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Jeremy Couchman

BNZ economists say the RBNZ is now 'well and truly behind the curve' as inflation heads to 'a number well above 5%'
18th Oct 21, 2:56pm
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BNZ economists say the RBNZ is now 'well and truly behind the curve' as inflation heads to 'a number well above 5%'
Data from Kiwibank economists shows a significant drop in spending during the latest lockdown - but much smaller than the drop seen at Level 4 last year
1st Sep 21, 11:53am
Data from Kiwibank economists shows a significant drop in spending during the latest lockdown - but much smaller than the drop seen at Level 4 last year
Kiwibank economists say housing supply should be able to meet demand by 2024 and we could even see an over-supply, leading to improved affordability; house price growth to fall to 1% by end of 2022
19th Apr 21, 3:33pm
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Kiwibank economists say housing supply should be able to meet demand by 2024 and we could even see an over-supply, leading to improved affordability; house price growth to fall to 1% by end of 2022
Economists see the housing changes announced by the Government as having a chilling effect on investor demand and acting as a significant drag on house price growth
23rd Mar 21, 2:57pm
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Economists see the housing changes announced by the Government as having a chilling effect on investor demand and acting as a significant drag on house price growth
Kiwibank economists say housing changes to be announced this week 'do have the scope' to cool the housing market but won't address the clear lack of affordable homes
22nd Mar 21, 12:02pm
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Kiwibank economists say housing changes to be announced this week 'do have the scope' to cool the housing market but won't address the clear lack of affordable homes
Kiwibank economists say they have 'drastically revised up' their projected near-term house price peak before a cooling of prices later in the year; don't see LVRs as having as much impact on investor activity as previously thought
16th Mar 21, 10:39am
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Kiwibank economists say they have 'drastically revised up' their projected near-term house price peak before a cooling of prices later in the year; don't see LVRs as having as much impact on investor activity as previously thought
It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
15th Mar 21, 12:14pm
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It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
Kiwibank economists have been tracking our spending - and we are still doing our best to make up for the lack of tourist dollars
29th Jan 21, 5:00am
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Kiwibank economists have been tracking our spending - and we are still doing our best to make up for the lack of tourist dollars
Kiwibank economists say the current performance of the housing market is 'not consistent' with an economy in the midst of the worst recession in 100 years
12th Nov 20, 10:13am
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Kiwibank economists say the current performance of the housing market is 'not consistent' with an economy in the midst of the worst recession in 100 years
Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
9th Nov 20, 3:19pm
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Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
Why banks believe a Funding for Lending Programme wouldn't do enough to protect their profits in the face of a negative Official Cash Rate
30th Oct 20, 10:58am
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Why banks believe a Funding for Lending Programme wouldn't do enough to protect their profits in the face of a negative Official Cash Rate
Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast
17th Sep 20, 10:58am
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Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast
Jacinda Ardern keeps door open to possibility of cash payments to households post-lockdown as Kiwibank economists say they could be an economic 'fire starter'
23rd Apr 20, 4:55pm
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Jacinda Ardern keeps door open to possibility of cash payments to households post-lockdown as Kiwibank economists say they could be an economic 'fire starter'
Inflation expected to come close to hitting the Reserve Bank's sweet spot, enabling it to take a breather before possibly cutting interest rates again
20th Jan 20, 4:55pm
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Inflation expected to come close to hitting the Reserve Bank's sweet spot, enabling it to take a breather before possibly cutting interest rates again
REINZ says number of residential properties sold across New Zealand in December 2019 increased by 12.3% from the same time last year to 6,285 up from 5,596; Auckland sales up 31.7% on same month a year earlier
16th Jan 20, 9:26am
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REINZ says number of residential properties sold across New Zealand in December 2019 increased by 12.3% from the same time last year to 6,285 up from 5,596; Auckland sales up 31.7% on same month a year earlier
Kiwibank economists say one 'perverse' impact of the RBNZ's forthcoming capital proposals could be that banks focus on residential mortgages at the expense of business lending
2nd Dec 19, 12:10pm
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Kiwibank economists say one 'perverse' impact of the RBNZ's forthcoming capital proposals could be that banks focus on residential mortgages at the expense of business lending
Markets price in lending rate hikes following the RBNZ's decision to keep the OCR at 1%; Governor Adrian Orr says it's up to retail banks to make business decisions around what they charge their customers
13th Nov 19, 6:04pm
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Markets price in lending rate hikes following the RBNZ's decision to keep the OCR at 1%; Governor Adrian Orr says it's up to retail banks to make business decisions around what they charge their customers
RBNZ survey shows drop in inflation expectations; Data seen to increase likelihood of an OCR cut on Wednesday; NZD weaker
12th Nov 19, 7:57pm
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RBNZ survey shows drop in inflation expectations; Data seen to increase likelihood of an OCR cut on Wednesday; NZD weaker
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
11th Nov 19, 11:28am
25
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
4th Nov 19, 1:42pm
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ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
Finance Minister Grant Robertson's presided over another strong financial year for the Crown - but he's still not expected as yet to provide the fiscal kick many are seeking for the economy
7th Oct 19, 3:00pm
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Finance Minister Grant Robertson's presided over another strong financial year for the Crown - but he's still not expected as yet to provide the fiscal kick many are seeking for the economy
Kiwibank economists say monetary policy is proving ineffective without fiscal support and we need 'strong, wise and expansive fiscal policy'
19th Sep 19, 11:02am
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Kiwibank economists say monetary policy is proving ineffective without fiscal support and we need 'strong, wise and expansive fiscal policy'
The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
2nd Sep 19, 2:32pm
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The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
NZIER's 'shadow board' of experts commenting on the Official Cash Rate is throwing up increasing doubts about the effectiveness of continuing to push interest rates down
6th Aug 19, 8:57am
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NZIER's 'shadow board' of experts commenting on the Official Cash Rate is throwing up increasing doubts about the effectiveness of continuing to push interest rates down
Kiwibank economists are now predicting a 'terminal' Official Cash Rate by next year of 0.75%, but also put some possibility on the rate going to 0.5%
5th Aug 19, 11:17am
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Kiwibank economists are now predicting a 'terminal' Official Cash Rate by next year of 0.75%, but also put some possibility on the rate going to 0.5%