Paul Conway
Reserve Bank admits surprise that house prices have not been increasing - but points out only about half the impact of interest rate cuts made so far has fed through into the economy
21st Aug 25, 10:58am
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Reserve Bank admits surprise that house prices have not been increasing - but points out only about half the impact of interest rate cuts made so far has fed through into the economy
The global trade war may pose less of a threat to the New Zealand economy than businesses and households expect
27th Jul 25, 6:30am
25
The global trade war may pose less of a threat to the New Zealand economy than businesses and households expect
Tariffs will create a negative demand shock in New Zealand that will strengthen the case for a lower Official Cash Rate, provided inflation continues to cool
25th Jul 25, 5:00am
5
Tariffs will create a negative demand shock in New Zealand that will strengthen the case for a lower Official Cash Rate, provided inflation continues to cool
Paul Conway says businesses don't appear motivated to make the investments needed to improve productivity in an isolated economy
9th Jun 25, 1:41pm
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Paul Conway says businesses don't appear motivated to make the investments needed to improve productivity in an isolated economy
Pandemic inflation still haunts the RBNZ, making policymakers more cautious on rate cuts than economic models advise
30th May 25, 10:07am
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Pandemic inflation still haunts the RBNZ, making policymakers more cautious on rate cuts than economic models advise
The Reserve Bank says it isn’t biased towards lowering the Official Cash Rate further after cutting it to 3.25% in a 5-1 vote on Wednesday
28th May 25, 7:58pm
30
The Reserve Bank says it isn’t biased towards lowering the Official Cash Rate further after cutting it to 3.25% in a 5-1 vote on Wednesday
BNZ's head of research Stephen Toplis says the Reserve Bank 'does have a track record' of withdrawing guidance on the future forecast level of the Official Cash Rate
28th Apr 25, 1:29pm
BNZ's head of research Stephen Toplis says the Reserve Bank 'does have a track record' of withdrawing guidance on the future forecast level of the Official Cash Rate
A new central bank tool will forecast quarterly economic activity based on high frequency data
15th Apr 25, 2:12pm
8
A new central bank tool will forecast quarterly economic activity based on high frequency data
Bank of England’s Catherine Mann and RBNZ’s Paul Conway say raising and cutting interest rates quickly was the right thing to do during the crisis
8th Mar 25, 9:30am
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Bank of England’s Catherine Mann and RBNZ’s Paul Conway say raising and cutting interest rates quickly was the right thing to do during the crisis
The Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate more quickly than expected as it predicts a rapid return to economic equilibrium
20th Feb 25, 8:00am
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The Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate more quickly than expected as it predicts a rapid return to economic equilibrium
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
30th Jan 25, 10:01am
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway sees dominance of the 'traditional drivers of growth' in the New Zealand economy coming to an end
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
29th Jan 25, 12:26pm
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RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the central bank will have to 'feel its way' as the OCR gets closer to its estimate of neutral and he doesn't see a return to 'ultra-low' rates seen during the early stages of the pandemic any time soon
Domestic inflation would flare up if interest rates were cut too quickly, RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says
29th Nov 24, 9:08am
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Domestic inflation would flare up if interest rates were cut too quickly, RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says
With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
6th Jul 24, 9:10am
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With the economy in a tailspin and the RBNZ stubbornly holding the OCR, Gareth Vaughan takes a look at the non-tradable inflation dilemma
RBNZ won’t let the New Zealand economy grow until inflation is under control