net emissions levels, setting the agriculture trajectory, especially compared to transport. There is a lot to do, and not just on the farm, to reach the 2030 goal
Guy Trafford finds that the good work the MoE/StatsNZ does on land use is being used by others to bolster unsubstantiated biases, especially around the impact of lifestyle blocks
21st Apr 21, 9:50am
33
Guy Trafford finds that the good work the MoE/StatsNZ does on land use is being used by others to bolster unsubstantiated biases, especially around the impact of lifestyle blocks
Guy Trafford despairs at the quailty of the 'information' Immigration NZ works with, suspecting it is a department full of bureaucrats that either don't know NZ's regional geography, or ignore the obvious
19th Apr 21, 9:07am
11
Guy Trafford despairs at the quailty of the 'information' Immigration NZ works with, suspecting it is a department full of bureaucrats that either don't know NZ's regional geography, or ignore the obvious
Guy Trafford notes that while farmers have achieved substantial productivity gains, the country as a whole hasn't as some Government policies and core SOEs undermine private sector improvements
16th Apr 21, 9:31am
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Guy Trafford notes that while farmers have achieved substantial productivity gains, the country as a whole hasn't as some Government policies and core SOEs undermine private sector improvements
Guy Trafford tries to make sense of the puzzle surrounding the global sheep flock, declining in areas we understand, but rising elsewhere
14th Apr 21, 8:04pm
5
Guy Trafford tries to make sense of the puzzle surrounding the global sheep flock, declining in areas we understand, but rising elsewhere
Guy Trafford finds that no matter how the world's population tracks in future, it will still be large and the demand for food will always be strong, including for the foods NZ exports
10th Apr 21, 6:51pm
11
Guy Trafford finds that no matter how the world's population tracks in future, it will still be large and the demand for food will always be strong, including for the foods NZ exports
Guy Trafford struggles with the inconsistent reasons for special restrictions on some religious holidays. He also reviews the latest dairy prices, and notes Synlait Milk's unique issues with supplying A2 Milk
8th Apr 21, 9:14am
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Guy Trafford struggles with the inconsistent reasons for special restrictions on some religious holidays. He also reviews the latest dairy prices, and notes Synlait Milk's unique issues with supplying A2 Milk
Guy Trafford points out that while we may have been safe during the pandemic, we are now underperforming economically and vulnerable to the economic nationalism the pandemic has spawned
3rd Apr 21, 9:36am
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Guy Trafford points out that while we may have been safe during the pandemic, we are now underperforming economically and vulnerable to the economic nationalism the pandemic has spawned
Firm winter lamb contracts underpin a positive outlook for the sheep sector, bolstered by coming autumn rains. Freight subsidies help in keeping product in front of offshore consumers
29th Mar 21, 11:00am
Firm winter lamb contracts underpin a positive outlook for the sheep sector, bolstered by coming autumn rains. Freight subsidies help in keeping product in front of offshore consumers
Guy Trafford finds that huge rates increases for 2021/22 and further out are coming, far in excess of of the large rises we have already had. Farmers are asking, what happened to the $100+ mln previously taken?
26th Mar 21, 1:46pm
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Guy Trafford finds that huge rates increases for 2021/22 and further out are coming, far in excess of of the large rises we have already had. Farmers are asking, what happened to the $100+ mln previously taken?