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Michael Gordon

ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did
5th Feb 26, 2:49pm
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ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did
Positive indicators in labour market details, but Kiwibank economists say we need to see 'the labour market really turn, not just stabilise, to have confidence in the recovery'
4th Feb 26, 4:15pm
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Positive indicators in labour market details, but Kiwibank economists say we need to see 'the labour market really turn, not just stabilise, to have confidence in the recovery'
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week will likely show an improving picture overall for employment, but that might not yet be enough to see the unemployment rate drop from the nearly nine-year high it hit in September
1st Feb 26, 6:30am
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Labour market figures to be released in the coming week will likely show an improving picture overall for employment, but that might not yet be enough to see the unemployment rate drop from the nearly nine-year high it hit in September
[updated]
There was a slight drop in filled jobs in December - but a very sharp upward revision to November figures
28th Jan 26, 11:33am
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There was a slight drop in filled jobs in December - but a very sharp upward revision to November figures
'Do we really think we are currently growing at the same pace as China and three times that of Australia?': BNZ's head of research says latest GDP result delivered 'more noise than signal', encourages scepticism
18th Dec 25, 2:42pm
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'Do we really think we are currently growing at the same pace as China and three times that of Australia?': BNZ's head of research says latest GDP result delivered 'more noise than signal', encourages scepticism
[updated]
ANZ chief economist says the improvement in sentiment 'is rooted in an improvement in experienced activity, not just hope'
27th Nov 25, 1:16pm
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ANZ chief economist says the improvement in sentiment 'is rooted in an improvement in experienced activity, not just hope'
[updated]
Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the highest level of business confidence since early in the year
30th Oct 25, 1:28pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the highest level of business confidence since early in the year
Westpac economists have come to the conclusion the massive 0.9% June GDP slump was an anomaly due to a series of events stemming back to the closure of New Zealand's only oil refinery and they say the 'real' result was more like a 0.1% drop
29th Oct 25, 2:07pm
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Westpac economists have come to the conclusion the massive 0.9% June GDP slump was an anomaly due to a series of events stemming back to the closure of New Zealand's only oil refinery and they say the 'real' result was more like a 0.1% drop
[updated]
A 50 basis-point cut to the Official Cash Rate would not be difficult to justify, economist says, as long-running NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows falling confidence in September quarter
7th Oct 25, 10:27am
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A 50 basis-point cut to the Official Cash Rate would not be difficult to justify, economist says, as long-running NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows falling confidence in September quarter
[updated]
Monthly filled jobs data shows a slight rise in June, but the May figures showed a rise initially as well - and that's now been revised down to a fall; primary sector continues to be a notable bright spot for employment
28th Jul 25, 11:32am
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Monthly filled jobs data shows a slight rise in June, but the May figures showed a rise initially as well - and that's now been revised down to a fall; primary sector continues to be a notable bright spot for employment
The economy grew for the second successive quarter following the sharp contraction seen during last year
19th Jun 25, 10:51am
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The economy grew for the second successive quarter following the sharp contraction seen during last year
The economy's showing increasing signs of responding to the lower interest rates, with GDP expected to have grown again in the March quarter
15th Jun 25, 6:30am
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The economy's showing increasing signs of responding to the lower interest rates, with GDP expected to have grown again in the March quarter
Labour market figures to be released in the coming week are likely to show a continuation of the recent rise in unemployment. David Hargreaves has a look at what we might expect
4th May 25, 5:00am
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Labour market figures to be released in the coming week are likely to show a continuation of the recent rise in unemployment. David Hargreaves has a look at what we might expect
[updated]
ANZ chief economist says firms' pricing and cost expectations have risen again 'and are not consistent with' the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
31st Mar 25, 1:25pm
1
ANZ chief economist says firms' pricing and cost expectations have risen again 'and are not consistent with' the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows lowest levels of confidence since the immediate aftermath of the first Covid lockdown in 2020
25th Mar 25, 9:03am
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Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Survey shows lowest levels of confidence since the immediate aftermath of the first Covid lockdown in 2020